比特幣（BTC），以太坊（ETH）和XRP（XRP）略微獲得

隨著美國東部時間下午2點的美國FOMC利率決定，比特幣，以太坊和XRP在周三略有增長。與以前的熊市不同，交易者看到熊週期較短，然後是急劇的價格集會。

U.S. traders are expected to reduce their activity in the crypto derivatives market on Wednesday as they prepare for the FOMC rate decision at 2 PM ET.

預計美國貿易商將在周三下午2點為FOMC利率決定做準備時，在周三的加密衍生品市場中減少他們在加密衍生物市場的活動。

Unlike previous bear markets, traders are seeing shorter bear cycles followed by sharp price rallies. The upcoming FOMC meeting could usher higher volatility in the prices of top three cryptocurrencies and present buy the dip opportunities or offer opportunities for traders to take profits, amidst the prolonged bear market.

與以前的熊市不同，交易者看到熊週期較短，然後是急劇的價格集會。即將舉行的FOMC會議可能會使前三名加密貨幣的價格更高的波動性，並在延長的熊市中為貿易商提供利潤的機會或為貿易商提供利潤的機會。

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP trader sentiment turns risk-off

比特幣，以太坊和XRP交易者情緒變化

Data from derivatives market showed that traders have reduced their activity in the past 24 hours. Derivatives data from Coinglass showed a decline in trade volume, with BTC and ETH trade volume declining nearly 11% and 7%. XRP noted a nearly 14% decline in trade volume in the same timeframe.

來自衍生品市場的數據表明，交易者在過去24小時內減少了活動。來自Coinglass的衍生品數據顯示出貿易量的下降，BTC和ETH貿易量下降了近11％和7％。 XRP指出，在同一時間範圍內，貿易量下降了近14％。

Chart created using TradingView

使用TradingView創建的圖表

Traders have become risk-averse following nearly $89 million in liquidations in the past 24 hours in the top three cryptocurrencies.

在過去的24小時內，在前三名加密貨幣中，交易者在近8900萬美元的清算中已經避開了風險。

Open Interest, another key derivatives metric, the combined value of all open contracts in a given token climbed by 1.42%, 4.90% and 1.49% respectively for the top three cryptos BTC, ETH and XRP.

開放利息是另一個關鍵衍生品指標，在給定令牌中，所有開放合同的總價值分別攀升為1.42％，4.90％和1.49％，對於前三名Cryptos BTC，ETH和XRP。

BTC, ETH, XRP on-chain analysis

BTC，ETH，XRP鏈分析

On-chain analysis for the top three cryptocurrencies on Santiment shows that Binance funding rate for Bitcoin has been positive for three consecutive days in a row. Meaning Bitcoin derivatives traders expect price to appreciate, even as they reduce their activity in the token, as gathered by Coinglass data.

對santiment的前三個加密貨幣的鏈分析表明，比特幣的二人融資率連續三天是陽性的。意思是比特幣衍生品交易者期望價格會欣賞，即使他們減少了在代幣中的活動，就像Coinglass Data收集的那樣。

Ethereum supply held by whales, excluding exchanges, has remained in a close range, while Bitcoin supply held by funds has reduced consistently. The active addresses in XRP, on the daily timeframe have climbed on Wednesday, after a negative spike on Tuesday, as noted by Santiment.

鯨魚持有的以太坊供應（不包括交易所）仍處於近距離範圍內，而資金持有的比特幣供應一直在持續減少。正如Santiment所指出的那樣，在周二的負面峰值之後，XRP的主動地址在周三的每日時間表上攀升了。

The mixed on-chain data suggests a slightly bullish outlook for Bitcoin and XRP and Ethereum price could remain stable or unchanged in the face of upcoming volatility in the prices of the top three cryptocurrencies with the looming FOMC interest rate decision.

混合的鏈上數據表明，面對即將到來的FOMC利率決策，前三名加密貨幣的價格在即將到來的前三次加密貨幣的價格下，對比特幣和XRP和以太坊價格的看法可能保持穩定或不變。

On the Bitcoin blockchain, the ratio of daily on-chain transactions in profits is nearly double that of transactions in losses, and there is scope for profit-taking by traders who bought the token lower. In the case of Ethereum, there is a slight uptick in the supply in profit and the same has been observed in XRP.

在比特幣區塊鏈上，每日利潤的鏈交易的比率幾乎是損失交易的兩倍，而且交易者的利潤範圍是購買代幣較低的交易者。在以太坊的情況下，利潤供應的供應量略有上升，XRP中也觀察到了同樣的供應。

Both Ethereum and XRP offer limited profit-taking opportunities for traders.

