随着市场对中国经济动态的反应，比特币突破 6.6 万美元

随着更广泛的加密市场显示出复苏的迹象，比特币 (BTC) 重新成为人们关注的焦点，突破了 64,000 美元的阻力位。

Bitcoin has been rallying again, surging past the $64,000 resistance level as the broader cryptocurrency market shows signs of recovering.

随着更广泛的加密货币市场显示出复苏的迹象，比特币再次上涨，突破了 64,000 美元的阻力位。

On Oct. 14, Bitcoin is trading around the $66,000 mark, showing a solid 5.5% surge in the past 24 hours. BTC has now gained over 15% this month, sparking renewed optimism among investors.

10 月 14 日，比特币交易价格在 66,000 美元大关附近，在过去 24 小时内大幅上涨 5.5%。本月 BTC 涨幅已超过 15%，再次激发了投资者的乐观情绪。

This surge follows a period of several weeks that saw volatility in the crypto space, largely influenced by global economic concerns and rising geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East.

此次飙升是在加密货币领域经历了几周的波动之后发生的，这在很大程度上受到全球经济担忧和地缘政治紧张局势加剧的影响，特别是在中东。

However, the recent economic updates from China appear to be a key factor driving this new momentum. While China has been working to revive its economy, its much-anticipated stimulus announcement has left many wondering if it’s sufficient.

然而，中国最近的经济动态似乎是推动这一新势头的关键因素。尽管中国一直在努力重振经济，但其备受期待的刺激计划让许多人怀疑这是否足够。

According to Bloomberg, some speculators are shifting their funds out of Chinese stocks and into crypto, capitalizing on Bitcoin’s momentum. Earlier, this capital rotation from Bitcoin into Chinese equities was holding crypto down, said Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets. Now, with this rotation easing, Bitcoin seems to be reaping the benefits.

据彭博社报道，一些投机者正在利用比特币的势头将资金从中国股票转向加密货币。 Orbit Markets 联合创始人卡罗琳·莫伦 (Caroline Mauron) 表示，此前，资本从比特币转向中国股市的现象导致加密货币价格下跌。现在，随着这种轮换的缓和，比特币似乎正在收获好处。

Adding to the positive momentum, the bankrupt crypto exchange Mt. Gox’s decision last week to delay its creditor repayment deadline by another year has eased some market anxiety. The exchange owes nearly $2.7 billion worth of Bitcoin, and the delay has lessened fears of a large-scale sell-off.

破产的加密货币交易所 Mt. Gox 上周决定将债权人还款期限再推迟一年，这也缓解了市场的一些焦虑情绪，这进一步加剧了这一积极势头。该交易所欠下价值近 27 亿美元的比特币，这一延迟减轻了人们对大规模抛售的担忧。

Moreover, October — fondly dubbed “Uptober” by the crypto community — has historically been Bitcoin’s most profitable month. Since its inception, Bitcoin has posted an average gain of over 21% in October, although there were setbacks in 2014 and 2018.

此外，十月——被加密社区亲切地称为“Uptober”——历史上是比特币最赚钱的月份。自诞生以来，尽管 2014 年和 2018 年出现了挫折，但 10 月份比特币平均涨幅超过 21%。

So, where does this leave Bitcoin now? Let’s dive deeper into what’s next for BTC and what Bitcoin price predictions could mean for the coming days.

那么，现在比特币将走向何方呢？让我们更深入地了解比特币的下一步发展以及比特币价格预测对未来几天的影响。

Several key factors have been boosting Bitcoin lately.

最近有几个关键因素推动了比特币的发展。

One of the clearest signs of positive momentum are the inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds. After a brief period of outflows, spot BTC ETFs saw a monumental shift on Oct. 11, recording their largest inflow in two weeks—surpassing $253 million.

积极势头最明显的迹象之一是资金流入现货比特币交易所交易基金。经过短暂的资金流出后，现货 BTC ETF 在 10 月 11 日发生了巨大转变，创下两周来最大流入量，超过 2.53 亿美元。

This indicates that the recent selling pressure on Bitcoin might be easing, with investors regaining confidence. ETF inflows often indicate institutional interest, hinting at brighter days ahead for Bitcoin.

