儘管最近動盪不安的美國宏觀經濟狀況，比特幣（BTC）將超過其109,000美元的歷史高度高。

2月2日，比特幣（BTC）下跌了100,000美元，許多市場參與者歸咎於特朗普新強加的關稅和美國利率的不確定性。

Crypto analyst Jamie Coutts is expecting Bitcoin (BTC) to break past its $109,000 all-time high sooner than expected despite recent volatile US macroeconomic conditions.

加密分析師Jamie Coutts期望比特幣（BTC）超過其109,000美元的歷史高度，儘管最近發生了美國的宏觀經濟狀況，儘管最近發生了波動。

“The market may be underestimating how quickly Bitcoin could surge – potentially hitting new all-time highs before Q2 is out,” Real Vision chief crypto analyst Jamie Coutts told Cointelegraph.

“市場可能會低估比特幣的速度，這可能會在第2季度淘汰之前達到新的歷史新高。”

This forecast stands even if there is no more clarity on US President Donald Trump’s tariffs and potential recession concerns, he added.

他補充說，即使對美國總統唐納德·特朗普的關稅和潛在的衰退問題不再明確，這一預測也是如此。

Trump’s tariffs blamed for Bitcoin’s recent downtrend

特朗普的關稅指責比特幣最近的下降趨勢

Bitcoin fell below $100,000 on Feb. 2, with many market participants attributing the downturn to Trump’s newly imposed tariffs and uncertainty over US interest rates.

2月2日，比特幣低於100,000美元，許多市場參與者歸因於特朗普新強加的關稅和對美國利率的不確定性。

Coutts based his rosy rebound prediction on easing financial conditions, a weakening US dollar and the People’s Bank of China ramping up liquidity since early 2025.

Coutts基於緩解財務狀況的Rosy Rebound預測，美元削弱以及中國人民銀行自2025年初以來加大流動性。

“Financial conditions have eased dramatically this month, highlighted by the US dollar’s third-largest three-day decline since 2015 and significant drops in rates and Treasury bond volatility,” he said.

他說：“本月的財務狀況已經大大緩解，這是美元以來美元自2015年以來的第三大三天下降，利率和國庫券波動大幅下降的強調。”

“Liquidity remains central to investing in all asset classes.”

“流動性仍然是投資所有資產類別的核心。”

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $85,880, down 3.16% over the past month, according to CoinMarketCap.

根據CoinMarketCap的數據，在撰寫本文時，比特幣的交易價格為85,880美元，在過去一個月下降了3.16％。

Coutts is referring to his March 7 X post, where he said that based on the US Dollar Index (DXY) recent moves through a “historical lens,” it makes it hard to be “anything but bullish” about Bitcoin.

Coutts指的是他3月7日的帖子，他說，基於美元指數（DXY）最近的“歷史鏡頭”，這使得很難成為比特幣的“外包”。

Based on historical DXY performance, Coutts said that by June 1, Bitcoin's 90-day forecast ranges from a worst-case price of $102,000 to a best-case scenario of $123,000.

根據歷史DXY的表現，Coutts表示，到6月1日，比特幣的90天預測範圍從最差的102,000美元到最佳案情情況不等123,000美元。

The upper target would represent a 13% gain over its current all-time high of $109,000, which it reached on Jan. 20.

上層目標將比目前的109,000美元的歷史最高點增長13％，這是1月20日達到的。

BlackRock’s head of digital assets, Robbie Mitchnick, recently said that Bitcoin will most likely thrive in a recessionary macro environment.

貝萊德（Blackrock）的數字資產負責人羅比·米奇尼克（Robbie Mitchnick）最近表示，比特幣很可能在經濟衰退的宏觀環境中蓬勃發展。

“I don’t know if we’ll have a recession or not, but a recession would be a big catalyst for Bitcoin,” Mitchnick said in a March 19 interview with Yahoo Finance.

米奇尼克在3月19日接受Yahoo Finance採訪時說：“我不知道我們是否會衰退，但衰退將是比特幣的大催化劑。”

Related: $16.5B in Bitcoin options expire on Friday — Will BTC price soar above $90K?

相關：$ 16.5B的比特幣選項將於週五到期 - BTC的價格會飆升至9萬美元以上嗎？

It comes at the same time that Bitcoin continues to experience its “least bullish conditions” since January 2023, according to CryptoQuant.

據CryptoQuant稱，這是在比特幣繼續體驗其“最少的看漲條件”的同時。

CryptoQuant’s Bull Score Index is at 20, its lowest since January 2023, signaling a weak Bitcoin market with low chances of a strong rally soon.

CryptoQuant的Bull得分指數為20，自2023年1月以來最低，這標誌著比特幣市場較弱，很快就會發生強烈的集會。

Based on historical performance, if the score remains below 40 for an extended period, it could signal continued bearish market conditions, similar to previous bear market phases.

根據歷史表現，如果長時間的分數保持在40以下，則可能表明與以前的熊市階段相似的看跌市場狀況。