XRP面对市场波动的看跌压力

随着令牌努力维持关键支持水平的努力，分析师在反弹是否即将到来或是否进一步下降的情况下仍然存在分歧。

As the token struggles to maintain key support levels, analysts remain divided on whether a rebound is imminent or if further declines are on the horizon. With technical indicators flashing mixed signals and external factors influencing investor sentiment, traders are bracing for the next major move in XRP’s price trajectory.

随着令牌努力维持关键支持水平的努力，分析师在反弹是否即将到来或是否进一步下降的情况下仍然存在分歧。随着技术指标闪烁混合信号和影响投资者情绪的外部因素，交易者正在为XRP价格轨迹的下一个重大行动做好准备。

XRP has experienced a sharp decline over the past week, dropping nearly 15% as broader crypto market weakness exerted downward pressure. The token fell toward the $2.00 mark, a significant psychological level after being rejected at higher resistance points. According to analysts, XRP must break above $2.22 and hold it as support to regain bullish momentum. Otherwise, the risk of further declines remains high.

在过去一周中，XRP的下降急剧下降，随着更广泛的加密货币市场弱点的向下压力下降了近15％。代币跌至2.00美元，这是在较高阻力点被拒绝后的重要心理层面。根据分析师的说法，XRP必须超过2.22美元，并将其作为支持重新获得看涨势头的支持。否则，进一步下降的风险仍然很高。

Ripple (XRP) is waiting for a breakout in either direction as the price holds between the $2.50 critical resistance and $2 support. Source: MasNora on TradingView

Ripple（XRP）正在等待任何方向的突破，因为价格在2.50美元的关键阻力和2美元的支持之间。资料来源：Masnora在TradingView上

Technical analysis points to key resistance at $2.25 and $2.325. If XRP fails to breach these levels, it could retreat toward $2.00 or lower. “The price action is currently dictated by resistance at $2.25. A breakout above this level could shift momentum, but failure to do so may result in extended losses,” said a market strategist.

技术分析指出，关键阻力为2.25美元和2.325美元。如果XRP未能违反这些水平，它可能会退回到$ 2.00或更低的情况下。 “价格行动目前由电阻为2.25美元决定。高于此水平的突破可能会改变动力，但是如果不这样做可能会导致损失延长。”市场策略师说。

Elliott Wave Analysis Suggests Further Correction

Elliott Wave分析提出进一步的校正

From an Elliott Wave perspective, XRP is in a Wave (B) phase of correction, which can portend bear continuation before stabilizing. XRP’s support at $1.533, say analysts, would be a crucial turning point. “Wave (B) corrections are likely to create uncertainty but pave the node for the big move ahead,” says one technical analyst.

从Elliott波的角度来看，XRP处于校正的波（B）阶段，在稳定之前可以预防熊的延续。分析师说，XRP的支持为1.533美元，这将是一个至关重要的转折点。一位技术分析师说：“波（b）校正可能会产生不确定性，但为前进的大步铺平了节点。”

XRP shifts to an Expanding Leading Diagonal, with Wave 2 Flat “chop”; demand seen around $2.00. Source: Schu3269 on TradingView

XRP转向扩展的领先对角线，并带有第2次平坦的“切碎”；需求约为2.00美元。资料来源：schu3269在TradingView上

Traders are closely monitoring Wave (II) completion, which could witness a short-term rise in Wave B before potentially falling to Wave C. This model emphasizes the importance of good entry and exit points as XRP remains extremely volatile.

交易者正在密切监视波浪（II）的完成，这可能会见证B波的短期增加，然后可能会落入WaveC。该模型强调了良好进入和退出点的重要性，因为XRP仍然非常波动。

XRP Futures Open Interest Hits Yearly Low

XRP期货开放利息每年低点

Another worrying metric is the downtrend in XRP futures open interest, which recently hit an all-time low in 2025 at $1.33 billion. The 8% decline from the last week is an indication of leveraged players unwinding, which reflects a lack of confidence in XRP’s near-term strength.

