邊緣的Toncoin（TON）價格：這是在升空之前購買的最後一次機會嗎？

噸幣（噸）正接近關鍵阻力水平，這讓交易者想知道，它會爆發還是向後退？

Toncoin (TON) is heating up as it trades at the edge of a key resistance level. Will it breakout or pullback from here?

噸幣（噸）在關鍵阻力水平的邊緣進行交易時正在加熱。它會從這裡突破還是回調？

As of Thursday morning, July 27, Toncoin is changing hands at $3.89, up about 1.5% in the last 24 hours. Trading volume has also increased substantially, with a nearly 50% surge.

截至7月27日星期四上午，Toncoin以3.89美元的價格易手，在過去24小時內增長了約1.5％。交易量也大大增加，近50％的湧入。

Top analyst Crypto Patel shared an analysis on X, formerly Twitter, suggesting that the TON price is nearing the upper limit of a descending trendline, which has acted as resistance since mid-2024.

頂級分析師Crypto Patel對X（以前為Twitter）的分析表明，TON價格接近下降趨勢線的上限，該趨勢線自2024年中以來一直是阻力。

The token is up 27% from a prior accumulation level of around $3.20. Patel also notes the presence of a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $3.33 and $2.95, which may offer a high-probability entry if they are to be tested again.

該令牌比先前的累積水平約為3.20美元，增長了27％。帕特爾還指出，公允價值差距（FVG）在$ 3.33到$ 2.95之間，如果要再次進行測試，它們可能會提供高概率的條目。

Support remains strong at $2.50, a level that has acted as a demand zone and confirmed structural integrity through previous retests.

支持仍然有2.50美元，這一水平已充當需求區，並通過以前的重新測試確認結構完整性。

Toncoin Price Action and Technical Setup

噸幣價格動作和技術設置

On the weekly chart, TON is approaching the resistance range of $4.15 to $4.50. This area aligns with a multi-month descending trendline from December 2023. If the price breaches this zone, analysts anticipate a potential mid-term rally toward the $7.00–$10.00 range. The structure mirrors a previous breakout and retest pattern that led to a sharp move upward in early 2024.

在每週圖表上，TON的阻力範圍為4.15美元至4.50美元。該區域與從2023年12月開始的多個月下降趨勢線保持一致。如果價格違反了該區域，則分析師預計將有潛在的中期集會，即$ 7.00- $ 10.00的範圍。該結構反映了先前的突破和重新測試模式，導致2024年初向上移動。

The token’s long-term accumulation range appears to be between $2.50 and $3.50. Buyers have previously stepped in at these levels, creating a solid base that supports bullish momentum. If Toncoin fails to break resistance in the near term, the FVG zone could be tested again before any continuation higher.

令牌的長期積累範圍似乎在2.50美元至3.50美元之間。買家以前已經介入了這些水平，創造了支持看漲勢頭的堅實基礎。如果噸幣在短期內未能打破電阻，則可以在更高的延續之前再次測試FVG區域。

TON On-Chain Data and Ecosystem Growth

鍊鍊數據和生態系統增長

On-chain analyst Hitesh Malviya shares that TON’s daily active wallets have reached approximately 130,000, while the total number is over 41 million. Despite limited growth in traditional metrics, the ecosystem is expanding through monetization layers integrated within the Telegram platform.

鏈上分析師Hitesh Malviya表示，Ton的每日活躍錢包已達到約130,000，總數超過4100萬。儘管傳統指標的增長有限，但生態系統仍通過集成在電報平台中的貨幣化層而擴展。

These initiatives include TON NFT marketplaces, a usernames trading system, and games that reward users in TON. New features such as trading Telegram stickers aim to increase user engagement and platform liquidity. These developments showcase a shift toward incentivizing user activity by tokenizing existing social features.

這些舉措包括TON NFT市場，用戶名交易系統以及獎勵用戶的遊戲。諸如交易電報貼紙之類的新功能旨在增加用戶參與度和平台流動性。這些發展展示了通過使現有社交特徵的趨於激勵用戶活動的轉變。

$TON is forming an uptrend right now while the whole market is going down.I didn't find any significant growth metrics on the fundamental side, but one thing we should all consider is that TON has over 41M onchain wallets, and they are growing that wallet base every day, which is an incredible feat. In a rapidly evolving digital landscape, it's becoming clear that protocols must adapt to survive. Many 'old' protocols are struggling to find their footing in this new era, leading many to abandon their previous outlooks. In this case, we see that the new narrative is focused on an integration scope, forging partnerships to expand into new markets.

$ ton現在正在整個市場下降，現在正在形成上升趨勢。我在基本方面沒有發現任何重要的增長指標，但是我們所有人都應該考慮的一件事是，噸超過4100萬的OnChain錢包，他們每天都在增長該錢包基地，這是一個令人難以置信的壯舉。在快速發展的數字景觀中，很明顯，協議必須適應生存。許多“舊”協議正在努力在這個新時代找到自己的立場，導致許多人放棄了以前的觀點。在這種情況下，我們看到新的敘述集中在整合範圍上，建立了合作夥伴關係以擴展到新市場。

It’s also important to add that the broader crypto market is showing mixed signals with Bitcoin struggling to hold onto gains. However, TON is presenting relative strength, which could attract interest from both retail and institutional traders.

同樣重要的是要補充一點，更廣泛的加密市場正在顯示混合信號，比特幣努力保持收益。但是，噸具有相對的力量，這可能會引起零售和機構交易者的興趣。

The next few trading sessions will be crucial in determining whether Toncoin can sustain its momentum and continue higher, or if it pulls back to retest previous support.

接下來的幾個交易會議對於確定噸幣是否可以維持其動力並繼續更高，或者是否會重新恢復以前的支持至關重要。