TIA 價格預測：隨著 Celestia 的 1.76 億枚代幣解鎖加劇拋售壓力，該貨幣面臨支撐

自 Celestia 於週三解鎖 1.76 億枚代幣後，TIA 的價格在過去 24 小時內大幅下跌。代幣大量湧入加劇了下行壓力

Celestia's 176 Million Token Unlock Intensifies Pressure on TIA Price

Celestia 解鎖 1.76 億枚代幣，加劇 TIA 價格壓力

After a period of relative calm, TIA's price has taken a hit over the past 24 hours. This downturn coincides with the unlocking of 176 million Celestia (TIA) tokens on Wednesday, an event that has sparked concerns among investors.

經過一段相對平靜的時期後，TIA 的價格在過去 24 小時內受到了打擊。這次經濟低迷恰逢週三解鎖 1.76 億個 Celestia (TIA) 代幣，這一事件引發了投資者的擔憂。

As reported by BeInCrypto, Celestia's token generation event (TGE) participants gained access to their tokens after 21 days of unstaking. However, not all of these tokens will be immediately available for sale. According to Taran Sabharwal, CEO of Stix trading platform, the total selling pressure from the token unlock stands at 92.3 million TIA, or roughly $460 million.

根據 BeInCrypto 報導，Celestia 的代幣生成活動 (TGE) 參與者在 21 天取消質押後獲得了他們的代幣。然而，並非所有這些代幣都會立即出售。 Stix 交易平台執行長 Taran Sabharwal 表示，代幣解鎖帶來的總拋售壓力為 9,230 萬個 TIA，約合 4.6 億美元。

"This equates to a max selling pressure of ~$460M. What is also interesting here is that this accounts for <50% of the total cliff unlocks, which means that the sell pressure is half of what people have been expecting," Sabharwal explained in a post on X.

「這相當於最大拋售壓力約為 4.6 億美元。這裡同樣有趣的是，這佔懸崖解鎖總額的 <50%，這意味著拋售壓力是人們預期的一半，」Sabharwal 解釋道在 X 的帖子中。

An analysis of the TIA/USD one-day chart by BeInCrypto reveals the impact of selling pressure on the coin's technical indicators. As of this writing, the coin's Relative Strength Index (RSI), which measures oversold and overbought market conditions, is in a downward trend at 38.46. This RSI reading signals that selling pressure outweighs buying activity among market participants.

BeInCrypto 對 TIA/美元 一日圖表的分析揭示了拋售壓力對該代幣技術指標的影響。截至撰寫本文時，衡量超賣和超買市場狀況的相對強弱指數 (RSI) 處於下降趨勢，為 38.46。 RSI 讀數顯示市場參與者的拋售壓力超過了購買活動。

Curiously, TIA's futures traders seem to be adopting a more bullish stance. According to Coinglass, the coin's funding rate has turned positive for the first time since September 10.

奇怪的是，TIA 的期貨交易員似乎採取了更看漲的立場。據 Coinglass 稱，該代幣的融資利率自 9 月 10 日以來首次轉為正值。

The funding rate is a periodic fee paid between traders in a perpetual futures market to balance the price of the futures contract with the underlying spot price. Positive funding rates indicate that traders holding long positions (expecting the price to go up) are paying those holding short positions.

資金費率是永續期貨市場交易者之間定期支付的費用，用於平衡期貨合約價格與標的現貨價格。正的資金費率顯示持有多頭部位（預期價格上漲）的交易者正在向持有空頭部位的交易者付款。

When the funding rate turns positive after being negative for a prolonged period, it suggests a potential shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. It indicates that traders now take long positions, expecting prices to rise.

當資金利率在長期為負值後轉為正值時，表示市場情緒可能從看跌轉向看漲。這表明交易者現在持有多頭頭寸，預期價格上漲。

On the other hand, negative funding rates, especially after a period of positive funding, can be a sign of bearish sentiment building up among futures traders. In this case, traders holding short positions (expecting the price to go down) are paying those holding long positions.

另一方面，負融資利率，尤其是在一段時間的正融資之後，可能是期貨交易者看空情緒增強的跡象。在這種情況下，持有空頭部位的交易者（預計價格會下跌）正在向持有多頭部位的交易者付款。

TIA is currently trading at $4.68, down 9% over the past 24 hours. This decline has pushed it below the support level of a horizontal channel established since July. In this range, the upper boundary at $6.83 serves as resistance, while $4.71 marks the support level.

TIA 目前交易價格為 4.68 美元，過去 24 小時內下跌 9%。此次下跌已使其跌破自 7 月以來建立的水平通道的支撐位。在此區間內，上限為 6.83 美元，阻力位為 4.71 美元。

Should selling pressure continue, TIA's value may slide further, potentially reaching its multi-month low of $3.72. Conversely, a bullish reversal at the $4.71 support could prompt a recovery, with TIA aiming for a breakout above the $6.83 resistance. Clearing this threshold could drive TIA’s price past $7, a level it hasn’t surpassed since June.

如果拋售壓力持續，TIA 的價值可能會進一步下滑，可能觸及 3.72 美元的數月低點。相反，4.71 美元支撐位的看漲逆轉可能會促進復甦，TIA 的目標是突破 6.83 美元阻力位。突破這一門檻可能會使 TIA 的價格突破 7 美元，這是自 6 月以來從未超過的水平。