本週，比特幣帶我們在顫抖的希望和非常真實的風險之間進行新的舞蹈

在技​​術分析，宏數據和市場信號之間，懸念是總的。那麼，您準備好將這種新的加密貨幣冒險對我們來說是什麼盤點？

This week saw bitcoin's price action continue to be closely watched by market participants, who are keeping an eye out for signs of further price increases. According to a recent report by CrypNuevo, bitcoin traders appear to be getting more tense despite the fact that the cryptocurrency has risen by almost 15% from its recent lows.

本週，市場參與者仍在密切關注比特幣的價格行動，他們一直在關注進一步價格上漲的跡象。根據Crypnuevo最近的一份報告，儘管加密貨幣比最近的低點增長了近15％，但比特幣交易員似乎越來越緊張。

After hitting highs of over $85,000, bitcoin traders are now anticipating a return to around $80,000 as a recent surge in price may have been largely influenced by market makers, according to CrypNuevo.

克里普努維（Crypnuevo）表示，在達到高達85,000美元的高價之後，比特幣交易員現在預計將返回80,000美元，因為最近的價格漲幅可能會受到市政商人的很大影響。

However, HTL-NL believes that the price of bitcoin may be capped at $90,000 before it begins to reverse. The trader also noted that the recent sharp decline in the price of bitcoin after it crossed the $85,000 mark may be a sign that the apex cryptocurrency is setting the stage for a deeper correction.

但是，HTL-NL認為比特幣的價格可能在開始倒轉之前上限為90,000美元。該交易員還指出，超過85,000美元大關後，比特幣價格最近的急劇下降可能表明，Apex加密貨幣正在為更深入的更正奠定基礎。

Furthermore, experienced trader Arthur Hayes has warned that bitcoin could spike to $110,000 before a 30% correction.

此外，經驗豐富的商人亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）警告說，比特幣在30％的更正之前可以飆升至110,000美元。

The PCE index is a key inflation indicator that is closely watched by economists and investors. The index measures the prices of goods and services that are typically purchased by consumers. It is also used by the Federal Reserve to guide its monetary policy.

PCE指數是經濟學家和投資者密切關注的關鍵通貨膨脹指標。該指數衡量了通常由消費者購買的商品和服務價格。美聯儲還使用它來指導其貨幣政策。

The PCE price index is expected to rise 0.4% m/m in February after a 0.8% increase the previous month, while the core index is anticipated to increase 0.3% m/m following a 0.6% rise in January. Economists polled by Dow Jones also project a 0.4% m/m increase in the PCE price index and a 0.3% m/m rise in the core index.

PCE價格指數預計在上個月增長0.8％後，2月份將上升0.4％m/m，而核心指數預計在一月份上升0.6％後，預計核心指數將增加0.3％m/m。道瓊斯（Dow Jones）對經濟學家進行了調查，還指出，PCE價格指數增加了0.4％m/m，核心指數上升了0.3％m/m。

The PCE index is a broad measure of inflation that includes a wide range of consumer goods and services. It is also the preferred inflation measure of the Federal Reserve.

PCE指數是通貨膨脹的廣泛度量，其中包括各種消費品和服務。它也是美聯儲的首選通貨膨脹量度。

The PCE index has been a key focus for investors in recent months as the Federal Reserve has indicated that it will be monitoring the index closely when making interest rate decisions. The Fed's goal is to keep inflation at a rate of 2%.

PCE指數在最近幾個月中一直是投資者的重點，因為美聯儲表示將在製定利率決策時密切監視該指數。美聯儲的目標是以2％的速度保持通貨膨脹率。

Rising PCE inflation may lead to a mixed open for U.S. stocks on Thursday, especially with the pending increase in bitcoin mining difficulty and customs tariffs, which economists have warned could ultimately worsen the good inflation narrative that Jerome Powell has spoken about.

