TIA 价格预测：随着 Celestia 的 1.76 亿枚代币解锁加剧抛售压力，该货币面临支撑

自 Celestia 于周三解锁 1.76 亿枚代币后，TIA 的价格在过去 24 小时内大幅下跌。代币大量涌入加剧了下行压力

Celestia's 176 Million Token Unlock Intensifies Pressure on TIA Price

Celestia 解锁 1.76 亿枚代币，加剧 TIA 价格压力

After a period of relative calm, TIA's price has taken a hit over the past 24 hours. This downturn coincides with the unlocking of 176 million Celestia (TIA) tokens on Wednesday, an event that has sparked concerns among investors.

经过一段相对平静的时期后，TIA 的价格在过去 24 小时内受到了打击。这次经济低迷恰逢周三解锁 1.76 亿个 Celestia (TIA) 代币，这一事件引发了投资者的担忧。

As reported by BeInCrypto, Celestia's token generation event (TGE) participants gained access to their tokens after 21 days of unstaking. However, not all of these tokens will be immediately available for sale. According to Taran Sabharwal, CEO of Stix trading platform, the total selling pressure from the token unlock stands at 92.3 million TIA, or roughly $460 million.

据 BeInCrypto 报道，Celestia 的代币生成活动 (TGE) 参与者在 21 天取消质押后获得了他们的代币。然而，并非所有这些代币都会立即出售。 Stix 交易平台首席执行官 Taran Sabharwal 表示，代币解锁带来的总抛售压力为 9230 万个 TIA，约合 4.6 亿美元。

"This equates to a max selling pressure of ~$460M. What is also interesting here is that this accounts for <50% of the total cliff unlocks, which means that the sell pressure is half of what people have been expecting," Sabharwal explained in a post on X.

“这相当于最大抛售压力约为 4.6 亿美元。这里同样有趣的是，这占悬崖解锁总额的 <50%，这意味着抛售压力是人们预期的一半，”Sabharwal 解释道在 X 的帖子中。

An analysis of the TIA/USD one-day chart by BeInCrypto reveals the impact of selling pressure on the coin's technical indicators. As of this writing, the coin's Relative Strength Index (RSI), which measures oversold and overbought market conditions, is in a downward trend at 38.46. This RSI reading signals that selling pressure outweighs buying activity among market participants.

BeInCrypto 对 TIA/美元 一日图表的分析揭示了抛售压力对该代币技术指标的影响。截至撰写本文时，衡量超卖和超买市场状况的相对强弱指数 (RSI) 处于下降趋势，为 38.46。 RSI 读数表明市场参与者的抛售压力超过了购买活动。

Curiously, TIA's futures traders seem to be adopting a more bullish stance. According to Coinglass, the coin's funding rate has turned positive for the first time since September 10.

奇怪的是，TIA 的期货交易员似乎采取了更为看涨的立场。据 Coinglass 称，该代币的融资利率自 9 月 10 日以来首次转为正值。

The funding rate is a periodic fee paid between traders in a perpetual futures market to balance the price of the futures contract with the underlying spot price. Positive funding rates indicate that traders holding long positions (expecting the price to go up) are paying those holding short positions.

资金费率是永续期货市场交易者之间定期支付的费用，用于平衡期货合约价格与标的现货价格。正的资金费率表明持有多头头寸（预期价格上涨）的交易者正在向持有空头头寸的交易者付款。

When the funding rate turns positive after being negative for a prolonged period, it suggests a potential shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. It indicates that traders now take long positions, expecting prices to rise.

当资金利率在长期为负值后转为正值时，表明市场情绪可能从看跌转向看涨。这表明交易者现在持有多头头寸，预期价格上涨。

On the other hand, negative funding rates, especially after a period of positive funding, can be a sign of bearish sentiment building up among futures traders. In this case, traders holding short positions (expecting the price to go down) are paying those holding long positions.

另一方面，负融资利率，尤其是在一段时间的正融资之后，可能是期货交易者看空情绪增强的迹象。在这种情况下，持有空头头寸的交易者（预计价格会下跌）正在向持有多头头寸的交易者付款。

TIA is currently trading at $4.68, down 9% over the past 24 hours. This decline has pushed it below the support level of a horizontal channel established since July. In this range, the upper boundary at $6.83 serves as resistance, while $4.71 marks the support level.

TIA 目前交易价格为 4.68 美元，过去 24 小时内下跌 9%。此次下跌已使其跌破自 7 月以来建立的水平通道的支撑位。在此区间内，上限为 6.83 美元，阻力位为 4.71 美元。

Should selling pressure continue, TIA's value may slide further, potentially reaching its multi-month low of $3.72. Conversely, a bullish reversal at the $4.71 support could prompt a recovery, with TIA aiming for a breakout above the $6.83 resistance. Clearing this threshold could drive TIA’s price past $7, a level it hasn’t surpassed since June.

如果抛售压力持续，TIA 的价值可能会进一步下滑，可能触及 3.72 美元的数月低点。相反，4.71 美元支撑位的看涨逆转可能会促进复苏，TIA 的目标是突破 6.83 美元阻力位。突破这一门槛可能会使 TIA 的价格突破 7 美元，这是自 6 月份以来从未超过的水平。