Solana（SOL）价格预测：市场不确定性导致山寨币的年度回报率负面

Solana（Sol）价格可以从美国美联储很快开始降低利率的决定中得到提升。

Crypto market uncertainty has resulted in year-to-date returns being negative for altcoins in the top 10, including Solana, while traders' fearful sentiment and the economic fallout from President Donald Trump's tariff announcements have brought a broad selloff in the market. However, Solana has bucked the market-wide decline with a steady climb in the past 10 days.

加密市场的不确定性导致了包括索拉纳（Solana）在内的前十名中的山寨币（Altcoins）的年度回报，而交易者的恐惧情绪和唐纳德·特朗普总统的经济影响，唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的关税公告对市场产生了广泛的抛售。但是，在过去的10天中，索拉纳（Solana）随着稳定的攀升而震惊了市场的下降。

Solana (SOL) price could receive a boost from the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to start reducing interest rates again soon. Traders expect three to four quarter percentage point cuts in 2025.

Solana（Sol）价格可以从美国美联储很快开始降低利率的决定中得到提升。贸易商预计2025年的三分之三百分点降低。

Solana ended its downward trend on March 10 and has been consolidating around $135, a key level for the Ethereum alternative token.

索拉纳（Solana）于3月10日结束了其下降趋势，并一直巩固约135美元的左右，这是以太坊替代令牌的关键水平。

At the time of writing, SOL trades at $138.75.

在撰写本文时，SOL的交易价格为138.75美元。

SOL rallied nearly 20% in the past week and nearly 8% in the past month.

在过去的一周中，索尔（Sol）汇总了近20％，在过去一个月中却近8％。

The support level for the altcoin is at $125.82, and it coincides with the upper boundary of an imbalance zone on the SOL/USDT daily price chart.

AltCoin的支持水平为$ 125.82，它与SOL/USDT每日价格图表上不平衡区域的上限相吻合。

Two key momentum indicators, RSI and MACD support a bullish thesis in Solana. The green histogram bars above the neutral line and RSI sloping upwards with a reading of 56 suggest an underlying positive momentum in SOL price uptrend.

RSI和MACD的两个关键动量指标支持索拉纳的看涨论文。中性线上上方的绿色直方图和RSI向上倾斜，读数为56，这表明Sol Price上升趋势的基本势头。

Solana could rally 13.33% and test the $152.90 level, a key resistance and previously a key support for the altcoin. If Solana successfully flips the $152.90 level from resistance to support, a rally towards resistance at $180, a sticky resistance for the altcoin throughout March and the first two weeks of April 2025.

Solana可以集结13.33％，并测试$ 152.90的水平，是关键阻力，以前是对Altcoin的关键支持。如果Solana成功地将$ 152.90的水平从电阻转换为支撑，将倾向于抵抗力为180美元，在整个3月和2025年4月的前两周对Altcoin的粘性阻力。

SOL on-chain analysis

Sol链分析

On-chain data from Nansen compares activity across Solana, Base and Ethereum. SOL leads with over 4 million active addresses in the past seven days. Base is second and Ethereum ranks lowest.

Nansen的链上数据比较了Solana，Base和以太坊中的活动。在过去的七天中，Sol领导了超过400万个活动地址。基础是第二，以太坊排名最低。

Higher count of active addresses shows the token's relevance and demand among market participants.

较高的主动地址计数表明了令牌参与者中令牌的相关性和需求。

Comparing DEX volume across the three chains, Solana leads with over $5.48 billion, while Ethereum ranks second at $975 million and Base follows with $465 million.

比较了三个连锁店的DEX量，Solana的领先优势超过54.8亿美元，而以太坊以9.75亿美元的价格排名第二，而基地则为4.65亿美元。

In terms of transactions, Solana leads with 52 million transactions in the past seven days, while Ethereum and Base lag behind, according to Nansen data. This is consistent with data for active addresses.

根据Nansen数据，在交易方面，Solana在过去七天中以5200万笔交易领先，而以太坊和基本落后于落后。这与活动地址的数据一致。

In terms of fees generated by the top 5 chains, Solana is second best with a 17% increase in active addresses, nearly 9% increase in transactions and 42% gain in fees generated in the last seven days, per Nansen data.

就前5个连锁店产生的费用而言，Solana在主动地址增加了17％，交易增长了近9％，并且根据Nansen数据，在过去七天中产生的费用增长了近9％。

Santiment data shows a large spike in social dominance on Friday, up from 8.30% on April 15 to 21.59% on April 18. Alongside a rise in social dominance, total open interest in Solana climbed, in terms of USD.

santiment数据显示，周五的社会统治地位极高，从4月15日的8.30％增加到4月18日的21.59％。随着社会优势的上升，索拉纳（Solana）的全部开放兴趣越来越大。

This implies that the total value of open long and short positions in Solana has increased in the same timeframe, supporting a thesis for a rally in Solana price.

这意味着，在同一时间范围内，Solana的开放长位和短职位的总价值增加了​​，支持论文以索拉纳的价格集会。