03/19更新下面。該帖子最初於3月18日發表

最近幾週，比特幣一直陷入困境，在“恐慌銷售”引起了人們對比特幣價格崩潰的擔憂後，努力恢復動力。

Crypto traders are closely watching for any sign that the Federal Reserve could be preparing to step in and support markets, following a period of turbulence sparked by Donald Trump’s trade policies and the rising threat of recession.

加密交易者正在密切關注任何跡象表明，在唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的貿易政策引起了一段時間的動盪和衰退威脅時，美聯儲可能正在準備介入和支持市場。

Now, BitMex cofounder Arthur Hayes has predicted the Fed could begin cutting interest rates by the second half of the year, an action that could help to prop up markets and pour fuel on the bitcoin price.

現在，Bitmex聯合創始人亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）預測，美聯儲可能會在下半年開始降低利率，這一行動可以幫助支撐市場並將燃料倒入比特幣價格上。

“When there’s financial distress, they always print money. It doesn’t matter on the political leanings,” Hayes, who went onto launch the Maelstrom investment company, said in a wide-ranging interview with Bitcoin News.

“當經濟困擾時，他們總是打印錢。在政治傾向上，這並不重要，”進入莫爾斯特羅姆投資公司的海耶斯在接受比特幣新聞的廣泛採訪中說。

The bitcoin price and wider crypto market has followed stock markets lower in recent weeks as traders react to U.S. president Donald Trump’s on again-off again international trade tariffs and the rising risk of recession.

隨著交易者對美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的反應，比特幣價格和更廣泛的加密市場在最近幾週的股票市場降低了，又一次的國際貿易關稅和衰退風險上升。

Earlier this week, Trump said he was planning to introduce new tariffs on goods from Mexico in a bid to deter illegal immigration across the U.S. border.

本週早些時候，特朗普表示，他正計劃對墨西哥的商品徵收新的關稅，以阻止整個美國邊境的非法移民。

The move threatens to escalate the trade war with China, which began last year with Trump imposing tariffs on $250 billion worth of Chinese goods in an effort to reduce the U.S. trade deficit with the world’s second largest economy.

此舉可能會升級與中國的貿易戰，該戰爭於去年開始，特朗普對價值2500億美元的中國商品徵收關稅，以減少美國第二大經濟體的貿易赤字。

China responded with retaliatory tariffs and the two superpowers have been locked in a trade standoff ever since.

中國以報復性的關稅做出了回應，從那以後，這兩個超級大國一直陷入貿易對峙中。

The U.S. president has said he wants to meet with Chinese president Xi Jinping at the upcoming G20 summit in Japan to discuss the trade issues further.

美國總統表示，他想在即將到來的日本舉行的G20峰會上與中國總統習近平會面，以進一步討論貿易問題。

But the threat of Trump’s trade policies has weighed heavily on markets in recent months, with traders pricing in an increasing probability of a U.S. recession later this year.

但是，最近幾個月，特朗普的貿易政策威脅在市場上嚴重打擊了市場，而交易員的定價越來越多，今年晚些時候，美國衰退的可能性越來越大。

The bitcoin price and crypto market are closely correlated with stock markets, which tend to perform poorly during periods of economic downturn.

比特幣的價格和加密市場與股票市場密切相關，股票市場在經濟低迷時期的表現往往很差。

As such, any sign that the Fed could be stepping in to support the economy and markets could be closely watched by crypto traders.

因此，加密交易者都可以密切關注美聯儲介入以支持經濟和市場的任何跡象。

The Fed is currently in the midst of a cycle of raising interest rates and reducing its balance sheet, a process known as quantitative tightening.

美聯儲目前正處於提高利率和降低其資產負債表的周期中，這一過程稱為定量收緊。

This policy is designed to cool the economy and prevent inflation.

該政策旨在冷靜經濟並防止通貨膨脹。

However, it has also been blamed for stifling economic growth and making it more difficult for businesses to invest and hire.

但是，它也被指責為扼殺經濟增長，並使企業更難投資和僱用。

Some economists have argued that the Fed should be cutting interest rates and increasing its balance sheet in order to support the economy during a period of global uncertainty.

一些經濟學家認為，美聯儲應降低利率並增加其資產負債表，以便在全球不確定性時期支持經濟。

The Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting this week, but traders will be closely listening for any hints that the central bank could be preparing to shift course.

預計美聯儲將在本週的會議上保持不變，但交易者將密切聆聽中央銀行可能準備轉移課程的任何提示。

A move by the Fed to cut interest rates or end quantitative tightening could help to boost the bitcoin price, crypto and stock markets.

美聯儲以降低利率或結束定量收緊的舉動可以幫助提高比特幣價格，加密和股票市場。