在欣快的山寨币季节开始之前，TOTAL3 必须上涨 16%：Crypto Trader

匿名加密货币交易员 Daan Crypto Trades 在 12 月 28 日的一篇帖子中表示，一旦 TOTAL3 达到预期，“兴奋”或“狂热”阶段就应该开始

A crypto trader has claimed that the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin and Ether must increase around 16% from its current level before the euphoric altcoin season begins.

一位加密货币交易员声称，在欣欣向荣的山寨币季节开始之前，除比特币和以太币之外的所有加密货币的总市值必须比当前水平增加 16% 左右。

Pseudonymous crypto trader Daan Crypto Trades shared his analysis in a Dec. 28 X post, discussing the total market cap of all cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) (known as TOTAL3). According to the trader, the euphoria or “mania” phase will begin once TOTAL3 surpasses its 2021 all-time high of $1.13 trillion and enters price discovery.

匿名加密货币交易员 Daan Crypto Trades 在 12 月 28 日的帖子中分享了他的分析，讨论了除比特币 (BTC) 和以太币 (ETH) 之外的所有加密货币的总市值（称为 TOTAL3）。该交易员表示，一旦 TOTAL3 突破 2021 年 1.13 万亿美元的历史新高并进入价格发现阶段，欣快或“狂热”阶段就会开始。

The TOTAL3 stood at $962.78 billion at the time of publication, a 91.45% increase year-to-date, according to TradingView data.

根据 TradingView 的数据，截至发布时，TOTAL3 为 9,627.8 亿美元，今年迄今增长了 91.45%。

“As long as this trades between ~$840B and ~$1.1T, I think it will be choppy,” Daan said. However, he added that he would be “a bit more cautious” if the TOTAL3 fell below the $800 billion level.

“只要交易价格在 ~$840B 和 ~$1.1T 之间，我认为它就会波动，”Daan 说。不过，他补充说，如果 TOTAL3 跌破 8000 亿美元的水平，他会“更加谨慎”。

Some analysts have attributed the increased volatility in the overall crypto market to traders adopting a more short-term approach compared to previous years.

一些分析师将整个加密货币市场波动性的增加归因于交易者与前几年相比采取了更短期的方法。

“Everyone decided they were George Soros all of a sudden this cycle and constantly monitoring hourly charts to time entries/exits and playing with leverage,” Syncracy Capital co-founder Daniel Cheung said in a Dec.28 X post.

Syncracy Capital 联合创始人 Daniel Cheung 在 12 月 28 日的一篇帖子中表示：“每个人都突然认为自己是乔治·索罗斯（George Soros），在这个周期中不断监控每小时图表来确定进场/出场时间并利用杠杆。”

According to Cheung, this is why crypto tokens have not seen breakouts as “fast as prior cycles.”

Cheung 表示，这就是为什么加密代币没有“像之前的周期那样快”的突破。

Traders may be pivoting to altcoins for higher returnsTop three gainers among the top 100 cryptocurrencies over the past seven days are Bitget Token (BGB) with an 80.65% rise, Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) with a 42.30% rise, and Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) with a 31.63% rise.

交易者可能会转向山寨币以获得更高的回报过去 7 天内，前 100 名加密货币中涨幅最大的三个是 Bitget Token (BGB)，上涨 80.65%，Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) 上涨 42.30%，以及 Pudgy Penguins (PENGU)上涨31.63%。

With Bitcoin dominance back up to almost 60% amid a price stall in the last few days of 2024, traders are increasingly believing that it may be time to switch their accumulation strategy toward altcoins.

随着 2024 年最后几天价格停滞，比特币的主导地位回升至近 60%，交易者越来越相信，可能是时候将其增持策略转向山寨币了。

“Altcoins, at this juncture, offer a far more optimal R/R [Risk Reward] profile than Bitcoin does,” pseudonymous crypto trader Dyme said in a Dec. 27 X post.

“在这个时刻，山寨币提供了比比特币更优化的 R/R [风险回报]配置，”化名加密货币交易员 Dyme 在 12 月 27 日的帖子中表示。

“Time to DCA Bitcoin is over for another 1.5+ years,” Dyme added.

Dyme 补充道：“DCA 比特币的时代已经过去 1.5 年多了。”