This week, bitcoin takes us on a new dance between trembling hopes and very real risks

Between technical analyses, macro data, and market signals, the suspense is total. So, are you ready to take stock together of what this new crypto adventure has in store for us?

This week saw bitcoin's price action continue to be closely watched by market participants, who are keeping an eye out for signs of further price increases. According to a recent report by CrypNuevo, bitcoin traders appear to be getting more tense despite the fact that the cryptocurrency has risen by almost 15% from its recent lows.

After hitting highs of over $85,000, bitcoin traders are now anticipating a return to around $80,000 as a recent surge in price may have been largely influenced by market makers, according to CrypNuevo.

However, HTL-NL believes that the price of bitcoin may be capped at $90,000 before it begins to reverse. The trader also noted that the recent sharp decline in the price of bitcoin after it crossed the $85,000 mark may be a sign that the apex cryptocurrency is setting the stage for a deeper correction.

Furthermore, experienced trader Arthur Hayes has warned that bitcoin could spike to $110,000 before a 30% correction.

The PCE index is a key inflation indicator that is closely watched by economists and investors. The index measures the prices of goods and services that are typically purchased by consumers. It is also used by the Federal Reserve to guide its monetary policy.

The PCE price index is expected to rise 0.4% m/m in February after a 0.8% increase the previous month, while the core index is anticipated to increase 0.3% m/m following a 0.6% rise in January. Economists polled by Dow Jones also project a 0.4% m/m increase in the PCE price index and a 0.3% m/m rise in the core index.

The PCE index is a broad measure of inflation that includes a wide range of consumer goods and services. It is also the preferred inflation measure of the Federal Reserve.

The PCE index has been a key focus for investors in recent months as the Federal Reserve has indicated that it will be monitoring the index closely when making interest rate decisions. The Fed's goal is to keep inflation at a rate of 2%.

Rising PCE inflation may lead to a mixed open for U.S. stocks on Thursday, especially with the pending increase in bitcoin mining difficulty and customs tariffs, which economists have warned could ultimately worsen the good inflation narrative that Jerome Powell has spoken about.

Among the indicators that traders follow closely, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is heating up. On daily and weekly time frames, the RSI is showing signs of a bullish breakout, exiting a bearish trend that began in November. Rekt Capital and Matthew Hyland highlight this interesting development.

Currently, the daily RSI is around 51.4, a level that could be decisive. It's a small change, but in the world of bitcoin, even a slight variation in an indicator can sometimes be the starting point for a major move. Something to keep an eye on as the bullish trend of BTC is at stake.

Short-term holders (STH), those who have held BTC for less than a few months, are going through a difficult period. According to Glassnode, their unrealized losses have risen sharply, reaching critical levels.

As a result, some short-term holders are panicking and selling their BTC at a loss. This is evident in the recent report by CCData, which found that cryptocurrency hedge funds and other institutional investors pulled a record amount of funds from digital assets in March due to the recent market downturn.

The report stated that 100,000 bitcoin, valued at around $10 billion, were sold by short-term holders over the past month. However, this figure pales in comparison to the record outflows of 2021 and 2022, which reached 7 billion bitcoin, or about $7 trillion at current prices.

Despite the recent outflows, the report noted that institutional investors remain interested in bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in the long term.

The data from Binance shows that the stablecoin reserves on the exchange have hit a new all-time high of over 31.8 billion. This new record comes after Binance announced that it had fully recovered the user funds that were affected by the recent market turmoil.

The massive stablecoin reserves at Binance may be a sign that the crypto exchange is preparing for a new price movement. Binance is known for its high trading volumes, which may indicate that there is still plenty of interest in cryptocurrencies among institutional investors.

However, it is important to note that the PCE index is just one of many economic indicators that will be released this week. Other indicators, such as the ISM manufacturing index and the employment report, could also have an impact on market mood.