本周，比特币带我们在颤抖的希望和非常真实的风险之间进行新的舞蹈

在技​​术分析，宏数据和市场信号之间，悬念是总的。那么，您准备好将这种新的加密货币冒险对我们来说是什么盘点？

This week saw bitcoin's price action continue to be closely watched by market participants, who are keeping an eye out for signs of further price increases. According to a recent report by CrypNuevo, bitcoin traders appear to be getting more tense despite the fact that the cryptocurrency has risen by almost 15% from its recent lows.

本周，市场参与者仍在密切关注比特币的价格行动，他们一直在关注进一步价格上涨的迹象。根据Crypnuevo最近的一份报告，尽管加密货币比最近的低点增长了近15％，但比特币交易员似乎越来越紧张。

After hitting highs of over $85,000, bitcoin traders are now anticipating a return to around $80,000 as a recent surge in price may have been largely influenced by market makers, according to CrypNuevo.

克里普努维（Crypnuevo）表示，在达到高达85,000美元的高价之后，比特币交易员现在预计将返回80,000美元，因为最近的价格涨幅可能会受到市政商人的很大影响。

However, HTL-NL believes that the price of bitcoin may be capped at $90,000 before it begins to reverse. The trader also noted that the recent sharp decline in the price of bitcoin after it crossed the $85,000 mark may be a sign that the apex cryptocurrency is setting the stage for a deeper correction.

但是，HTL-NL认为比特币的价格可能在开始倒转之前上限为90,000美元。该交易员还指出，超过85,000美元大关后，比特币价格最近的急剧下降可能表明，Apex加密货币正在为更深入的更正奠定基础。

Furthermore, experienced trader Arthur Hayes has warned that bitcoin could spike to $110,000 before a 30% correction.

此外，经验丰富的商人亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）警告说，比特币在30％的更正之前可以飙升至110,000美元。

The PCE index is a key inflation indicator that is closely watched by economists and investors. The index measures the prices of goods and services that are typically purchased by consumers. It is also used by the Federal Reserve to guide its monetary policy.

PCE指数是经济学家和投资者密切关注的关键通货膨胀指标。该指数衡量了通常由消费者购买的商品和服务价格。美联储还使用它来指导其货币政策。

The PCE price index is expected to rise 0.4% m/m in February after a 0.8% increase the previous month, while the core index is anticipated to increase 0.3% m/m following a 0.6% rise in January. Economists polled by Dow Jones also project a 0.4% m/m increase in the PCE price index and a 0.3% m/m rise in the core index.

PCE价格指数预计在上个月增长0.8％后，2月份将上升0.4％m/m，而核心指数预计在一月份上升0.6％后，预计核心指数将增加0.3％m/m。道琼斯（Dow Jones）对经济学家进行了调查，还指出，PCE价格指数增加了0.4％m/m，核心指数上升了0.3％m/m。

The PCE index is a broad measure of inflation that includes a wide range of consumer goods and services. It is also the preferred inflation measure of the Federal Reserve.

PCE指数是通货膨胀的广泛度量，其中包括各种消费品和服务。它也是美联储的首选通货膨胀量度。

The PCE index has been a key focus for investors in recent months as the Federal Reserve has indicated that it will be monitoring the index closely when making interest rate decisions. The Fed's goal is to keep inflation at a rate of 2%.

PCE指数在最近几个月中一直是投资者的重点，因为美联储表示将在制定利率决策时密切监视该指数。美联储的目标是以2％的速度保持通货膨胀率。

Rising PCE inflation may lead to a mixed open for U.S. stocks on Thursday, especially with the pending increase in bitcoin mining difficulty and customs tariffs, which economists have warned could ultimately worsen the good inflation narrative that Jerome Powell has spoken about.

PCE通货膨胀率上升可能会在周四为美国股票带来混杂的开放，尤其是随着比特币采矿难度和海关关税的待定增加，经济学家警告说，这可能会使杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）所说的良好通货膨胀叙事恶化。

Among the indicators that traders follow closely, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is heating up. On daily and weekly time frames, the RSI is showing signs of a bullish breakout, exiting a bearish trend that began in November. Rekt Capital and Matthew Hyland highlight this interesting development.

在交易者密切关注的指标中，RSI（相对强度指数）正在加热。在每日和每周的时间范围内，RSI表现出了看涨的突破迹象，这消除了11月开始的看跌趋势。 Rekt Capital和Matthew Hyland强调了这一有趣的发展。

Currently, the daily RSI is around 51.4, a level that could be decisive. It's a small change, but in the world of bitcoin, even a slight variation in an indicator can sometimes be the starting point for a major move. Something to keep an eye on as the bullish trend of BTC is at stake.

目前，每日RSI约为51.4，这可能是决定性的。这是一个很小的变化，但是在比特币的世界中，指示器的略有变化有时也可能是重大举动的起点。随着BTC的看涨趋势受到威胁，您会密切关注的事情。

Short-term holders (STH), those who have held BTC for less than a few months, are going through a difficult period. According to Glassnode, their unrealized losses have risen sharply, reaching critical levels.

持有BTC不到几个月的人（STH）经历了艰难的时期。根据GlassNode的说法，他们未实现的损失急剧上升，达到了关键水平。

As a result, some short-term holders are panicking and selling their BTC at a loss. This is evident in the recent report by CCData, which found that cryptocurrency hedge funds and other institutional investors pulled a record amount of funds from digital assets in March due to the recent market downturn.

结果，一些短期持有人陷入了恐慌和出售其BTC。 CCDATA最近的一份报告中很明显，该报告发现，由于最近的市场低迷，加密货币对冲基金和其他机构投资者在3月从数字资产中获取了创纪录的资金。

The report stated that 100,000 bitcoin, valued at around $10 billion, were sold by short-term holders over the past month. However, this figure pales in comparison to the record outflows of 2021 and 2022, which reached 7 billion bitcoin, or about $7 trillion at current prices.

该报告指出，在过去一个月中，短期持有人出售了100,000个价值约100亿美元的比特币。但是，与2021年和2022年的创纪录的流出相比，该数字显得苍白，该流出达到70亿比特币，即以当前价格约7万亿美元。

Despite the recent outflows, the report noted that institutional investors remain interested in bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in the long term.

尽管最近出现了流出，但该报告指出，从长远来看，机构投资者对比特币和其他加密货币仍然感兴趣。

The data from Binance shows that the stablecoin reserves on the exchange have hit a new all-time high of over 31.8 billion. This new record comes after Binance announced that it had fully recovered the user funds that were affected by the recent market turmoil.

Binance的数据表明，交易所上的Stablecoin储备金已经达到了新的318亿次历史最高点。在Binance宣布已经完全收回了受最近市场动荡影响的用户资金之后，这一新记录是在此记录之后产生的。

The massive stablecoin reserves at Binance may be a sign that the crypto exchange is preparing for a new price movement. Binance is known for its high trading volumes, which may indicate that there is still plenty of interest in cryptocurrencies among institutional investors.

Binance的庞大稳定储备可能表明加密交易所正在为新的价格变动做准备。 Binance以其巨大的交易量而闻名，这可能表明，机构投资者中仍然对加密货币有很多兴趣。

However, it is important to note that the PCE index is just one of many economic indicators that will be released this week. Other indicators, such as the ISM manufacturing index and the employment report, could also have an impact on market mood.

但是，重要的是要注意，PCE指数只是本周将发布的许多经济指标之一。其他指标（例如ISM制造指数和就业报告）也可能会影响市场情绪。