PCE通貨膨脹率上升可能會在周四為美國股票帶來混雜的開放，尤其是隨著比特幣採礦難度和海關關稅的待定增加，經濟學家警告說，這可能會使杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）所說的良好通貨膨脹敘事惡化。

Among the indicators that traders follow closely, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is heating up. On daily and weekly time frames, the RSI is showing signs of a bullish breakout, exiting a bearish trend that began in November. Rekt Capital and Matthew Hyland highlight this interesting development.

在交易者密切關注的指標中，RSI（相對強度指數）正在加熱。在每日和每週的時間範圍內，RSI表現出了看漲的突破跡象，這消除了11月開始的看跌趨勢。 Rekt Capital和Matthew Hyland強調了這一有趣的發展。

Currently, the daily RSI is around 51.4, a level that could be decisive. It's a small change, but in the world of bitcoin, even a slight variation in an indicator can sometimes be the starting point for a major move. Something to keep an eye on as the bullish trend of BTC is at stake.

目前，每日RSI約為51.4，這可能是決定性的。這是一個很小的變化，但是在比特幣的世界中，指示器的略有變化有時也可能是重大舉動的起點。隨著BTC的看漲趨勢受到威脅，您會密切關注的事情。

Short-term holders (STH), those who have held BTC for less than a few months, are going through a difficult period. According to Glassnode, their unrealized losses have risen sharply, reaching critical levels.

持有BTC不到幾個月的人（STH）經歷了艱難的時期。根據GlassNode的說法，他們未實現的損失急劇上升，達到了關鍵水平。

As a result, some short-term holders are panicking and selling their BTC at a loss. This is evident in the recent report by CCData, which found that cryptocurrency hedge funds and other institutional investors pulled a record amount of funds from digital assets in March due to the recent market downturn.

結果，一些短期持有人陷入了恐慌和出售其BTC。 CCDATA最近的一份報告中很明顯，該報告發現，由於最近的市場低迷，加密貨幣對沖基金和其他機構投資者在3月從數字資產中獲取了創紀錄的資金。

The report stated that 100,000 bitcoin, valued at around $10 billion, were sold by short-term holders over the past month. However, this figure pales in comparison to the record outflows of 2021 and 2022, which reached 7 billion bitcoin, or about $7 trillion at current prices.

該報告指出，在過去一個月中，短期持有人出售了100,000個價值約100億美元的比特幣。但是，與2021年和2022年的創紀錄的流出相比，該數字顯得蒼白，該流出達到70億比特幣，即以當前價格約7萬億美元。

Despite the recent outflows, the report noted that institutional investors remain interested in bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in the long term.

儘管最近出現了流出，但該報告指出，從長遠來看，機構投資者對比特幣和其他加密貨幣仍然感興趣。

The data from Binance shows that the stablecoin reserves on the exchange have hit a new all-time high of over 31.8 billion. This new record comes after Binance announced that it had fully recovered the user funds that were affected by the recent market turmoil.

Binance的數據表明，交易所上的Stablecoin儲備金已經達到了新的318億次歷史最高點。在Binance宣布已經完全收回了受最近市場動盪影響的用戶資金之後，這一新記錄是在此記錄之後產生的。

The massive stablecoin reserves at Binance may be a sign that the crypto exchange is preparing for a new price movement. Binance is known for its high trading volumes, which may indicate that there is still plenty of interest in cryptocurrencies among institutional investors.

Binance的龐大穩定儲備可能表明加密交易所正在為新的價格變動做準備。 Binance以其巨大的交易量而聞名，這可能表明，機構投資者中仍然對加密貨幣有很多興趣。

However, it is important to note that the PCE index is just one of many economic indicators that will be released this week. Other indicators, such as the ISM manufacturing index and the employment report, could also have an impact on market mood.

但是，重要的是要注意，PCE指數只是本週將發布的許多經濟指標之一。其他指標（例如ISM製造指數和就業報告）也可能會影響市場情緒。