以太坊和XRP都為貿易商提供有限的利潤機會。

Trump push and FOMC rate decision

特朗普推動和FOMC的決定

Bitget CEO Gracy Chen told Crypto.news that Trump’s pro-crypto stance and the upcoming FOMC meeting are two key events that could influence the market this week. The idea of a U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserve is gaining traction and while the government is not buying Bitcoin yet, it could soon change.

Bitget首席執行官Gracy Chen告訴Crypto.news，特朗普的親克萊托普立場和即將舉行的FOMC會議是本周可能影響市場的兩個關鍵事件。美國戰略比特幣儲備的想法正在受到關注，儘管政府還沒有購買比特幣，但它可能很快就會改變。

“The Stablecoin bill is moving through Congress, signaling a major shift toward a blockchain-based financial system. Some big names, Elon Musk included, are exploring their own stablecoins, and Trump’s team sees stablecoins as a way to maintain the dollar’s global reserve status.

“ Stablecoin法案正在通過國會進行，這表明向基於區塊鏈的金融體係發生了重大轉變。一些大人物，包括埃隆·馬斯克（Elon Musk），正在探索自己的穩定者，而特朗普的團隊將StableCoins視為維持美元全球儲備金的一種方式。

Then there’s the economy. Scott Bessent’s talk of a “detox period” suggests a controlled downturn might be ahead. If that’s the case, Trump’s playbook seems clear: blame the recession on Biden, use tariffs and crypto narratives to manage costs, and push for lower interest rates to fuel tech and AI growth. Short-term pain, long-term gain — that’s the strategy.”

然後是經濟。斯科特·貝森特（Scott Bessent）對“排毒期”的談論表明，受控的衰退可能在前面。如果是這樣的話，特朗普的劇本似乎很清楚：將經濟衰退歸咎於拜登，使用關稅和加密貨幣敘事來管理成本，並將較低的利率推向燃料技術和AI增長。短期痛苦，長期收益 - 這就是策略。”

Chen maintains an optimistic outlook on Bitcoin and predicts no fall below $70,000.

陳保持了對比特幣的樂觀前景，並預測沒有低於$ 70,000。

“Bitcoin price drop to possibly 73-78k [is likely], which is a solid time to enter for any buyers on the fence. In the next 1-2 years, BTC at 200k isn’t as far-fetched as most would think.”

“比特幣的價格下降至可能是73-78K，這可能是圍欄上任何買家進入的穩定時機。在接下來的1 - 2年中，BTC的200k並不像大多數人想像的那樣牽強。”

The FOMC interest rate decision is looming on Wednesday, with the likelihood of higher volatility and price swings as traders react to the news.

FOMC利率決定在周三臨近，隨著交易者對新聞的反應，波動性更高和價格波動的可能性更高。

Ryan Lee, Chief Analyst at Bitget Research told Crypto.news in a written note:

Bitget Research首席分析師Ryan Lee在書面註釋中告訴Crypto.news：

“The FOMC meeting on March 19, 2025, is expected to maintain the federal funds rate at 4.25%-4.50%, with the Fed taking a cautious, data-driven approach amid persistent inflation and solid economic growth.

“ 2025年3月19日的FOMC會議預計將使聯邦資金利率保持在4.25％-4.50％，而美聯儲則在持續的通貨膨脹和穩固的經濟增長中採取謹慎，數據驅動的方法。

Crypto markets could see a short-term rally if the Fed signals future rate cuts, boosting risk appetite, or a dip if a hawkish stance reinforces tighter financial conditions. However, Bitcoin’s growing resilience and pro-crypto policy tailwinds might temper the broader market impact.”

如果美聯儲發出信號降低稅率，提高風險食慾或俯衝，則加密市場可能會看到短期集會，如果鷹派立場加強了更嚴格的財務狀況。但是，比特幣越來越多的彈性和親克萊普托政策逆風可能會緩解更廣泛的市場影響。”

Lee believes that volatility is likely around the announcement, it could be driven by Federal Reserve chair Powell’s remarks and updated rate projections.

Lee認為波動可能是在公告附近的，它可能是由鮑威爾（Powell）的言論和更新的費率預測驅動的。

“The crypto market may continue showing increasing independence from Fed decisions

“加密市場可能會繼續表現出越來越多的聯邦決定的獨立性