Solana（Sol）未能超过其20天的指数移动平均线（EMA），面临审查

现在，此水平是替补币的关键架空阻力。 SOL令牌目前位于关键的技术点附近。

Solana (SOL) is currently facing scrutiny as it fails to hold above the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $133. This level now acts as key overhead resistance for the altcoin.

Solana（SOL）目前正面临审查，因为它未能超过20天的指数移动平均线（EMA），接近133美元。现在，此水平是替补币的关键架空阻力。

The SOL token is also sitting at a crucial technical point, with crypto analyst "Mags" highlighting two distinct possibilities ahead: a strong bounce towards new highs, or a slow price bleed toward lower support levels.

SOL令牌还坐在一个关键的技术点上，加密分析师“ MAGS”突出了前方的两个不同的可能性：向新高点的强烈反弹，或者朝着较低的支持水平降低了价格。

What are Mags' Two Primary Scenarios for SOL?

MAGS的两个主要情况是SOL的两个主要情况？

As per his analysis, SOL hit a new all-time high (ATH) earlier this cycle at $295, but proved unable to sustain momentum above it. It also saw a significant bearish divergence appearing on the weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) around that time, suggesting weakening underlying strength prior to the recent pullback.

根据他的分析，索尔在本周期早些时候以295美元的价格达到了新的历史最高水平（ATH），但事实证明无法维持其上方的动力。在那个时候，在每周相对强度指数（RSI）上出现了明显的看跌差异，这表明在最近的回调之前，潜在的强度降低了。

SOL is now testing a key horizontal support level, which has reportedly held strong over the past year and aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci retracement mark derived from a previous price swing. The daily RSI is currently reading near 40, a level which Mags noted previously acted as a strong support zone for SOL's price during prior corrections.

SOL现在正在测试一个关键的水平支持水平，据报道，该水平支持水平在过去的一年中保持了强大，并与以前的价格波动得出的1.618斐波那契回撤位数保持一致。每日RSI目前正在读取40个水平，MAGS先前在先前更正期间是SOL价格的强大支持区。

If history repeats, a price reversal could occur from this confluence of horizontal support and RSI readings near 40, allowing SOL to potentially reclaim upward momentum. However, a decisive breakdown below the $117 area could signal prolonged downside pressure instead.

如果历史重复，则从水平支撑和RSI读数的这种汇合处可能会发生价格逆转，从而使SOL可以潜在地重新获得向上的动力。但是，低于$ 117的区域的决定性分解可能标志着延长的下行压力。

"Two primary scenarios at current levels for $SOL based on:

“基于$ SOL的当前级别的两个主要方案：

- Key horizontal support at $117

- 钥匙水平支持$ 117

- RSI readings at 40

- 40岁的RSI读数

Either a bounce from this confluence of support and RSI, setting up potential to retest Fib resistance at $161 and prior all-time highs

支撑和RSI汇合处的反弹，有潜力以161美元的价格重新测试纤维阻力和以前的历史高点

Or a break below support and continued downside pressure towards Fib support at $90 and the 100-day EMA"

或低于支撑的突破，并继续向FIB支撑支撑为90美元和100天EMA的下行压力”

SOL/BTC Pair Also at Key Technical Juncture

SOL/BTC对也在关键技术关头

The SOL/BTC trading pair reflects a similar situation, also sitting at a crucial technical juncture according to Mags. Another chart shared by the analyst shows SOL was recently rejected from a long-term falling trendline resistance against Bitcoin, forming lower highs.

SOL/BTC交易对也反映了类似的情况，根据MAGS的说法，也处于关键的技术关头。分析师共享的另一幅图表显示，SOL最近因对比特币的长期趋势抗拒性而被拒绝，形成较低的高点。

The pair currently tests support near the critical 0.618 Fibonacci level, which adds technical confluence, highlighting the importance of the current support zone for SOL's performance relative to both the US dollar and Bitcoin.

两人目前对关键0.618斐波那契水平的支持进行了测试，该级别增加了技术汇合，这突出了当前支持区对于SOL的性能的重要性，相对于美元和比特币。

That long-term SOL/BTC trendline resistance has remained unbroken for months, indicating persistent overhead selling pressure on SOL compared to Bitcoin during that period. If SOL/BTC can decisively reclaim this trendline, it could signal a bullish resurgence for Solana versus Bitcoin.

在此期间，与比特币相比，长期的SOL/BTC趋势阻力一直保持不变数月，表明持续的销售压力与比特币相比。如果SOL/BTC可以果断地回收此趋势线，则可能标志着Solana与比特币的看涨复兴。

Conversely, failure to hold the current 0.618 Fib support here could lead to further relative downside, potentially confirming the bearish divergence implications seen on the USDT pair chart.

相反，此处未能保持当前的0.618 FIB支持可能会导致进一步的相对下跌，这可能证实了USDT对图上所见的看跌分歧。

"A bit more context on $SOL, BTC pair testing 0.618 support after facing rejection from the falling trendline, setting up another technical confluence for the above scenarios.

“在面对下落趋势线拒绝后，BTC对测试$ SOL的更多背景，对0.618的支持，为上述情况建立了另一种技术融合。

Trendline resistance has held strong for months, showing persistent selling pressure on $SOL vs $BTC during that period. A decisive close above could signal a return to buying pressure."

在此期间，趋势线阻力已经保持了数月的强大数月，显示了$ sol vs $ btc的持续销售压力。上面的决定性接近可能标志着恢复购买压力。”

Looking at the daily SOL/USDT chart, Bollinger Bands (BB) offer additional context. The price currently trades below the middle BB band (around $130.76). It now approaches a test of the lower BB band support, located near $118.92.

查看每日SOL/USDT图表，Bollinger Bands（BB）提供了其他上下文。目前，价格交易低于中间BB乐队（约合130.76美元）。现在，它接近了较低的BB频段支撑，该支持位于$ 118.92。