隨著前總統川普獲勝，美國股市週三可能強勁開盤

隨著川普重新就任美國總統，週三三大股指期貨均大幅上漲，顯示華爾街情緒樂觀。

U.S. stock futures pointed to a strong opening on Wednesday as former President Donald Trump emerged victorious in several key swing states.

隨著前總統唐納德·川普在幾個關鍵搖擺州取得勝利，美國股指期貨週三強勁開盤。

With Trump returning as the U.S. President, futures of all three major indices were strongly in the green on Wednesday, pointing to upbeat sentiment on Wall Street.

隨著川普重新就任美國總統，週三三大股指期貨均大幅上漲，顯示華爾街情緒樂觀。

The Associated Press called a Republican win in three out of seven key swing states – North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Wisconsin. While Michigan and Arizona are still in play, trends lean toward Trump here, too.

美聯社稱共和黨在七個關鍵搖擺州中的三個州獲勝——北卡羅來納州、賓夕法尼亞州、喬治亞州和威斯康辛州。雖然密西根州和亞利桑那州仍在發揮作用，但這裡的趨勢也傾向於川普。

Shares of Trump's social media company, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (NYSE:DJT), and his billionaire ally, Elon Musk's Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA), surged in premarket trading on Wednesday.

川普的社群媒體公司川普媒體科技集團公司（NYSE：DJT）及其億萬富翁盟友伊隆馬斯克的特斯拉公司（納斯達克股票代碼：TSLA）的股價週三在盤前交易中飆升。

While Trump Media shares were up over 33% in premarket trading, Tesla shares were up over 14% at the time of writing.

儘管川普媒體股價在盤前交易中上漲了 33% 以上，但截至撰寫本文時，特斯拉股價卻上漲了 14% 以上。

In premarket trading on Wednesday, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) gained 2.33% to $590.23 and the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) rose 1.82% to $501.15, according to Benzinga Pro data.

根據 Benzinga Pro 的數據，在周三的盤前交易中，SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) 上漲 2.33% 至 590.23 美元，Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) 上漲 1.82% 至 501.15 美元。

Cues From Last Session:

上次會議的線索：

All three major indices ended the Tuesday session on a positive note, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite surging the most.

週二三大股指均以積極的走勢收盤，其中以科技股為主的那斯達克指數漲幅最大。

Oil prices eased at the prospect of a Trump win resulting in a stronger U.S. dollar.

由於川普獲勝的前景導緻美元走強，油價下跌。

Treasury yields popped at the prospect of a Trump victory. The benchmark 10-year yield rose to levels last seen in July.

由於川普獲勝的前景，美國公債殖利率大幅上漲。基準 10 年期公債殖利率升至 7 月的水平。

According to the CRFB's central estimate, Trump would increase the national debt by $7.75 trillion between 2026 and 2035, leading the government to issue more bonds to fund the deficit.

根據CRFB的核心估計，川普將在2026年至2035年間增加國債7.75兆美元，導致政府發行更多債券來彌補赤字。

All sectors on the S&P 500 closed on a positive note, with consumer discretionary, industrials, and utilities stocks recording the biggest gains on Tuesday.

標準普爾 500 指數所有板塊均上漲，其中非必需消費品、工業和公用事業股週二漲幅最大。

It's not just the equities that surged – top cryptocurrency Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) also surged to a new all-time high of $75,000 – at the time of writing, Bitcoin prices cooled a little to trade at $73,737, up more than 7% in the last 24 hours.

飆升的不僅是股票——頂級加密貨幣比特幣（CRYPTO：BTC）也飆升至75,000 美元的歷史新高——截至撰寫本文時，比特幣價格略有降溫，交易價格為73,737 美元，2019 年上漲超過7%。

Insights From Analysts:

分析師的見解：

Veteran investor Mark Mobius, chairman of Mobius Emerging Opportunities Fund, told CNBC that a Trump victory would be good for the U.S. economy.

