隨著市場對中國經濟動態的反應，比特幣突破 6.6 萬美元

隨著更廣泛的加密市場顯示出復甦的跡象，比特幣 (BTC) 重新成為人們關注的焦點，突破了 64,000 美元的阻力位。

Bitcoin has been rallying again, surging past the $64,000 resistance level as the broader cryptocurrency market shows signs of recovering.

隨著更廣泛的加密貨幣市場顯示出復甦的跡象，比特幣再次上漲，突破了 64,000 美元的阻力位。

On Oct. 14, Bitcoin is trading around the $66,000 mark, showing a solid 5.5% surge in the past 24 hours. BTC has now gained over 15% this month, sparking renewed optimism among investors.

10 月 14 日，比特幣交易價格在 66,000 美元大關附近，在過去 24 小時內大幅上漲 5.5%。本月 BTC 漲幅已超過 15%，再次激發了投資人的樂觀情緒。

This surge follows a period of several weeks that saw volatility in the crypto space, largely influenced by global economic concerns and rising geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East.

這次飆升是在加密貨幣領域經歷了幾週的波動之後發生的，這在很大程度上受到全球經濟擔憂和地緣政治緊張局勢加劇的影響，特別是在中東。

However, the recent economic updates from China appear to be a key factor driving this new momentum. While China has been working to revive its economy, its much-anticipated stimulus announcement has left many wondering if it’s sufficient.

然而，中國最近的經濟動態似乎是推動這一新勢頭的關鍵因素。儘管中國一直在努力重振經濟，但其備受期待的刺激方案讓許多人懷疑這是否足夠。

According to Bloomberg, some speculators are shifting their funds out of Chinese stocks and into crypto, capitalizing on Bitcoin’s momentum. Earlier, this capital rotation from Bitcoin into Chinese equities was holding crypto down, said Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets. Now, with this rotation easing, Bitcoin seems to be reaping the benefits.

根據彭博社報道，一些投機者正在利用比特幣的勢頭將資金從中國股票轉向加密貨幣。 Orbit Markets 聯合創始人 Caroline Mauron 表示，此前，資本從比特幣轉向中國股市的現象導致加密貨幣價格下跌。現在，隨著這種輪換的緩和，比特幣似乎正在收穫好處。

Adding to the positive momentum, the bankrupt crypto exchange Mt. Gox’s decision last week to delay its creditor repayment deadline by another year has eased some market anxiety. The exchange owes nearly $2.7 billion worth of Bitcoin, and the delay has lessened fears of a large-scale sell-off.

破產的加密貨幣交易所 Mt. Gox 上週決定將債權人還款期限再推遲一年，這也緩解了市場的一些焦慮情緒，這進一步加劇了這一積極勢頭。該交易所欠下價值近 27 億美元的比特幣，這一延遲減輕了人們對大規模拋售的擔憂。

Moreover, October — fondly dubbed “Uptober” by the crypto community — has historically been Bitcoin’s most profitable month. Since its inception, Bitcoin has posted an average gain of over 21% in October, although there were setbacks in 2014 and 2018.

此外，十月——被加密社群親切地稱為「Uptober」——歷史上是比特幣最賺錢的月份。自誕生以來，儘管 2014 年和 2018 年出現了挫折，但 10 月比特幣平均漲幅超過 21%。

So, where does this leave Bitcoin now? Let’s dive deeper into what’s next for BTC and what Bitcoin price predictions could mean for the coming days.

那麼，現在比特幣將走向何方呢？讓我們更深入地了解比特幣的下一步發展以及比特幣價格預測對未來幾天的影響。

Several key factors have been boosting Bitcoin lately.

最近有幾個關鍵因素推動了比特幣的發展。

One of the clearest signs of positive momentum are the inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds. After a brief period of outflows, spot BTC ETFs saw a monumental shift on Oct. 11, recording their largest inflow in two weeks—surpassing $253 million.

積極勢頭最明顯的跡象之一是資金流入現貨比特幣交易所交易基金。經過短暫的資金流出後，現貨 BTC ETF 在 10 月 11 日發生了巨大轉變，創下兩週來最大流入量，超過 2.53 億美元。

This indicates that the recent selling pressure on Bitcoin might be easing, with investors regaining confidence. ETF inflows often indicate institutional interest, hinting at brighter days ahead for Bitcoin.

