XRP面對市場波動的看跌壓力

隨著令牌努力維持關鍵支持水平的努力，分析師在反彈是否即將到來或是否進一步下降的情況下仍然存在分歧。

As the token struggles to maintain key support levels, analysts remain divided on whether a rebound is imminent or if further declines are on the horizon. With technical indicators flashing mixed signals and external factors influencing investor sentiment, traders are bracing for the next major move in XRP’s price trajectory.

隨著令牌努力維持關鍵支持水平的努力，分析師在反彈是否即將到來或是否進一步下降的情況下仍然存在分歧。隨著技術指標閃爍混合信號和影響投資者情緒的外部因素，交易者正在為XRP價格軌蹟的下一個重大行動做好準備。

XRP has experienced a sharp decline over the past week, dropping nearly 15% as broader crypto market weakness exerted downward pressure. The token fell toward the $2.00 mark, a significant psychological level after being rejected at higher resistance points. According to analysts, XRP must break above $2.22 and hold it as support to regain bullish momentum. Otherwise, the risk of further declines remains high.

在過去一周中，XRP的下降急劇下降，隨著更廣泛的加密貨幣市場弱點的向下壓力下降了近15％。代幣跌至2.00美元，這是在較高阻力點被拒絕後的重要心理層面。根據分析師的說法，XRP必須超過2.22美元，並將其作為支持重新獲得看漲勢頭的支持。否則，進一步下降的風險仍然很高。

Ripple (XRP) is waiting for a breakout in either direction as the price holds between the $2.50 critical resistance and $2 support. Source: MasNora on TradingView

Ripple（XRP）正在等待任何方向的突破，因為價格在2.50美元的關鍵阻力和2美元的支持之間。資料來源：Masnora在TradingView上

Technical analysis points to key resistance at $2.25 and $2.325. If XRP fails to breach these levels, it could retreat toward $2.00 or lower. “The price action is currently dictated by resistance at $2.25. A breakout above this level could shift momentum, but failure to do so may result in extended losses,” said a market strategist.

技術分析指出，關鍵阻力為2.25美元和2.325美元。如果XRP未能違反這些水平，它可能會退回到$ 2.00或更低的情況下。 “價格行動目前由電阻為2.25美元決定。高於此水平的突破可能會改變動力，但是如果不這樣做可能會導致損失延長。”市場策略師說。

Elliott Wave Analysis Suggests Further Correction

Elliott Wave分析提出進一步的校正

From an Elliott Wave perspective, XRP is in a Wave (B) phase of correction, which can portend bear continuation before stabilizing. XRP’s support at $1.533, say analysts, would be a crucial turning point. “Wave (B) corrections are likely to create uncertainty but pave the node for the big move ahead,” says one technical analyst.

從Elliott波的角度來看，XRP處於校正的波（B）階段，在穩定之前可以預防熊的延續。分析師說，XRP的支持為1.533美元，這將是一個至關重要的轉折點。一位技術分析師說：“波（b）校正可能會產生不確定性，但為前進的大步鋪平了節點。”

XRP shifts to an Expanding Leading Diagonal, with Wave 2 Flat “chop”; demand seen around $2.00. Source: Schu3269 on TradingView

XRP轉向擴展的領先對角線，並帶有第2次平坦的“切碎”；需求約為2.00美元。資料來源：schu3269在TradingView上

Traders are closely monitoring Wave (II) completion, which could witness a short-term rise in Wave B before potentially falling to Wave C. This model emphasizes the importance of good entry and exit points as XRP remains extremely volatile.

交易者正在密切監視波浪（II）的完成，這可能會見證B波的短期增加，然後可能會落入WaveC。該模型強調了良好進入和退出點的重要性，因為XRP仍然非常波動。

XRP Futures Open Interest Hits Yearly Low

XRP期貨開放利息每年低點

Another worrying metric is the downtrend in XRP futures open interest, which recently hit an all-time low in 2025 at $1.33 billion. The 8% decline from the last week is an indication of leveraged players unwinding, which reflects a lack of confidence in XRP’s near-term strength.

