比特币（BTC），以太坊（ETH）和XRP（XRP）略微获得

随着美国东部时间下午2点的美国FOMC利率决定，比特币，以太坊和XRP在周三略有增长。与以前的熊市不同，交易者看到熊周期较短，然后是急剧的价格集会。

U.S. traders are expected to reduce their activity in the crypto derivatives market on Wednesday as they prepare for the FOMC rate decision at 2 PM ET.

预计美国贸易商将在周三下午2点为FOMC利率决定做准备时，在周三的加密衍生品市场中减少他们在加密衍生物市场的活动。

Unlike previous bear markets, traders are seeing shorter bear cycles followed by sharp price rallies. The upcoming FOMC meeting could usher higher volatility in the prices of top three cryptocurrencies and present buy the dip opportunities or offer opportunities for traders to take profits, amidst the prolonged bear market.

与以前的熊市不同，交易者看到熊周期较短，然后是急剧的价格集会。即将举行的FOMC会议可能会使前三名加密货币的价格更高的波动性，并在延长的熊市中为贸易商提供利润的机会或为贸易商提供利润的机会。

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP trader sentiment turns risk-off

比特币，以太坊和XRP交易者情绪变化

Data from derivatives market showed that traders have reduced their activity in the past 24 hours. Derivatives data from Coinglass showed a decline in trade volume, with BTC and ETH trade volume declining nearly 11% and 7%. XRP noted a nearly 14% decline in trade volume in the same timeframe.

来自衍生品市场的数据表明，交易者在过去24小时内减少了活动。来自Coinglass的衍生品数据显示出贸易量的下降，BTC和ETH贸易量下降了近11％和7％。 XRP指出，在同一时间范围内，贸易量下降了近14％。

Chart created using TradingView

使用TradingView创建的图表

Traders have become risk-averse following nearly $89 million in liquidations in the past 24 hours in the top three cryptocurrencies.

在过去的24小时内，在前三名加密货币中，交易者在近8900万美元的清算中已经避开了风险。

Open Interest, another key derivatives metric, the combined value of all open contracts in a given token climbed by 1.42%, 4.90% and 1.49% respectively for the top three cryptos BTC, ETH and XRP.

开放利息是另一个关键衍生品指标，在给定令牌中，所有开放合同的总价值分别攀升为1.42％，4.90％和1.49％，对于前三名Cryptos BTC，ETH和XRP。

BTC, ETH, XRP on-chain analysis

BTC，ETH，XRP链分析

On-chain analysis for the top three cryptocurrencies on Santiment shows that Binance funding rate for Bitcoin has been positive for three consecutive days in a row. Meaning Bitcoin derivatives traders expect price to appreciate, even as they reduce their activity in the token, as gathered by Coinglass data.

对santiment的前三个加密货币的链分析表明，比特币的二人融资率连续三天是阳性的。意思是比特币衍生品交易者期望价格会欣赏，即使他们减少了在代币中的活动，就像Coinglass Data收集的那样。

Ethereum supply held by whales, excluding exchanges, has remained in a close range, while Bitcoin supply held by funds has reduced consistently. The active addresses in XRP, on the daily timeframe have climbed on Wednesday, after a negative spike on Tuesday, as noted by Santiment.

鲸鱼持有的以太坊供应（不包括交易所）仍处于近距离范围内，而资金持有的比特币供应一直在持续减少。正如Santiment所指出的那样，在周二的负面峰值之后，XRP的主动地址在周三的每日时间表上攀升了。

The mixed on-chain data suggests a slightly bullish outlook for Bitcoin and XRP and Ethereum price could remain stable or unchanged in the face of upcoming volatility in the prices of the top three cryptocurrencies with the looming FOMC interest rate decision.

混合的链上数据表明，面对即将到来的FOMC利率决策，前三名加密货币的价格在即将到来的前三次加密货币的价格下，对比特币和XRP和以太坊价格的看法可能保持稳定或不变。

On the Bitcoin blockchain, the ratio of daily on-chain transactions in profits is nearly double that of transactions in losses, and there is scope for profit-taking by traders who bought the token lower. In the case of Ethereum, there is a slight uptick in the supply in profit and the same has been observed in XRP.

