随着前总统唐纳德·特朗普获胜，美国股市周三可能强劲开盘

随着特朗普重新就任美国总统，周三三大股指期货均大幅上涨，表明华尔街情绪乐观。

U.S. stock futures pointed to a strong opening on Wednesday as former President Donald Trump emerged victorious in several key swing states.

随着前总统唐纳德·特朗普在几个关键摇摆州取得胜利，美国股指期货周三强劲开盘。

With Trump returning as the U.S. President, futures of all three major indices were strongly in the green on Wednesday, pointing to upbeat sentiment on Wall Street.

随着特朗普重新就任美国总统，周三三大股指期货均大幅上涨，表明华尔街情绪乐观。

The Associated Press called a Republican win in three out of seven key swing states – North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Wisconsin. While Michigan and Arizona are still in play, trends lean toward Trump here, too.

美联社称共和党在七个关键摇摆州中的三个州获胜——北卡罗来纳州、宾夕法尼亚州、佐治亚州和威斯康星州。虽然密歇根州和亚利桑那州仍在发挥作用，但这里的趋势也倾向于特朗普。

Shares of Trump's social media company, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (NYSE:DJT), and his billionaire ally, Elon Musk's Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA), surged in premarket trading on Wednesday.

特朗普的社交媒体公司特朗普媒体科技集团公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DJT）及其亿万富翁盟友埃隆·马斯克的特斯拉公司（纳斯达克股票代码：TSLA）的股价周三在盘前交易中飙升。

While Trump Media shares were up over 33% in premarket trading, Tesla shares were up over 14% at the time of writing.

尽管特朗普媒体股价在盘前交易中上涨了 33% 以上，但截至撰写本文时，特斯拉股价却上涨了 14% 以上。

In premarket trading on Wednesday, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) gained 2.33% to $590.23 and the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) rose 1.82% to $501.15, according to Benzinga Pro data.

根据 Benzinga Pro 的数据，在周三的盘前交易中，SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) 上涨 2.33% 至 590.23 美元，Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) 上涨 1.82% 至 501.15 美元。

Cues From Last Session:

上次会议的线索：

All three major indices ended the Tuesday session on a positive note, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite surging the most.

周二所有三大股指均以积极的走势收盘，其中以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数涨幅最大。

Oil prices eased at the prospect of a Trump win resulting in a stronger U.S. dollar.

由于特朗普获胜的前景导致美元走强，油价下跌。

Treasury yields popped at the prospect of a Trump victory. The benchmark 10-year yield rose to levels last seen in July.

由于特朗普获胜的前景，美国国债收益率大幅上涨。基准 10 年期国债收益率升至 7 月份的水平。

According to the CRFB's central estimate, Trump would increase the national debt by $7.75 trillion between 2026 and 2035, leading the government to issue more bonds to fund the deficit.

根据CRFB的核心估计，特朗普将在2026年至2035年间增加国债7.75万亿美元，导致政府发行更多债券来弥补赤字。

All sectors on the S&P 500 closed on a positive note, with consumer discretionary, industrials, and utilities stocks recording the biggest gains on Tuesday.

标准普尔 500 指数所有板块均上涨，其中非必需消费品、工业和公用事业股周二涨幅最大。

It's not just the equities that surged – top cryptocurrency Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) also surged to a new all-time high of $75,000 – at the time of writing, Bitcoin prices cooled a little to trade at $73,737, up more than 7% in the last 24 hours.

飙升的不仅仅是股票——顶级加密货币比特币（CRYPTO：BTC）也飙升至 75,000 美元的历史新高——截至撰写本文时，比特币价格略有降温，交易价格为 73,737 美元，2019 年上涨超过 7%。过去 24 小时。

Insights From Analysts:

分析师的见解：

Veteran investor Mark Mobius, chairman of Mobius Emerging Opportunities Fund, told CNBC that a Trump victory would be good for the U.S. economy.

