Solana（SOL）價格預測：市場不確定性導致山寨幣的年度回報率負面

Solana（Sol）價格可以從美國美聯儲很快開始降低利率的決定中得到提升。

Crypto market uncertainty has resulted in year-to-date returns being negative for altcoins in the top 10, including Solana, while traders' fearful sentiment and the economic fallout from President Donald Trump's tariff announcements have brought a broad selloff in the market. However, Solana has bucked the market-wide decline with a steady climb in the past 10 days.

加密市場的不確定性導致了包括索拉納（Solana）在內的前十名中的山寨幣（Altcoins）的年度回報，而交易者的恐懼情緒和唐納德·特朗普總統的經濟影響，唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的關稅公告對市場產生了廣泛的拋售。但是，在過去的10天中，索拉納（Solana）隨著穩定的攀升而震驚了市場的下降。

Solana (SOL) price could receive a boost from the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to start reducing interest rates again soon. Traders expect three to four quarter percentage point cuts in 2025.

Solana（Sol）價格可以從美國美聯儲很快開始降低利率的決定中得到提升。貿易商預計2025年的三分之三百分點降低。

Solana ended its downward trend on March 10 and has been consolidating around $135, a key level for the Ethereum alternative token.

索拉納（Solana）於3月10日結束了其下降趨勢，並一直在合併約135美元，這是以太坊替代令牌的關鍵水平。

At the time of writing, SOL trades at $138.75.

在撰寫本文時，SOL的交易價格為138.75美元。

SOL rallied nearly 20% in the past week and nearly 8% in the past month.

在過去的一周中，索爾（Sol）匯總了近20％，在過去一個月中卻近8％。

The support level for the altcoin is at $125.82, and it coincides with the upper boundary of an imbalance zone on the SOL/USDT daily price chart.

AltCoin的支持水平為$ 125.82，它與SOL/USDT每日價格圖表上不平衡區域的上限相吻合。

Two key momentum indicators, RSI and MACD support a bullish thesis in Solana. The green histogram bars above the neutral line and RSI sloping upwards with a reading of 56 suggest an underlying positive momentum in SOL price uptrend.

RSI和MACD的兩個關鍵動量指標支持索拉納的看漲論文。中性線上上方的綠色直方圖和RSI向上傾斜，讀數為56，這表明Sol Price上升趨勢的基本勢頭。

Solana could rally 13.33% and test the $152.90 level, a key resistance and previously a key support for the altcoin. If Solana successfully flips the $152.90 level from resistance to support, a rally towards resistance at $180, a sticky resistance for the altcoin throughout March and the first two weeks of April 2025.

Solana可以集結13.33％，並測試$ 152.90的水平，是關鍵阻力，以前是對Altcoin的關鍵支持。如果Solana成功地將$ 152.90的水平從電阻轉換為支撐，將傾向於抵抗力為180美元，在整個3月和2025年4月的前兩週對Altcoin的粘性阻力。

SOL on-chain analysis

Sol鏈分析

On-chain data from Nansen compares activity across Solana, Base and Ethereum. SOL leads with over 4 million active addresses in the past seven days. Base is second and Ethereum ranks lowest.

Nansen的鏈上數據比較了Solana，Base和以太坊中的活動。在過去的七天中，Sol領導了超過400萬個活動地址。基礎是第二，以太坊排名最低。

Higher count of active addresses shows the token's relevance and demand among market participants.

較高的主動地址計數表明了令牌參與者中令牌的相關性和需求。

Comparing DEX volume across the three chains, Solana leads with over $5.48 billion, while Ethereum ranks second at $975 million and Base follows with $465 million.

比較了三個連鎖店的DEX量，Solana的領先優勢超過54.8億美元，而以太坊以9.75億美元的價格排名第二，而基地則為4.65億美元。

In terms of transactions, Solana leads with 52 million transactions in the past seven days, while Ethereum and Base lag behind, according to Nansen data. This is consistent with data for active addresses.

根據Nansen數據，在交易方面，Solana在過去七天中以5200萬筆交易領先，而以太坊和基本落後於落後。這與活動地址的數據一致。

In terms of fees generated by the top 5 chains, Solana is second best with a 17% increase in active addresses, nearly 9% increase in transactions and 42% gain in fees generated in the last seven days, per Nansen data.

就前5個連鎖店產生的費用而言，Solana在主動地址增加了17％，交易增長了近9％，並且根據Nansen數據，在過去七天中產生的費用增長了近9％。

Santiment data shows a large spike in social dominance on Friday, up from 8.30% on April 15 to 21.59% on April 18. Alongside a rise in social dominance, total open interest in Solana climbed, in terms of USD.

santiment數據顯示，週五的社會統治地位極高，從4月15日的8.30％增加到4月18日的21.59％。隨著社會優勢的上升，索拉納（Solana）的全部開放興趣越來越大。

This implies that the total value of open long and short positions in Solana has increased in the same timeframe, supporting a thesis for a rally in Solana price.

這意味著，在同一時間範圍內，Solana的開放長位和短職位的總價值增加了​​，支持論文以索拉納的價格集會。