边缘的Toncoin（TON）价格：这是在升空之前购买的最后一次机会吗？

吨币（吨）正接近关键阻力水平，这让交易者想知道，它会爆发还是向后退？

Toncoin (TON) is heating up as it trades at the edge of a key resistance level. Will it breakout or pullback from here?

吨币（吨）在关键阻力水平的边缘进行交易时正在加热。它会从这里突破还是回调？

As of Thursday morning, July 27, Toncoin is changing hands at $3.89, up about 1.5% in the last 24 hours. Trading volume has also increased substantially, with a nearly 50% surge.

截至7月27日星期四上午，Toncoin以3.89美元的价格易手，在过去24小时内增长了约1.5％。交易量也大大增加，近50％的涌入。

Top analyst Crypto Patel shared an analysis on X, formerly Twitter, suggesting that the TON price is nearing the upper limit of a descending trendline, which has acted as resistance since mid-2024.

顶级分析师Crypto Patel对X（以前为Twitter）的分析表明，TON价格接近下降趋势线的上限，该趋势线自2024年中以来一直是阻力。

The token is up 27% from a prior accumulation level of around $3.20. Patel also notes the presence of a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $3.33 and $2.95, which may offer a high-probability entry if they are to be tested again.

该令牌比先前的累积水平约为3.20美元，增长了27％。帕特尔还指出，公允价值差距（FVG）在$ 3.33到$ 2.95之间，如果要再次进行测试，它们可能会提供高概率的条目。

Support remains strong at $2.50, a level that has acted as a demand zone and confirmed structural integrity through previous retests.

支持仍然有2.50美元，这一水平已充当需求区，并通过以前的重新测试确认结构完整性。

Toncoin Price Action and Technical Setup

吨币价格动作和技术设置

On the weekly chart, TON is approaching the resistance range of $4.15 to $4.50. This area aligns with a multi-month descending trendline from December 2023. If the price breaches this zone, analysts anticipate a potential mid-term rally toward the $7.00–$10.00 range. The structure mirrors a previous breakout and retest pattern that led to a sharp move upward in early 2024.

在每周图表上，TON的阻力范围为4.15美元至4.50美元。该区域与从2023年12月开始的多个月下降趋势线保持一致。如果价格违反了该区域，则分析师预计将有潜在的中期集会，即$ 7.00- $ 10.00的范围。该结构反映了先前的突破和重新测试模式，导致2024年初向上移动。

The token’s long-term accumulation range appears to be between $2.50 and $3.50. Buyers have previously stepped in at these levels, creating a solid base that supports bullish momentum. If Toncoin fails to break resistance in the near term, the FVG zone could be tested again before any continuation higher.

令牌的长期积累范围似乎在2.50美元至3.50美元之间。买家以前已经介入了这些水平，创造了支持看涨势头的坚实基础。如果吨币在短期内未能打破电阻，则可以在更高的延续之前再次测试FVG区域。

TON On-Chain Data and Ecosystem Growth

链链数据和生态系统增长

On-chain analyst Hitesh Malviya shares that TON’s daily active wallets have reached approximately 130,000, while the total number is over 41 million. Despite limited growth in traditional metrics, the ecosystem is expanding through monetization layers integrated within the Telegram platform.

链上分析师Hitesh Malviya表示，Ton的每日活跃钱包已达到约130,000，总数超过4100万。尽管传统指标的增长有限，但生态系统仍通过集成在电报平台中的货币化层而扩展。

These initiatives include TON NFT marketplaces, a usernames trading system, and games that reward users in TON. New features such as trading Telegram stickers aim to increase user engagement and platform liquidity. These developments showcase a shift toward incentivizing user activity by tokenizing existing social features.

这些举措包括TON NFT市场，用户名交易系统以及奖励用户的游戏。诸如交易电报贴纸之类的新功能旨在增加用户参与度和平台流动性。这些发展展示了通过使现有社交特征的趋于激励用户活动的转变。

$TON is forming an uptrend right now while the whole market is going down.I didn't find any significant growth metrics on the fundamental side, but one thing we should all consider is that TON has over 41M onchain wallets, and they are growing that wallet base every day, which is an incredible feat. In a rapidly evolving digital landscape, it's becoming clear that protocols must adapt to survive. Many 'old' protocols are struggling to find their footing in this new era, leading many to abandon their previous outlooks. In this case, we see that the new narrative is focused on an integration scope, forging partnerships to expand into new markets.

$ ton现在正在整个市场下降，现在正在形成上升趋势。我在基本方面没有发现任何重要的增长指标，但是我们所有人都应该考虑的一件事是，吨超过4100万的OnChain钱包，他们每天都在增长该钱包基地，这是一个令人难以置信的壮举。在快速发展的数字景观中，很明显，协议必须适应生存。许多“旧”协议正在努力在这个新时代找到自己的立场，导致许多人放弃了以前的观点。在这种情况下，我们看到新的叙述集中在整合范围上，建立了合作伙伴关系以扩展到新市场。

It’s also important to add that the broader crypto market is showing mixed signals with Bitcoin struggling to hold onto gains. However, TON is presenting relative strength, which could attract interest from both retail and institutional traders.

同样重要的是要补充一点，更广泛的加密市场正在显示混合信号，比特币努力保持收益。但是，吨具有相对的力量，这可能会引起零售和机构交易者的兴趣。

The next few trading sessions will be crucial in determining whether Toncoin can sustain its momentum and continue higher, or if it pulls back to retest previous support.

接下来的几个交易会议对于确定吨币是否可以维持其动力并继续更高，或者是否会重新恢复以前的支持至关重要。