XRP价格预测：代币会继续下跌吗？

Ripple的XRP自10月初以来一直保持下跌趋势。这一下跌是在美国证券交易委员会（SEC）宣布

Ripple's XRP has been on a downward spiral since early October, following the US Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) announcement that it would appeal a federal judge's ruling in its case against the payments service provider.

自 10 月初以来，Ripple 的 XRP 一直呈螺旋式下降，此前美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 宣布将对联邦法官针对该支付服务提供商的案件的裁决提出上诉。

This price drop has resulted in XRP's supply held in profit hitting its lowest level since July, with further declines in the token's value being a distinct possibility.

此次价格下跌导致 XRP 的供应量利润触及 7 月份以来的最低水平，并且该代币的价值很可能进一步下跌。

Ripple Holders Count Their Losses

瑞波持有者计算他们的损失

On October 2, the SEC filed its notice of appeal, seeking to overturn the court's ruling that programmatic sales of XRP to retail investors did not constitute a violation of securities laws. The regulator went on to submit its appeal on October 10, prompting Ripple to announce its plans to file a cross-appeal of its own.

10 月 2 日，SEC 提交上诉通知，寻求推翻法院关于向散户投资者程序化销售 XRP 不构成违反证券法的裁决。该监管机构随后于 10 月 10 日提交上诉，促使 Ripple 宣布计划提出自己的交叉上诉。

These developments have exerted downward pressure on XRP's price over the past month. It trades at $0.50 at press time, shedding 6% of its value since October 2.

这些事态发展在过去一个月对 XRP 的价格施加了下行压力。截至发稿时，其交易价格为 0.50 美元，自 10 月 2 日以来市值缩水 6%。

This price decline has led to a drop in the percentage of XRP's supply held in profit. According to Santiment's data, this figure now stands at 70.4% — its lowest since July 12. For context, this metric was 90% at the beginning of October, before the SEC's notice of appeal.

价格下跌导致 XRP 供应量占利润的比例下降。根据 Santiment 的数据，这一数字目前为 70.4%，是 7 月 12 日以来的最低水平。就背景而言，这一指标在 10 月初（即美国证券交易委员会发出上诉通知之前）为 90%。

When an asset's supply in profit drops, fewer holders are currently holding it at a profit compared to when they acquired it. This decline often correlates with a drop in the asset's price, as in XRP's case. As more holders face losses, selling pressure may rise, particularly if token holders aim to cut further losses.

当一项资产的供应量下降时，与购买该资产时相比，目前持有该资产并获利的持有者会减少。这种下降通常与资产价格的下降相关，就像 XRP 的情况一样。随着越来越多的持有者面临损失，抛售压力可能会上升，特别是如果代币持有者旨在减少进一步的损失。

XRP's declining Relative Strength Index (RSI) reflects a sustained increase in selling pressure. Currently sitting at 38.77, this indicator — used to assess whether an asset is oversold or overbought — suggests that selling activity has outpaced buying among traders.

XRP 相对强度指数（RSI）下降反映出抛售压力持续增加。该指标目前为 38.77，用于评估资产是否超卖或超买，表明交易者的卖出活动超过了买入。

XRP Price Prediction: One Way to Stop the Decline

XRP 价格预测：阻止下跌的一种方法

XRP's price drop has pushed it below the critical support floor at $0.52. As of this writing, the altcoin is trading at $0.50, and with buying pressure waning, XRP risks extending its decline.

XRP 的价格下跌已使其跌破 0.52 美元的关键支撑位。截至撰写本文时，该山寨币的交易价格为 0.50 美元，随着购买压力减弱，XRP 面临扩大跌势的风险。

Readings from its Fibonacci Retracement tool suggest that the altcoin may attempt to test the $0.46 support level. If the bulls fail to defend it, XRP may plummet to its July 5 low of $0.38.

斐波那契回撤工具的读数表明，山寨币可能会尝试测试 0.46 美元的支撑位。如果多头未能捍卫它，XRP 可能会暴跌至 7 月 5 日低点 0.38 美元。

However, a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish would invalidate this bearish projection. If this happens, XRP's price may attempt to break above $0.52, with a successful move past this level setting it on a path to trade above $0.60.

然而，市场情绪从看跌转向看涨将使这一看跌预测失效。如果发生这种情况，XRP 的价格可能会尝试突破 0.52 美元，成功突破这一水平将使其走上 0.60 美元上方的交易之路。