Solana（Sol）未能超過其20天的指數移動平均線（EMA），面臨審查

現在，此水平是替補幣的關鍵架空阻力。 SOL令牌目前位於關鍵的技術點附近。

Solana (SOL) is currently facing scrutiny as it fails to hold above the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $133. This level now acts as key overhead resistance for the altcoin.

Solana（SOL）目前正面臨審查，因為它未能超過20天的指數移動平均線（EMA），接近133美元。現在，此水平是替補幣的關鍵架空阻力。

The SOL token is also sitting at a crucial technical point, with crypto analyst "Mags" highlighting two distinct possibilities ahead: a strong bounce towards new highs, or a slow price bleed toward lower support levels.

SOL令牌還坐在一個關鍵的技術點上，加密分析師“ MAGS”突出了前方的兩個不同的可能性：向新高點的強烈反彈，或者朝著較低的支持水平降低了價格。

What are Mags' Two Primary Scenarios for SOL?

MAGS的兩個主要情況是SOL的兩個主要情況？

As per his analysis, SOL hit a new all-time high (ATH) earlier this cycle at $295, but proved unable to sustain momentum above it. It also saw a significant bearish divergence appearing on the weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) around that time, suggesting weakening underlying strength prior to the recent pullback.

根據他的分析，索爾在本週期早些時候以295美元的價格達到了新的歷史最高水平（ATH），但事實證明無法維持其上方的動力。在那個時候，在每週相對強度指數（RSI）上出現了明顯的看跌差異，這表明在最近的回調之前，潛在的強度降低了。

SOL is now testing a key horizontal support level, which has reportedly held strong over the past year and aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci retracement mark derived from a previous price swing. The daily RSI is currently reading near 40, a level which Mags noted previously acted as a strong support zone for SOL's price during prior corrections.

SOL現在正在測試一個關鍵的水平支持水平，據報導，該水平支持水平在過去的一年中保持了強大，並與以前的價格波動得出的1.618斐波那契回撤位數保持一致。每日RSI目前正在讀取40個水平，MAGS先前在先前更正期間是SOL價格的強大支持區。

If history repeats, a price reversal could occur from this confluence of horizontal support and RSI readings near 40, allowing SOL to potentially reclaim upward momentum. However, a decisive breakdown below the $117 area could signal prolonged downside pressure instead.

如果歷史重複，則從水平支撐和RSI讀數的這種匯合處可能會發生價格逆轉，從而使SOL可以潛在地重新獲得向上的動力。但是，低於$ 117的區域的決定性分解可能標誌著長時間的下行壓力。

"Two primary scenarios at current levels for $SOL based on:

“基於$ SOL的當前級別的兩個主要方案：

- Key horizontal support at $117

- 鑰匙水平支持$ 117

- RSI readings at 40

- 40歲的RSI讀數

Either a bounce from this confluence of support and RSI, setting up potential to retest Fib resistance at $161 and prior all-time highs

支撐和RSI匯合處的反彈，有潛力以161美元的價格重新測試纖維阻力和以前的歷史高點

Or a break below support and continued downside pressure towards Fib support at $90 and the 100-day EMA"

或低於支撐的突破，並繼續向FIB支撐支撐為90美元和100天EMA的下行壓力”

SOL/BTC Pair Also at Key Technical Juncture

SOL/BTC對也在關鍵技術關頭

The SOL/BTC trading pair reflects a similar situation, also sitting at a crucial technical juncture according to Mags. Another chart shared by the analyst shows SOL was recently rejected from a long-term falling trendline resistance against Bitcoin, forming lower highs.

SOL/BTC交易對也反映了類似的情況，根據MAGS的說法，也處於關鍵的技術關頭。分析師共享的另一幅圖表顯示，SOL最近因對比特幣的長期趨勢抗拒性而被拒絕，形成較低的高點。

The pair currently tests support near the critical 0.618 Fibonacci level, which adds technical confluence, highlighting the importance of the current support zone for SOL's performance relative to both the US dollar and Bitcoin.

兩人目前對關鍵0.618斐波那契水平的支持進行了測試，該級別增加了技術匯合，這突出了當前支持區對於SOL的性能的重要性，相對於美元和比特幣。

That long-term SOL/BTC trendline resistance has remained unbroken for months, indicating persistent overhead selling pressure on SOL compared to Bitcoin during that period. If SOL/BTC can decisively reclaim this trendline, it could signal a bullish resurgence for Solana versus Bitcoin.

在此期間，與比特幣相比，長期的SOL/BTC趨勢阻力一直保持不變數月，表明持續的銷售壓力與比特幣相比。如果SOL/BTC可以果斷地回收此趨勢線，則可能標誌著Solana與比特幣的看漲復興。

Conversely, failure to hold the current 0.618 Fib support here could lead to further relative downside, potentially confirming the bearish divergence implications seen on the USDT pair chart.

相反，此處未能保持當前的0.618 FIB支持可能會導致進一步的相對下跌，這可能證實了USDT對圖上所見的看跌分歧。

"A bit more context on $SOL, BTC pair testing 0.618 support after facing rejection from the falling trendline, setting up another technical confluence for the above scenarios.

“在面對下落趨勢線拒絕後，BTC對測試$ SOL的更多背景，對0.618的支持，為上述情況建立了另一種技術融合。

Trendline resistance has held strong for months, showing persistent selling pressure on $SOL vs $BTC during that period. A decisive close above could signal a return to buying pressure."

在此期間，趨勢線阻力已經保持了數月的強大數月，顯示了$ sol vs $ btc的持續銷售壓力。上面的決定性接近可能標誌著恢復購買壓力。 ”

Looking at the daily SOL/USDT chart, Bollinger Bands (BB) offer additional context. The price currently trades below the middle BB band (around $130.76). It now approaches a test of the lower BB band support, located near $118.92.

查看每日SOL/USDT圖表，Bollinger Bands（BB）提供了其他上下文。目前，價格交易低於中間BB樂隊（約合130.76美元）。現在，它接近了較低的BB頻段支撐，該支持位於$ 118.92。