在比特币区块链上，每日利润的链交易的比率几乎是损失交易的两倍，而且交易者的利润范围是购买代币较低的交易者。在以太坊的情况下，利润供应的供应量略有上升，XRP中也观察到了同样的供应。

Both Ethereum and XRP offer limited profit-taking opportunities for traders.

以太坊和XRP都为贸易商提供有限的利润机会。

Trump push and FOMC rate decision

特朗普推动和FOMC的决定

Bitget CEO Gracy Chen told Crypto.news that Trump’s pro-crypto stance and the upcoming FOMC meeting are two key events that could influence the market this week. The idea of a U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserve is gaining traction and while the government is not buying Bitcoin yet, it could soon change.

Bitget首席执行官Gracy Chen告诉Crypto.news，特朗普的亲克莱托普立场和即将举行的FOMC会议是本周可能影响市场的两个关键事件。美国战略比特币储备的想法正在受到关注，尽管政府还没有购买比特币，但它可能很快就会改变。

“The Stablecoin bill is moving through Congress, signaling a major shift toward a blockchain-based financial system. Some big names, Elon Musk included, are exploring their own stablecoins, and Trump’s team sees stablecoins as a way to maintain the dollar’s global reserve status.

“ Stablecoin法案正在通过国会进行，这表明向基于区块链的金融体系发生了重大转变。一些大人物，包括埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk），正在探索自己的稳定者，而特朗普的团队将StableCoins视为维持美元全球储备金的一种方式。

Then there’s the economy. Scott Bessent’s talk of a “detox period” suggests a controlled downturn might be ahead. If that’s the case, Trump’s playbook seems clear: blame the recession on Biden, use tariffs and crypto narratives to manage costs, and push for lower interest rates to fuel tech and AI growth. Short-term pain, long-term gain — that’s the strategy.”

然后是经济。斯科特·贝森特（Scott Bessent）对“排毒期”的谈论表明，受控的衰退可能在前面。如果是这样的话，特朗普的剧本似乎很清楚：将经济衰退归咎于拜登，使用关税和加密货币叙事来管理成本，并将较低的利率推向燃料技术和AI增长。短期痛苦，长期收益 - 这就是策略。”

Chen maintains an optimistic outlook on Bitcoin and predicts no fall below $70,000.

陈保持了对比特币的乐观前景，并预测没有低于$ 70,000。

“Bitcoin price drop to possibly 73-78k [is likely], which is a solid time to enter for any buyers on the fence. In the next 1-2 years, BTC at 200k isn’t as far-fetched as most would think.”

“比特币的价格下降至可能是73-78K，这可能是围栏上任何买家进入的稳定时机。在接下来的1 - 2年中，BTC的200k并不像大多数人想象的那样牵强。”

The FOMC interest rate decision is looming on Wednesday, with the likelihood of higher volatility and price swings as traders react to the news.

FOMC利率决定在周三临近，随着交易者对新闻的反应，波动性更高和价格波动的可能性更高。

Ryan Lee, Chief Analyst at Bitget Research told Crypto.news in a written note:

Bitget Research首席分析师Ryan Lee在书面注释中告诉Crypto.news：

“The FOMC meeting on March 19, 2025, is expected to maintain the federal funds rate at 4.25%-4.50%, with the Fed taking a cautious, data-driven approach amid persistent inflation and solid economic growth.

“ 2025年3月19日的FOMC会议预计将使联邦资金利率保持在4.25％-4.50％，而美联储则在持续的通货膨胀和稳固的经济增长中采取谨慎，数据驱动的方法。

Crypto markets could see a short-term rally if the Fed signals future rate cuts, boosting risk appetite, or a dip if a hawkish stance reinforces tighter financial conditions. However, Bitcoin’s growing resilience and pro-crypto policy tailwinds might temper the broader market impact.”

如果美联储发出信号降低税率，提高风险食欲或俯冲，则加密市场可能会看到短期集会，如果鹰派立场加强了更严格的财务状况。但是，比特币越来越多的弹性和亲克莱普托政策逆风可能会缓解更广泛的市场影响。”

Lee believes that volatility is likely around the announcement, it could be driven by Federal Reserve chair Powell’s remarks and updated rate projections.

Lee认为波动可能是在公告附近的，它可能是由鲍威尔（Powell）的言论和更新的费率预测驱动的。

“The crypto market may continue showing increasing independence from Fed decisions

“加密市场可能会继续表现出越来越多的联邦决定的独立性