這顯示近期比特幣的拋售壓力可能正在緩解，投資者重拾信心。 ETF 的流入通常表示機構的興趣，暗示比特幣未來的日子會更加光明。

The U.S. presidential race is also adding to Bitcoin’s rise. Prediction markets have flipped, now favoring pro-crypto Republican candidate Donald Trump over Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris.

美國總統競選也推動了比特幣的上漲。預測市場發生了轉變，現在有利於支持加密貨幣的共和黨候選人唐納德·川普，而不是民主黨副總統卡馬拉·哈里斯。

As of Oct. 14, Trump’s odds of victory on Polymarket stand at 54%, while Harris’s have dropped to 45%, marking her lowest point since launching her campaign. A Trump win is seen as favorable for the crypto industry, potentially leading to more crypto-friendly policies.

截至10月14日，川普在Polymarket獲勝的幾率為54%，而哈里斯則降至45%，這是她發起競選以來的最低點。川普的勝利被認為對加密貨幣產業有利，可能會導致更多有利於加密貨幣的政策。

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s biggest corporate backer, MicroStrategy (MSTR), continues to outperform the market. Since adopting its Bitcoin-centric strategy in August 2020, MicroStrategy’s stock has surged 1,620%, vastly outpacing Bitcoin, the “Magnificent 7” tech giants, and the S&P 500.

同時，比特幣最大的企業支持者 MicroStrategy (MSTR) 的表現也持續跑贏大盤。自 2020 年 8 月採取以比特幣為中心的策略以來，MicroStrategy 的股價已飆升 1,620%，遠遠超過了比特幣、「Magnificent 7」科技巨頭和標準普爾 500 指數。

The only thing better than #Bitcoin is more Bitcoin. pic.twitter.com/jaS5HNbpIj

唯一比#Bitcoin 更好的是更多的比特幣。 pic.twitter.com/jaS5HNbpIj

Executive Chairman Michael Saylor remains bullish, recently tweeting, ‘the only thing better than bitcoin is more bitcoin.’

執行主席 Michael Saylor 仍然看好比特幣，最近在推特上表示，“唯一比比特幣更好的是更多的比特幣。”

However, Bitcoin mining has seen mixed results lately. While BTC prices have risen by 5% this month, the network’s hashrate also climbed by 11%, slightly impacting miners’ profitability.

然而，比特幣挖礦最近的結果卻好壞參半。雖然本月 BTC 價格上漲了 5%，但該網絡的算力也上漲了 11%，對礦工的獲利能力造成了輕微影響。

Analysts at Jefferies noted that miner revenue per exahash fell by 2.6% in September, and October could be more challenging unless prices surge.

Jefferies 分析師指出，9 月每 exahash 的礦工收入下降了 2.6%，除非價格飆升，否則 10 月可能更具挑戰性。

Bitcoin’s momentum is further fueled by the Federal Reserve’s recent moves. On Sep. 18, the Fed cut its interest rate by 50 basis points, bringing the short-term benchmark rate to 4.75%-5.00%.

聯準會最近的舉措進一步推動了比特幣的上漲勢頭。 9月18日，聯準會降息50個基點，短期基準利率降至4.75%-5.00%。

The market is also pricing in additional cuts, with an 86% chance of a 25 basis point cut in November and December. Lower rates generally benefit risk assets like Bitcoin, as cheaper borrowing costs drive investors toward higher-yielding alternatives.

市場也消化了進一步降息的可能性，11 月和 12 月降息 25 個基點的可能性為 86%。較低的利率通常有利於比特幣等風險資產，因為較低的借貸成本促使投資者轉向收益較高的替代品。

Looking at both macro and crypto-specific data, a few key observations are emerging about the potential direction of the market. Let’s take a look at some critical insights.

縱觀宏觀數據和加密貨幣特定數據，我們發現了一些關於市場潛在方向的關鍵觀察。讓我們來看看一些重要的見解。

According to IntoTheBlock’s “In/Out of the Money Around Price” data, Bitcoin faces minimal resistance in the $55,000 to $64,000 range.

根據 IntoTheBlock 的「價格周圍資金進/出」數據，比特幣在 55,000 美元至 64,000 美元範圍內面臨最小阻力。

Over 4.3 million BTC in volume is “in the money” here, meaning many holders are sitting in profitable positions, reinforcing the importance of this

超過 430 萬個 BTC 的交易量在這裡“處於貨幣狀態”，這意味著許多持有者都處於有利可圖的位置，這凸顯了這一點的重要性