XRP價格預測：代幣會繼續下跌嗎？

Ripple的XRP自10月初以來一直保持下跌趨勢。這一下跌是在美國證券交易委員會（SEC）宣布

Ripple's XRP has been on a downward spiral since early October, following the US Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) announcement that it would appeal a federal judge's ruling in its case against the payments service provider.

自 10 月初以來，Ripple 的 XRP 一直呈螺旋式下降，此前美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 宣布將對聯邦法官針對該支付服務提供者的案件的裁決提出上訴。

This price drop has resulted in XRP's supply held in profit hitting its lowest level since July, with further declines in the token's value being a distinct possibility.

此次價格下跌導致 XRP 的供應量利潤觸及 7 月以來的最低水平，而該代幣的價值很可能會進一步下跌。

Ripple Holders Count Their Losses

瑞波持有者計算他們的損失

On October 2, the SEC filed its notice of appeal, seeking to overturn the court's ruling that programmatic sales of XRP to retail investors did not constitute a violation of securities laws. The regulator went on to submit its appeal on October 10, prompting Ripple to announce its plans to file a cross-appeal of its own.

10 月 2 日，SEC 提交上訴通知，尋求推翻法院關於向散戶投資者程序化銷售 XRP 不構成違反證券法的裁決。該監管機構隨後於 10 月 10 日提交上訴，促使 Ripple 宣布計劃提出自己的交叉上訴。

These developments have exerted downward pressure on XRP's price over the past month. It trades at $0.50 at press time, shedding 6% of its value since October 2.

這些事態發展在過去一個月對 XRP 的價格施加了下行壓力。截至發稿時，其交易價格為 0.50 美元，自 10 月 2 日以來市值縮水 6%。

This price decline has led to a drop in the percentage of XRP's supply held in profit. According to Santiment's data, this figure now stands at 70.4% — its lowest since July 12. For context, this metric was 90% at the beginning of October, before the SEC's notice of appeal.

價格下跌導致 XRP 供應量佔利潤的比例下降。根據 Santiment 的數據，這一數字目前為 70.4%，是自 7 月 12 日以來的最低水準。

When an asset's supply in profit drops, fewer holders are currently holding it at a profit compared to when they acquired it. This decline often correlates with a drop in the asset's price, as in XRP's case. As more holders face losses, selling pressure may rise, particularly if token holders aim to cut further losses.

當一項資產的利潤供給下降時，與購買該資產時相比，目前持有該資產並獲利的持有者就會減少。這種下降通常與資產價格的下降有關，就像 XRP 的情況一樣。隨著越來越多的持有者面臨損失，拋售壓力可能會上升，特別是如果代幣持有者旨在減少進一步的損失。

XRP's declining Relative Strength Index (RSI) reflects a sustained increase in selling pressure. Currently sitting at 38.77, this indicator — used to assess whether an asset is oversold or overbought — suggests that selling activity has outpaced buying among traders.

XRP 相對強度指數（RSI）下降反映拋售壓力持續增加。該指標目前為 38.77，用於評估資產是否超賣或超買，顯示交易者的賣出活動超過了買入。

XRP Price Prediction: One Way to Stop the Decline

XRP 價格預測：阻止下跌的一種方法

XRP's price drop has pushed it below the critical support floor at $0.52. As of this writing, the altcoin is trading at $0.50, and with buying pressure waning, XRP risks extending its decline.

XRP 的價格下跌已使其跌破 0.52 美元的關鍵支撐位。截至撰寫本文時，該山寨幣的交易價格為 0.50 美元，隨著購買壓力減弱，XRP 面臨擴大跌勢的風險。

Readings from its Fibonacci Retracement tool suggest that the altcoin may attempt to test the $0.46 support level. If the bulls fail to defend it, XRP may plummet to its July 5 low of $0.38.

斐波那契回撤工具的讀數表明，山寨幣可能會嘗試測試 0.46 美元的支撐位。如果多頭未能捍衛它，XRP 可能會暴跌至 7 月 5 日低點 0.38 美元。

However, a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish would invalidate this bearish projection. If this happens, XRP's price may attempt to break above $0.52, with a successful move past this level setting it on a path to trade above $0.60.

然而，市場情緒從看跌轉向看漲將使這一看跌預測失效。如果發生這種情況，XRP 的價格可能會嘗試突破 0.52 美元，成功突破這一水平將使其走上 0.60 美元上方的交易之路。