索拉纳（Sol）价格下降到5个月的低点，而TVL售出50亿美元

自2024年9月以来，Solana（Sol）的价格首次下跌至130美元。这种急剧下降是在加密货币未能使新的历史最高高的水平降低之后。

For the first time since September 2024, Solana's (SOL) price has dropped to $130. This sharp decline comes after the cryptocurrency failed to notch a new all-time high.

自2024年9月以来，Solana（Sol）的价格首次下跌至130美元。这种急剧下降是在加密货币未能使新的历史最高高的水平降低之后。

Instead, the price dropped by 43% this month.

相反，本月的价格下跌了43％。

The technical setup appears similar to that of the 2022 bear market, which could see a deeper pullback from today's price levels.

技术设置看起来与2022熊市相似，这可能会使当今的价格水平更深地回调。

As market sentiment turns cautious, the question is—will SOL break free from this bearish cycle?

随着市场情绪变得谨慎，问题是 - 索尔是否会摆脱这个看跌周期？

SOL Falls to 5-Month Low

溶胶跌至5个月的低点

Earlier in the year, Solana's price flashed signs of reaching $300. But after hitting $294, the cryptocurrency encountered rejection.

在今年早些时候，索拉纳（Solana）的价格闪烁了300美元的迹象。但是在达到294美元之后，加密货币遇到了拒绝。

Since that time, it has been downhill, with SOL failing to retest that peak.

从那时起，它一直下坡了，Sol无法重新测试该高峰。

While SOL dropped below $130 today, the weekly chart shows that the altcoin could follow a similar path that saw the price collapse during the 2022 bear market.

虽然索尔今天下跌低于130美元，但每周图表表明，山寨币可能遵循类似的道路，在2022年熊市中的价格崩溃。

During that period, Solana's price, which reached $260 in November 2021, crashed below $10. It was also during that period that the 26-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crossed above the 12 EMA, which confirmed the extended bearish phase.

在此期间，索拉纳（Solana）的价格在2021年11月达到260美元，跌至10美元以下。正是在此期间，26个周期指数的移动平均值（EMA）越过12 EMA，这证实了延长的看跌期。

As of this writing, the same thing has happened as the 26 EMA (orange) has dropped below the 12 EMA (blue). If sustained, this crossover and the negative reading of the MACD, might suppress SOL's price.

在撰写本文时，发生了同样的事情，因为26 EMA（Orange）掉落在12 EMA（蓝色）以下。如果持续，这种交叉和MACD的负面读数可能会抑制Sol的价格。

As the chart shows, the 26 EMA crossed above the 12 EMA at the height of the 2022 bear market. This time, the same thing happened as the bear market is coming to an end.

如图所示，在2022年熊市高峰期，在12 EMA上方的26个EMA越过了。这次，随着熊市即将结束，发生了同样的事情。

The last time the 26 EMA dropped below the 12 EMA, it led to a 90% decline in a time frame of two months.

上次26 EMA降至12 EMA以下时，这导致两个月的时间范围下降了90％。

If this pattern repeats, it could see a continuation of the bear market in the coming months.

如果这种模式重复出现，那么在未来几个月中，熊市可能会延续。

TVL Loses $5 Billion

TVL损失了50亿美元

Another sign that SOL could be heading toward the 2022 bear market path is its Total Value Locked (TVL).

SOL可能正朝2022熊市场路径前进的另一个迹象是其总价值锁定（TVL）。

In January, Solana's TVL neared $12 billion. But today, it has dropped to $6.93 billion.

一月份，索拉纳（Solana）的TVL接近120亿美元。但是今天，它已降至69.3亿美元。

Taking it back to the 2021 to 2022 period, the same metric collapsed from $10 billion to a sub-$1 billion level within months. The TVL is a key indicator that shows how much confidence users have in a protocol.

将其恢复到2021年至2022年期间，同一度量在几个月内从100亿美元跌至10亿美元。 TVL是一个关键指标，它显示用户对协议的信心多少。

When the value rises, it indicates users are locking more assets into the protocol, signifying trust. However, in this case, the decline indicates that investor confidence in SOL is fading.

当值升高时，它表明用户将更多资产锁定到协议中，表示信任。但是，在这种情况下，下降表明投资者对SOL的信心正在消失。

If the TVL continues to fall, Solana's price is likely to follow suit. If that is the case, then SOL could fall much lower below $130.

如果TVL继续下降，Solana的价格可能会效仿。如果是这种情况，那么SOL可能会低于130美元以下。

Looking at SOL's price potential on the daily chart, CCN observed that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to the oversold region.

查看SOL在每日图表上的价格潜力，CCN观察到相对强度指数（RSI）已下降到超售区域。

While the RSI measures momentum, it also shows if a cryptocurrency is overbought or oversold. Readings above 70.00 means it is overbought, while those below 30.00 indicates that it is oversold.

尽管RSI衡量了势头，但它还表明了加密货币是否过多或超额出售。 70.00以上的读数意味着它是超买的，而低于30.00的读数表示其超卖。

As of this writing, the indicator's rating is $25.42. It is also important to note that the RSI is yet to break above the downtrend.

在撰写本文时，指标的评级为25.42美元。同样重要的是要注意，RSI尚未超过下降趋势。

If this remains the same, the Solana's price could drop to $109.92 at the crest of the wick shown below.

如果保持不变，在下面显示的灯芯的顶峰上，索拉纳的价格可能会降至109.92美元。

If selling pressure increases and demand for SOL fails to pick up, this prediction could be worse.

如果销售压力增加，对SOL的需求无法恢复，那么这一预测可能会更糟。

If that is the case, SOL could decline to $78.91, which would represent a 13-month low.

如果是这种情况，Sol可能会降至78.91美元，这将代表13个月的低点。