另一個令人擔憂的指標是XRP期貨開放興趣的下降趨勢，該利息最近在2025年的歷史最低點處，至13.3億美元。從上週起的8％的下降表明槓桿球員放鬆了，這反映出對XRP的近期力量缺乏信心。

XRP’s Open Interest is in a downtrend. Source: Santiment

XRP的開放興趣處於下降趨勢。資料來源：santiment

Funding rate data also attest to this conservative stance. Since December 9, XRP’s eight-hour funding rate has hovered near zero, showing balance between bearish and bullish leverage. Unlike previous rallies, such as the 140% surge in late 2024, there has been no significant spike in leveraged buying, which is worrying for waning bullish pressure.

資金率數據也證明了這種保守的立場。自12月9日以來，XRP的八小時籌資率徘徊在零接近零，在看跌和看漲的槓桿率之間表現出平衡。與以前的集會不同，例如2024年底的140％激增，槓桿購買沒有明顯的峰值，這令人擔憂的看漲壓力。

Legal Uncertainty Still Looms Over XRP

法律不確定性仍然籠罩在XRP上

Although recent optimism within the crypto market exists, the court case between Ripple and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) continues to linger over XRP’s price. Although cases have been dropped by the SEC against firms such as Coinbase, OpenSea, and Uniswap, its action against Ripple is ongoing.

儘管存在加密市場中最近的樂觀情緒，但Ripple與美國證券交易委員會（SEC）之間的法院案件繼續持續XRP的價格。儘管美國證券交易委員會已經針對Coinbase，Opensea和Uniswap等公司撤銷了案件，但其對Ripple的行動仍在進行中。

XRP’s price will stay stagnant despite news; only an SEC case dismissal can trigger a pump. Source: Kai Tran via X

儘管有消息，XRP的價格仍將停滯不前。只有SEC案件解僱才能觸發泵。資料來源：Kai Tran通過X

Most in the cryptocurrency community are hoping for a positive outcome, but legal experts caution that this case is even more complex due to a prior court ruling and on-going appeal. “An upside victory for Ripple could spur a sharp rally, but continuing delays make it all the more uncertain,” said a legal expert after the case.

加密貨幣社區中的大多數人都希望取得積極的結果，但是法律專家警告說，由於先前的法院裁決和持續上訴，此案更加複雜。一位法律專家在此後說：“波紋的勝利可能刺激了一個急劇的集會，但繼續延誤使它變得更加不確定。”

Ripple’s Strategic Efforts Face Roadblocks

Ripple的戰略努力面臨障礙

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has attempted in recent months to campaign for a U.S. government-backed Strategic Digital Asset Reserve to diversify reserves away from Bitcoin. Such efforts have, however, been met with pushback, particularly after Donald Trump’s previous administration signaled that it would no longer be keen on seeking a specialized crypto council.

Ripple首席執行官布拉德·加林豪斯（Brad Garlinghouse）最近幾個月試圖競選美國政府支持的戰略數字資產儲備，以使儲備金從比特幣中多樣化。然而，這種努力得到了迴避，尤其是在唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）上前政府表示不再熱衷於尋求專門的加密委員會之後。

Ripple (XRP) was trading at around $2.22, down 3.2% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: XRP Liquid Index (XRPLX) via Brave New Coin

Ripple（XRP）的交易價格約為2.22美元，在發稿時24小時內下跌了3.2％。資料來源：XRP液體指數（XRPLX）通過勇敢的新硬幣

In addition, broader macroeconomic factors, including U.S. trade policy and market-wide corrections, have also played a role. Trump’s recent tariff threat against global trading partners triggered double-digit drops in major cryptocurrencies like XRP.

此外，包括美國貿易政策和整個市場更正在內的更廣泛的宏觀經濟因素也發揮了作用。特朗普最近對全球貿易夥伴的關稅威脅引發了XRP等重大加密貨幣的兩位數下降。

Key Levels to Watch for a Rebound

關注反彈的關鍵水平

For XRP to regain strength, it needs to remain above the support price of $2.18. In case additional buying pressure is experienced, the token could test the descending trendline resistance line at $2.25. A firm breakout above $2.30 will be an affirmation of a momentum shift, subsequently, which may take XRP towards a

為了使XRP恢復實力，它需要保持高於2.18美元的支持價格。如果經歷了額外的購買壓力，代幣可能會以2.25美元的價格測試下降趨勢線阻力線。超過$ 2.30的公司突破將是對動量轉變的肯定，隨後可能會將XRP朝