尽管最近动荡不安的美国宏观经济状况，比特币（BTC）将超过其109,000美元的历史高度高。

2月2日，比特币（BTC）下跌了100,000美元，许多市场参与者归咎于特朗普新强加的关税和美国利率的不确定性。

Crypto analyst Jamie Coutts is expecting Bitcoin (BTC) to break past its $109,000 all-time high sooner than expected despite recent volatile US macroeconomic conditions.

加密分析师Jamie Coutts期望比特币（BTC）超过其109,000美元的历史高度，尽管最近发生了美国的宏观经济状况，尽管最近发生了波动。

“The market may be underestimating how quickly Bitcoin could surge – potentially hitting new all-time highs before Q2 is out,” Real Vision chief crypto analyst Jamie Coutts told Cointelegraph.

“市场可能会低估比特币的速度，这可能会在第2季度淘汰之前达到新的历史新高。”

This forecast stands even if there is no more clarity on US President Donald Trump’s tariffs and potential recession concerns, he added.

他补充说，即使对美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的关税和潜在的衰退问题不再明确，这一预测也是如此。

Trump’s tariffs blamed for Bitcoin’s recent downtrend

特朗普的关税指责比特币最近的下降趋势

Bitcoin fell below $100,000 on Feb. 2, with many market participants attributing the downturn to Trump’s newly imposed tariffs and uncertainty over US interest rates.

2月2日，比特币低于100,000美元，许多市场参与者归因于特朗普新强加的关税和对美国利率的不确定性。

Coutts based his rosy rebound prediction on easing financial conditions, a weakening US dollar and the People’s Bank of China ramping up liquidity since early 2025.

Coutts基于缓解财务状况的Rosy Rebound预测，美元削弱以及中国人民银行自2025年初以来加大流动性。

“Financial conditions have eased dramatically this month, highlighted by the US dollar’s third-largest three-day decline since 2015 and significant drops in rates and Treasury bond volatility,” he said.

他说：“本月的财务状况已经大大缓解，这是美元以来美元自2015年以来的第三大三天下降，利率和国库券波动大幅下降的强调。”

“Liquidity remains central to investing in all asset classes.”

“流动性仍然是投资所有资产类别的核心。”

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $85,880, down 3.16% over the past month, according to CoinMarketCap.

根据CoinMarketCap的数据，在撰写本文时，比特币的交易价格为85,880美元，在过去一个月下降了3.16％。

Coutts is referring to his March 7 X post, where he said that based on the US Dollar Index (DXY) recent moves through a “historical lens,” it makes it hard to be “anything but bullish” about Bitcoin.

Coutts指的是他3月7日的帖子，他说，基于美元指数（DXY）最近的“历史镜头”，这使得很难成为比特币的“外包”。

Based on historical DXY performance, Coutts said that by June 1, Bitcoin's 90-day forecast ranges from a worst-case price of $102,000 to a best-case scenario of $123,000.

根据历史DXY的表现，Coutts表示，到6月1日，比特币的90天预测范围从最差的102,000美元到最佳案情情况不等123,000美元。

The upper target would represent a 13% gain over its current all-time high of $109,000, which it reached on Jan. 20.

上层目标将比目前的109,000美元的历史最高点增长13％，这是1月20日达到的。

BlackRock’s head of digital assets, Robbie Mitchnick, recently said that Bitcoin will most likely thrive in a recessionary macro environment.

贝莱德（Blackrock）的数字资产负责人罗比·米奇尼克（Robbie Mitchnick）最近表示，比特币很可能在经济衰退的宏观环境中蓬勃发展。

“I don’t know if we’ll have a recession or not, but a recession would be a big catalyst for Bitcoin,” Mitchnick said in a March 19 interview with Yahoo Finance.

米奇尼克在3月19日接受Yahoo Finance采访时说：“我不知道我们是否会衰退，但衰退将是比特币的大催化剂。”

Related: $16.5B in Bitcoin options expire on Friday — Will BTC price soar above $90K?

相关：$ 16.5B的比特币选项将于周五到期 - BTC的价格会飙升至9万美元以上吗？

It comes at the same time that Bitcoin continues to experience its “least bullish conditions” since January 2023, according to CryptoQuant.

据CryptoQuant称，这是在比特币继续体验其“最少的看涨条件”的同时。

CryptoQuant’s Bull Score Index is at 20, its lowest since January 2023, signaling a weak Bitcoin market with low chances of a strong rally soon.

CryptoQuant的Bull得分指数为20，自2023年1月以来最低，这标志着比特币市场较弱，很快就会发生强烈的集会。

Based on historical performance, if the score remains below 40 for an extended period, it could signal continued bearish market conditions, similar to previous bear market phases.

根据历史表现，如果长时间的分数保持在40以下，则可能表明与以前的熊市阶段相似的看跌市场状况。