在欣快的山區寨幣季節開始之前，TOTAL3 必須上漲 16%：Crypto Trader

匿名加密貨幣交易員 Daan Crypto Trades 在 12 月 28 日的一篇貼文中表示，一旦 TOTAL3 達到預期，「興奮」或「狂熱」階段就應該開始

A crypto trader has claimed that the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin and Ether must increase around 16% from its current level before the euphoric altcoin season begins.

一位加密貨幣交易員聲稱，在欣欣向榮的山寨幣季節開始之前，除比特幣和以太幣之外的所有加密貨幣的總市值必須比當前水平增加 16% 左右。

Pseudonymous crypto trader Daan Crypto Trades shared his analysis in a Dec. 28 X post, discussing the total market cap of all cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) (known as TOTAL3). According to the trader, the euphoria or “mania” phase will begin once TOTAL3 surpasses its 2021 all-time high of $1.13 trillion and enters price discovery.

匿名加密貨幣交易員Daan Crypto Trades 在12 月28 日的帖子中分享了他的分析，討論了除比特幣(BTC) 和以太幣(ETH) 之外的所有加密貨幣的總市值（稱為TOTAL3） 。該交易員表示，一旦 TOTAL3 突破 2021 年 1.13 兆美元的歷史新高並進入價格發現階段，欣快或「狂熱」階段就會開始。

The TOTAL3 stood at $962.78 billion at the time of publication, a 91.45% increase year-to-date, according to TradingView data.

根據 TradingView 的數據，截至發佈時，TOTAL3 為 9,627.8 億美元，今年迄今成長了 91.45%。

“As long as this trades between ~$840B and ~$1.1T, I think it will be choppy,” Daan said. However, he added that he would be “a bit more cautious” if the TOTAL3 fell below the $800 billion level.

「只要交易價格在 ~$840B 和 ~$1.1T 之間，我認為它就會波動，」Daan 說。不過，他補充說，如果 TOTAL3 跌破 8,000 億美元的水平，他會「更加謹慎」。

Some analysts have attributed the increased volatility in the overall crypto market to traders adopting a more short-term approach compared to previous years.

一些分析師將整個加密貨幣市場波動性的增加歸因於交易者與前幾年相比採取了更短期的方法。

“Everyone decided they were George Soros all of a sudden this cycle and constantly monitoring hourly charts to time entries/exits and playing with leverage,” Syncracy Capital co-founder Daniel Cheung said in a Dec.28 X post.

Syncracy Capital 聯合創始人Daniel Cheung 在12 月28 日的一篇帖子中表示：「在這個週期中，每個人都突然認為自己是喬治·索羅斯(George Soros)，並不斷監控每小時圖表來確定入場/出場時間並利用槓桿。

According to Cheung, this is why crypto tokens have not seen breakouts as “fast as prior cycles.”

Cheung 表示，這就是為什麼加密代幣沒有「像之前的周期那樣快」的突破。

Traders may be pivoting to altcoins for higher returnsTop three gainers among the top 100 cryptocurrencies over the past seven days are Bitget Token (BGB) with an 80.65% rise, Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) with a 42.30% rise, and Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) with a 31.63% rise.

交易者可能會轉向山寨幣以獲得更高的回報過去7天內排名前100位的加密貨幣中漲幅最大的三個是Bitget Token（BGB），上漲80.65％，Virtuals Protocol（VIRTUAL）上漲42.30％，以及Pudgy Penguins（PENGU）上漲31.63%。

With Bitcoin dominance back up to almost 60% amid a price stall in the last few days of 2024, traders are increasingly believing that it may be time to switch their accumulation strategy toward altcoins.

隨著 2024 年最後幾天價格停滯，比特幣的主導地位回升至近 60%，交易者越來越相信，現在可能是時候將其增持策略轉向山寨幣了。

“Altcoins, at this juncture, offer a far more optimal R/R [Risk Reward] profile than Bitcoin does,” pseudonymous crypto trader Dyme said in a Dec. 27 X post.

「在這個時刻，山寨幣提供的 R/R [風險回報] 狀況比比特幣好得多，」匿名加密貨幣交易員 Dyme 在 12 月 27 日的帖子中表示。

“Time to DCA Bitcoin is over for another 1.5+ years,” Dyme added.

Dyme 補充說：“DCA 比特幣的時代已經過去 1.5 年多了。”