另一个令人担忧的指标是XRP期货开放兴趣的下降趋势，该利息最近在2025年的历史最低点处，至13.3亿美元。从上周起的8％的下降表明杠杆球员放松了，这反映出对XRP的近期力量缺乏信心。

XRP’s Open Interest is in a downtrend. Source: Santiment

XRP的开放兴趣处于下降趋势。资料来源：santiment

Funding rate data also attest to this conservative stance. Since December 9, XRP’s eight-hour funding rate has hovered near zero, showing balance between bearish and bullish leverage. Unlike previous rallies, such as the 140% surge in late 2024, there has been no significant spike in leveraged buying, which is worrying for waning bullish pressure.

资金率数据也证明了这种保守的立场。自12月9日以来，XRP的八小时筹资率徘徊在零接近零，在看跌和看涨的杠杆率之间表现出平衡。与以前的集会不同，例如2024年底的140％激增，杠杆购买没有明显的峰值，这令人担忧的看涨压力。

Legal Uncertainty Still Looms Over XRP

法律不确定性仍然笼罩在XRP上

Although recent optimism within the crypto market exists, the court case between Ripple and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) continues to linger over XRP’s price. Although cases have been dropped by the SEC against firms such as Coinbase, OpenSea, and Uniswap, its action against Ripple is ongoing.

尽管存在加密市场中最近的乐观情绪，但Ripple与美国证券交易委员会（SEC）之间的法院案件继续持续XRP的价格。尽管美国证券交易委员会已经针对Coinbase，Opensea和Uniswap等公司撤销了案件，但其对Ripple的行动仍在进行中。

XRP’s price will stay stagnant despite news; only an SEC case dismissal can trigger a pump. Source: Kai Tran via X

尽管有消息，XRP的价格仍将停滞不前。只有SEC案件解雇才能触发泵。资料来源：Kai Tran通过X

Most in the cryptocurrency community are hoping for a positive outcome, but legal experts caution that this case is even more complex due to a prior court ruling and on-going appeal. “An upside victory for Ripple could spur a sharp rally, but continuing delays make it all the more uncertain,” said a legal expert after the case.

加密货币社区中的大多数人都希望取得积极的结果，但是法律专家警告说，由于先前的法院裁决和持续上诉，此案更加复杂。一位法律专家在此后说：“波纹的胜利可能刺激了一个急剧的集会，但继续延误使它变得更加不确定。”

Ripple’s Strategic Efforts Face Roadblocks

Ripple的战略努力面临障碍

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has attempted in recent months to campaign for a U.S. government-backed Strategic Digital Asset Reserve to diversify reserves away from Bitcoin. Such efforts have, however, been met with pushback, particularly after Donald Trump’s previous administration signaled that it would no longer be keen on seeking a specialized crypto council.

Ripple首席执行官布拉德·加林豪斯（Brad Garlinghouse）最近几个月试图竞选美国政府支持的战略数字资产储备，以使储备金从比特币中多样化。然而，这种努力得到了回避，尤其是在唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）上前政府表示不再热衷于寻求专门的加密委员会之后。

Ripple (XRP) was trading at around $2.22, down 3.2% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: XRP Liquid Index (XRPLX) via Brave New Coin

Ripple（XRP）的交易价格约为2.22美元，在发稿时24小时内下跌了3.2％。资料来源：XRP液体指数（XRPLX）通过勇敢的新硬币

In addition, broader macroeconomic factors, including U.S. trade policy and market-wide corrections, have also played a role. Trump’s recent tariff threat against global trading partners triggered double-digit drops in major cryptocurrencies like XRP.

此外，包括美国贸易政策和整个市场更正在内的更广泛的宏观经济因素也发挥了作用。特朗普最近对全球贸易伙伴的关税威胁引发了XRP等重大加密货币的两位数下降。

Key Levels to Watch for a Rebound

关注反弹的关键水平

For XRP to regain strength, it needs to remain above the support price of $2.18. In case additional buying pressure is experienced, the token could test the descending trendline resistance line at $2.25. A firm breakout above $2.30 will be an affirmation of a momentum shift, subsequently, which may take XRP towards a

为了使XRP恢复实力，它需要保持高于2.18美元的支持价格。如果经历了额外的购买压力，代币可能会以2.25美元的价格测试下降趋势线阻力线。超过$ 2.30的公司突破将是对动量转变的肯定，随后可能会将XRP朝