这表明近期比特币的抛售压力可能正在缓解，投资者重拾信心。 ETF 的流入通常表明机构的兴趣，暗示比特币未来的日子会更加光明。

The U.S. presidential race is also adding to Bitcoin’s rise. Prediction markets have flipped, now favoring pro-crypto Republican candidate Donald Trump over Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris.

美国总统竞选也推动了比特币的上涨。预测市场发生了转变，现在有利于支持加密货币的共和党候选人唐纳德·特朗普，而不是民主党副总统卡马拉·哈里斯。

As of Oct. 14, Trump’s odds of victory on Polymarket stand at 54%, while Harris’s have dropped to 45%, marking her lowest point since launching her campaign. A Trump win is seen as favorable for the crypto industry, potentially leading to more crypto-friendly policies.

截至10月14日，特朗普在Polymarket获胜的几率为54%，而哈里斯则降至45%，这是她发起竞选以来的最低点。特朗普的胜利被认为对加密货币行业有利，可能会导致更多有利于加密货币的政策。

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s biggest corporate backer, MicroStrategy (MSTR), continues to outperform the market. Since adopting its Bitcoin-centric strategy in August 2020, MicroStrategy’s stock has surged 1,620%, vastly outpacing Bitcoin, the “Magnificent 7” tech giants, and the S&P 500.

与此同时，比特币最大的企业支持者 MicroStrategy (MSTR) 的表现继续跑赢市场。自 2020 年 8 月采取以比特币为中心的战略以来，MicroStrategy 的股价已飙升 1,620%，远远超过了比特币、“Magnificent 7”科技巨头和标准普尔 500 指数。

The only thing better than #Bitcoin is more Bitcoin. pic.twitter.com/jaS5HNbpIj

唯一比#Bitcoin 更好的是更多的比特币。 pic.twitter.com/jaS5HNbpIj

Executive Chairman Michael Saylor remains bullish, recently tweeting, ‘the only thing better than bitcoin is more bitcoin.’

执行主席 Michael Saylor 仍然看好比特币，最近在推特上表示，“唯一比比特币更好的就是更多的比特币。”

However, Bitcoin mining has seen mixed results lately. While BTC prices have risen by 5% this month, the network’s hashrate also climbed by 11%, slightly impacting miners’ profitability.

然而，比特币挖矿最近的结果好坏参半。虽然本月 BTC 价格上涨了 5%，但该网络的算力也上涨了 11%，对矿商的盈利能力造成了轻微影响。

Analysts at Jefferies noted that miner revenue per exahash fell by 2.6% in September, and October could be more challenging unless prices surge.

Jefferies 分析师指出，9 月份每 exahash 的矿工收入下降了 2.6%，除非价格飙升，否则 10 月份可能更具挑战性。

Bitcoin’s momentum is further fueled by the Federal Reserve’s recent moves. On Sep. 18, the Fed cut its interest rate by 50 basis points, bringing the short-term benchmark rate to 4.75%-5.00%.

美联储最近的举措进一步推动了比特币的上涨势头。 9月18日，美联储降息50个基点，短期基准利率降至4.75%-5.00%。

The market is also pricing in additional cuts, with an 86% chance of a 25 basis point cut in November and December. Lower rates generally benefit risk assets like Bitcoin, as cheaper borrowing costs drive investors toward higher-yielding alternatives.

市场还消化了进一步降息的可能性，11 月和 12 月降息 25 个基点的可能性为 86%。较低的利率通常有利于比特币等风险资产，因为较低的借贷成本促使投资者转向更高收益的替代品。

Looking at both macro and crypto-specific data, a few key observations are emerging about the potential direction of the market. Let’s take a look at some critical insights.

纵观宏观数据和加密货币特定数据，我们发现了一些关于市场潜在方向的关键观察结果。让我们来看看一些重要的见解。

According to IntoTheBlock’s “In/Out of the Money Around Price” data, Bitcoin faces minimal resistance in the $55,000 to $64,000 range.

根据 IntoTheBlock 的“价格周围资金进/出”数据，比特币在 55,000 美元至 64,000 美元范围内面临最小阻力。

Over 4.3 million BTC in volume is “in the money” here, meaning many holders are sitting in profitable positions, reinforcing the importance of this

超过 430 万个 BTC 的交易量在这里“处于货币状态”，这意味着许多持有者都处于有利可图的位置，这凸显了这一点的重要性