03/19更新下面。该帖子最初于3月18日发表

最近几周，比特币一直陷入困境，在“恐慌销售”引起了人们对比特币价格崩溃的担忧后，努力恢复动力。

Crypto traders are closely watching for any sign that the Federal Reserve could be preparing to step in and support markets, following a period of turbulence sparked by Donald Trump’s trade policies and the rising threat of recession.

加密交易者正在密切关注任何迹象表明，在唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的贸易政策引起了一段时间的动荡和衰退威胁时，美联储可能正在准备介入和支持市场。

Now, BitMex cofounder Arthur Hayes has predicted the Fed could begin cutting interest rates by the second half of the year, an action that could help to prop up markets and pour fuel on the bitcoin price.

现在，Bitmex联合创始人亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）预测，美联储可能会在下半年开始降低利率，这一行动可以帮助支撑市场并将燃料倒入比特币价格上。

“When there’s financial distress, they always print money. It doesn’t matter on the political leanings,” Hayes, who went onto launch the Maelstrom investment company, said in a wide-ranging interview with Bitcoin News.

“当经济困扰时，他们总是打印钱。在政治倾向上，这并不重要，”进入莫尔斯特罗姆投资公司的海耶斯在接受比特币新闻的广泛采访中说。

The bitcoin price and wider crypto market has followed stock markets lower in recent weeks as traders react to U.S. president Donald Trump’s on again-off again international trade tariffs and the rising risk of recession.

随着交易者对美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的反应，比特币价格和更广泛的加密市场在最近几周的股票市场降低了，又一次的国际贸易关税和衰退风险上升。

Earlier this week, Trump said he was planning to introduce new tariffs on goods from Mexico in a bid to deter illegal immigration across the U.S. border.

本周早些时候，特朗普表示，他正计划对墨西哥的商品征收新的关税，以阻止整个美国边境的非法移民。

The move threatens to escalate the trade war with China, which began last year with Trump imposing tariffs on $250 billion worth of Chinese goods in an effort to reduce the U.S. trade deficit with the world’s second largest economy.

此举可能会升级与中国的贸易战，该战争于去年开始，特朗普对价值2500亿美元的中国商品征收关税，以减少美国第二大经济体的贸易赤字。

China responded with retaliatory tariffs and the two superpowers have been locked in a trade standoff ever since.

中国以报复性的关税做出了回应，从那以后，这两个超级大国一直陷入贸易对峙中。

The U.S. president has said he wants to meet with Chinese president Xi Jinping at the upcoming G20 summit in Japan to discuss the trade issues further.

美国总统表示，他想在即将到来的日本举行的G20峰会上与中国总统习近平会面，以进一步讨论贸易问题。

But the threat of Trump’s trade policies has weighed heavily on markets in recent months, with traders pricing in an increasing probability of a U.S. recession later this year.

但是，最近几个月，特朗普的贸易政策威胁在市场上严重打击了市场，而交易员的定价越来越多，今年晚些时候，美国衰退的可能性越来越大。

The bitcoin price and crypto market are closely correlated with stock markets, which tend to perform poorly during periods of economic downturn.

比特币的价格和加密市场与股票市场密切相关，股票市场在经济低迷时期的表现往往很差。

As such, any sign that the Fed could be stepping in to support the economy and markets could be closely watched by crypto traders.

因此，加密交易者都可以密切关注美联储介入以支持经济和市场的任何迹象。

The Fed is currently in the midst of a cycle of raising interest rates and reducing its balance sheet, a process known as quantitative tightening.

美联储目前正处于提高利率和降低其资产负债表的周期中，这一过程称为定量收紧。

This policy is designed to cool the economy and prevent inflation.

该政策旨在冷静经济并防止通货膨胀。

However, it has also been blamed for stifling economic growth and making it more difficult for businesses to invest and hire.

但是，它也被指责为扼杀经济增长，并使企业更难投资和雇用。

Some economists have argued that the Fed should be cutting interest rates and increasing its balance sheet in order to support the economy during a period of global uncertainty.

一些经济学家认为，美联储应降低利率并增加其资产负债表，以便在全球不确定性时期支持经济。

The Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting this week, but traders will be closely listening for any hints that the central bank could be preparing to shift course.

预计美联储将在本周的会议上保持不变，但交易者将密切聆听中央银行可能准备转移课程的任何提示。

A move by the Fed to cut interest rates or end quantitative tightening could help to boost the bitcoin price, crypto and stock markets.

美联储以降低利率或结束定量收紧的举动可以帮助提高比特币价格，加密和股票市场。