莫比乌斯新兴机会基金董事长、资深投资者马克·莫比乌斯向 CNBC 表示，特朗普获胜将有利于美国经济。

"It looks like a Trump presidential win but also a win for Republicans in House and Senate. If that happens, you're going to see the U.S. economy really taking off," he said.

“这看起来像是特朗普总统的胜利，但也是共和党在众议院和参议院的胜利。如果这种情况发生，你将看到美国经济真正起飞，”他说。

Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group, believes that the stage is now set for U.S. equities to rally through the year-end.

卡森集团(Carson Group)首席市场策略师瑞安·德特里克(Ryan Detrick)认为，美国股市年底前的上涨已经做好了准备。

"Once we kind of get through the election uncertainty… we do think that could potentially be the springboard to a potential another strong November," Detrick told CNBC in an interview.

德特里克在接受 CNBC 采访时表示：“一旦我们克服了选举的不确定性……我们确实认为这可能成为另一个强劲 11 月的跳板。”

"This economy is still strong. This is still a bull market."

“这个经济仍然强劲。这仍然是牛市。”

Here's my full interview with @ScottWapnerCNBC on @CNBCClosingBell today. * Why a rally is likely once we get the election out of the way* The Fed could be what upsets markets this week* Tech is pricey, but there are some cheap areas for investors https://t.co/OHRImYEaCl

这是我今天在 @CNBCClosingBell 上对 @ScottWapnerCNBC 的完整采访。 * 为什么一旦我们大选结束，反弹可能会发生* 美联储可能是本周扰乱市场的因素 * 科技股价格昂贵，但对投资者来说有一些便宜的领域 https://t.co/OHRImYEaCl

Stephen Dainton, President of Barclays Bank PLC and Head of Investment Bank Management, told the Wall Street Journal that the markets had already decided that Trump would win.

巴克莱银行总裁兼投资银行管理主管斯蒂芬·丹顿告诉《华尔街日报》，市场已经决定特朗普将获胜。

“The markets are now trading full-on Trump trade."

“市场现在正在全力进行特朗普贸易。”

Echoing Detrick's bull run thesis, WisdomTree and Wharton School economist Jeremy Siegel said the equity surge could continue.

WisdomTree 和沃顿商学院经济学家 Jeremy Siegel 呼应了德特里克的牛市论点，表示股市飙升可能会持续下去。

“In the near term, stock markets seem poised for further gains, bolstered by resilient earnings and steady economic fundamentals, while bond markets will likely grapple with higher yields and volatility ahead,” he said.

他表示：“短期内，在强劲的盈利和稳定的经济基本面的支撑下，股市似乎有望进一步上涨，而债券市场可能会面临未来更高的收益率和波动性。”

“The bull market in stocks looks set to continue, while bonds face a rougher road.”

“股票牛市看起来将持续，而债券则面临更为艰难的道路。”

On the economic data front, the trade deficit in the U.S. increased to $84.4 billion in September, recording the highest level since April 2022, and above market estimates of a $84.1 billion gap, versus a revised $70.8 billion gap in August.

经济数据方面，9月份美国贸易逆差增至844亿美元，创2022年4月以来最高水平，高于市场预期的841亿美元缺口，而8月份修正后的缺口为708亿美元。

The ISM services PMI rose to 56 in October, recording the highest reading since Aug. 2022.

10 月份 ISM 服务业 PMI 升至 56，创下 2022 年 8 月以来的最高值。

See Also: How To Trade Futures

另请参阅：如何交易期货

Upcoming Economic Data

即将发布的经济数据

Wednesday's economic calendar is light, with only S&P scheduled to release the final U.S. services purchasing manager’s index (PMI) at 9:45 a.m. ET.

周三的经济日历清淡，只有标准普尔计划于东部时间上午 9:45 发布美国服务业采购经理人指数 (PMI) 最终数据。

Stocks In Focus:

焦点股票：