莫比烏斯新興機會基金董事長、資深投資者馬克莫比烏斯向 CNBC 表示，川普獲勝將有利於美國經濟。

"It looks like a Trump presidential win but also a win for Republicans in House and Senate. If that happens, you're going to see the U.S. economy really taking off," he said.

「這看起來像是川普總統的勝利，但也是共和黨在眾議院和參議院的勝利。如果這種情況發生，你將看到美國經濟真正起飛，」他說。

Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group, believes that the stage is now set for U.S. equities to rally through the year-end.

卡森集團(Carson Group)首席市場策略師瑞安·德特里克(Ryan Detrick)認為，美國股市年底前的上漲已經做好了準備。

"Once we kind of get through the election uncertainty… we do think that could potentially be the springboard to a potential another strong November," Detrick told CNBC in an interview.

德特里克在接受 CNBC 採訪時表示：“一旦我們克服了選舉的不確定性……我們確實認為這可能會成為另一個強勁 11 月的跳板。”

"This economy is still strong. This is still a bull market."

“這個經濟仍然強勁。這仍然是牛市。”

Here's my full interview with @ScottWapnerCNBC on @CNBCClosingBell today. * Why a rally is likely once we get the election out of the way* The Fed could be what upsets markets this week* Tech is pricey, but there are some cheap areas for investors https://t.co/OHRImYEaCl

這是我今天在 @CNBCClosingBell 上對 @ScottWapnerCNBC 的完整採訪。 * 為什麼一旦我們大選結束，反彈可能會發生* 美聯儲可能是本週擾亂市場的因素 * 科技股價格昂貴，但對投資者來說有一些便宜的領域 https://t.co/OHRImYEaCl

Stephen Dainton, President of Barclays Bank PLC and Head of Investment Bank Management, told the Wall Street Journal that the markets had already decided that Trump would win.

巴克萊銀行總裁兼投資銀行管理主管史蒂芬丹頓告訴《華爾街日報》，市場已經決定川普會贏。

“The markets are now trading full-on Trump trade."

“市場現在正在全力進行川普貿易。”

Echoing Detrick's bull run thesis, WisdomTree and Wharton School economist Jeremy Siegel said the equity surge could continue.

WisdomTree 和華頓商學院經濟學家 Jeremy Siegel 呼應了德特里克的多頭論點，表示股市飆升可能會持續下去。

“In the near term, stock markets seem poised for further gains, bolstered by resilient earnings and steady economic fundamentals, while bond markets will likely grapple with higher yields and volatility ahead,” he said.

他表示：“短期內，在強勁的盈利和穩定的經濟基本面的支撐下，股市似乎有望進一步上漲，而債券市場可能會面臨未來更高的收益率和波動性。”

“The bull market in stocks looks set to continue, while bonds face a rougher road.”

“股票牛市看起來將持續，而債券則面臨更艱難的道路。”

On the economic data front, the trade deficit in the U.S. increased to $84.4 billion in September, recording the highest level since April 2022, and above market estimates of a $84.1 billion gap, versus a revised $70.8 billion gap in August.

經濟數據方面，9月美國貿易逆差增加至844億美元，創2022年4月以來最高水平，高於市場預期的841億美元缺口，8月修正後的缺口為708億美元。

The ISM services PMI rose to 56 in October, recording the highest reading since Aug. 2022.

10 月 ISM 服務業 PMI 升至 56，創下 2022 年 8 月以來的最高值。

See Also: How To Trade Futures

另請參閱：如何交易期貨

Upcoming Economic Data

即將發布的經濟數據

Wednesday's economic calendar is light, with only S&P scheduled to release the final U.S. services purchasing manager’s index (PMI) at 9:45 a.m. ET.

週三的經濟日曆清淡，只有標準普爾計劃於東部時間上午 9:45 發布美國服務業採購經理人指數 (PMI) 最終數據。

Stocks In Focus:

焦點股票：