索拉納（Sol）價格下降到5個月的低點，而TVL售出50億美元

自2024年9月以來，Solana（Sol）的價格首次下跌至130美元。這種急劇下降是在加密貨幣未能使新的歷史最高高的水平降低之後。

For the first time since September 2024, Solana's (SOL) price has dropped to $130. This sharp decline comes after the cryptocurrency failed to notch a new all-time high.

自2024年9月以來，Solana（Sol）的價格首次下跌至130美元。這種急劇下降是在加密貨幣未能使新的歷史最高高的水平降低之後。

Instead, the price dropped by 43% this month.

相反，本月的價格下跌了43％。

The technical setup appears similar to that of the 2022 bear market, which could see a deeper pullback from today's price levels.

技術設置看起來與2022熊市相似，這可能會使當今的價格水平更深地回調。

As market sentiment turns cautious, the question is—will SOL break free from this bearish cycle?

隨著市場情緒變得謹慎，問題是 - 索爾是否會擺脫這個看跌週期？

SOL Falls to 5-Month Low

溶膠跌至5個月的低點

Earlier in the year, Solana's price flashed signs of reaching $300. But after hitting $294, the cryptocurrency encountered rejection.

在今年早些時候，索拉納（Solana）的價格閃爍了300美元的跡象。但是在達到294美元之後，加密貨幣遇到了拒絕。

Since that time, it has been downhill, with SOL failing to retest that peak.

從那時起，它一直下坡了，Sol無法重新測試該高峰。

While SOL dropped below $130 today, the weekly chart shows that the altcoin could follow a similar path that saw the price collapse during the 2022 bear market.

雖然索爾今天下跌低於130美元，但每週圖表表明，山寨幣可能遵循類似的道路，在2022年熊市中的價格崩潰。

During that period, Solana's price, which reached $260 in November 2021, crashed below $10. It was also during that period that the 26-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crossed above the 12 EMA, which confirmed the extended bearish phase.

在此期間，索拉納（Solana）的價格在2021年11月達到260美元，跌至10美元以下。正是在此期間，26個週期指數的移動平均值（EMA）越過12 EMA，這證實了延長的看跌期。

As of this writing, the same thing has happened as the 26 EMA (orange) has dropped below the 12 EMA (blue). If sustained, this crossover and the negative reading of the MACD, might suppress SOL's price.

在撰寫本文時，發生了同樣的事情，因為26 EMA（Orange）掉落在12 EMA（藍色）以下。如果持續，這種交叉和MACD的負面讀數可能會抑制Sol的價格。

As the chart shows, the 26 EMA crossed above the 12 EMA at the height of the 2022 bear market. This time, the same thing happened as the bear market is coming to an end.

如圖所示，在2022年熊市高峰期，在12 EMA上方的26個EMA越過了。這次，隨著熊市即將結束，發生了同樣的事情。

The last time the 26 EMA dropped below the 12 EMA, it led to a 90% decline in a time frame of two months.

上次26 EMA降至12 EMA以下時，這導致兩個月的時間範圍下降了90％。

If this pattern repeats, it could see a continuation of the bear market in the coming months.

如果這種模式重複出現，那麼在未來幾個月中，熊市可能會延續。

TVL Loses $5 Billion

TVL損失了50億美元

Another sign that SOL could be heading toward the 2022 bear market path is its Total Value Locked (TVL).

SOL可能正朝2022熊市場路徑前進的另一個跡像是其總價值鎖定（TVL）。

In January, Solana's TVL neared $12 billion. But today, it has dropped to $6.93 billion.

一月份，索拉納（Solana）的TVL接近120億美元。但是今天，它已降至69.3億美元。

Taking it back to the 2021 to 2022 period, the same metric collapsed from $10 billion to a sub-$1 billion level within months. The TVL is a key indicator that shows how much confidence users have in a protocol.

將其恢復到2021年至2022年期間，同一度量在幾個月內從100億美元跌至10億美元。 TVL是一個關鍵指標，它顯示用戶對協議的信心多少。

When the value rises, it indicates users are locking more assets into the protocol, signifying trust. However, in this case, the decline indicates that investor confidence in SOL is fading.

當值升高時，它表明用戶將更多資產鎖定到協議中，表示信任。但是，在這種情況下，下降表明投資者對SOL的信心正在消失。

If the TVL continues to fall, Solana's price is likely to follow suit. If that is the case, then SOL could fall much lower below $130.

如果TVL繼續下降，Solana的價格可能會效仿。如果是這種情況，那麼SOL可能會低於130美元以下。

Looking at SOL's price potential on the daily chart, CCN observed that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to the oversold region.

查看SOL在每日圖表上的價格潛力，CCN觀察到相對強度指數（RSI）已下降到超售區域。

While the RSI measures momentum, it also shows if a cryptocurrency is overbought or oversold. Readings above 70.00 means it is overbought, while those below 30.00 indicates that it is oversold.

儘管RSI衡量了勢頭，但它還表明了加密貨幣是否過多或超額出售。 70.00以上的讀數意味著它是超買的，而低於30.00的讀數表示其超賣。

As of this writing, the indicator's rating is $25.42. It is also important to note that the RSI is yet to break above the downtrend.

在撰寫本文時，指標的評級為25.42美元。同樣重要的是要注意，RSI尚未超過下降趨勢。

If this remains the same, the Solana's price could drop to $109.92 at the crest of the wick shown below.

如果保持不變，在下面顯示的燈芯的頂峰上，索拉納的價格可能會降至109.92美元。

If selling pressure increases and demand for SOL fails to pick up, this prediction could be worse.

如果銷售壓力增加，對SOL的需求無法恢復，那麼這一預測可能會更糟。

If that is the case, SOL could decline to $78.91, which would represent a 13-month low.

如果是這種情況，Sol可能會降至78.91美元，這將代表13個月的低點。