索拉纳的集会面临风险吗？关键 SOL 指标预示着未来可能出现逆转

Solana 的价格在过去一周上涨了 28.08%。然而，最近的技术指标至少暗示短期修正。

Solana (SOL) has seen a 28.08% surge in its price over the last one week. However, recent technical indicators are hinting at a short-term correction at least.

Solana (SOL) 的价格在过去一周上涨了 28.08%。然而，最近的技术指标至少暗示短期修正。

In the meantime, Solana is down 4.68% in the past day, trading at $209.47 at the time of writing. Evai CEO Matthew Dixon said on Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) that although SOL overall trend is still strong, there are indications that the recent rise might not last.

与此同时，Solana 在过去一天下跌了 4.68%，截至撰写本文时交易价格为 209.47 美元。 Evai首席执行官Matthew Dixon在Twitter（NYSE：TWTR）上表示，尽管SOL整体趋势仍然强劲，但有迹象表明近期的上涨可能不会持续。

Can #SOL continue to push higher? – certainly

#SOL 能否​​继续走高？ - 当然

Trend is your friend as they say.

正如他们所说，趋势是你的朋友。

However, there are numerous signals flashing warning signs that $SOL may be due at least a short term reversal.

然而，有许多信号闪烁着警告信号，表明 $SOL 可能至少会出现短期逆转。

Volume is not supporting the current high price and the wave structure still looks…

成交量并不能支撑当前的高价，波浪结构看起来仍然......

pic.twitter.com/ndMJOKcdwG

pic.twitter.com/ndMJOKcdwG

Elliott Wave Analysis Suggests Corrective Pattern

艾略特波浪分析表明修正模式

Technical analysis of Solana’s price chart reveals an Elliott Wave pattern, a method used by traders to identify potential trend shifts. This wave structure suggests that Solana’s recent price movement may mark the completion of an upward corrective phase rather than the beginning of a prolonged rally.

Solana 价格图表的技术分析揭示了艾略特波浪模式，这是交易者用来识别潜在趋势转变的方法。这种波浪结构表明，Solana 最近的价格走势可能标志着向上修正阶段的完成，而不是长期上涨的开始。

The chart identifies an earlier peak labeled as Wave 3 in March 2024, with the current peak marked as Wave C, which may indicate the final phase of a larger corrective A-B-C pattern. Such patterns typically signal a potential downturn once they complete.

该图表确定了 2024 年 3 月标记为波 3 的早期峰值，当前峰值标记为波 C，这可能表明更大的修正 ABC 模式的最后阶段。这种模式一旦完成通常预示着潜在的经济衰退。

Dixon noted,

迪克森指出，

“The wave structure still looks corrective to the upside, meaning downward movement is likely.”

“波浪结构看起来仍然向上修正，这意味着可能会出现下行走势。”

According to this interpretation, the current bullish formation for SOL might have reached its resistance level hence putting it more likely to reverse before long.

根据这种解释，SOL 目前的看涨形态可能已达到其阻力位，因此不久之后更有可能逆转。

RSI Indicator Shows Bearish Divergence

RSI 指标显示看跌背离

The RSI, a widely used momentum indicator, is displaying signals that could suggest a weakening uptrend. Per now, Solana’s RSI is around 75.72, placing it in the overbought zone, which is generally above 70.

RSI 是一种广泛使用的动量指标，它所显示的信号可能表明上升趋势正在减弱。目前，Solana 的 RSI 约为 75.72，处于超买区域，通常高于 70。

But notably, there is a bearish divergence between price and RSI: while SOL’s price has been reaching new highs (from Wave 3 to Wave C), the RSI has been making lower highs.

但值得注意的是，价格和 RSI 之间存在看跌背离：虽然 SOL 的价格已达到新高（从第 3 波到第 C 波），但 RSI 却一直在创出较低的高点。

This divergence often suggests that buying momentum is weakening even as the price continues to rise, which can be a warning of a potential reversal.

这种差异通常表明，即使价格继续上涨，购买动力仍在减弱，这可能是潜在逆转的警告。

Read also: Bitcoin Whales Accumulate as BTC Price Makes History

另请阅读：随着 BTC 价格创造历史，比特币鲸鱼不断积累

Low Volume Raises Concerns Over Uptrend Strength

成交量低引发对上升趋势强度的担忧

The past price rise has not been accompanied by an increased volume of trades; this makes experts question the current upward trend. Volume is the indication of the market backing a price move; normally, larger volumes back an uptrend.

过去的价格上涨并没有伴随着交易量的增加；这让专家们对当前的上升趋势提出质疑。成交量是市场支持价格变动的指标；通常，较大的交易量支持上升趋势。

Dixon highlighted that “volume is not supporting the current high price,” indicating that the demand behind SOL’s rally may not be strong enough to hold these levels.

Dixon 强调，“成交量无法支撑当前的高价”，这表明 SOL 反弹背后的需求可能不足以维持这些水平。

Solana’s price is far above its 50-day moving average, which is around $153.48. Moving averages help identify trends and potential support or resistance areas. When the price is significantly higher than a moving average, it can signal that the asset may be overextended and due for a correction back to more stable levels.

Solana 的价格远高于其 50 日移动平均线（153.48 美元左右）。移动平均线有助于识别趋势和潜在的支撑或阻力区域。当价格明显高于移动平均线时，可能表明该资产可能过度扩张，需要回调至更稳定的水平。

This gap indicates that though SOL has exhibited a bullish run in the long term, a short term bearish bounce is imminent due to deviation from the moving averages.

这一缺口表明，尽管 SOL 长期呈现看涨走势，但由于偏离移动平均线，短期看跌反弹即将到来。

Follow us on Twitter (NYSE:TWTR), CoinMarketCap and Binance Square for more daily crypto updates.

在 Twitter (NYSE:TWTR)、CoinMarketCap 和 Binance Square 上关注我们，了解更多每日加密货币更新。

Get all our future calls by joining our FREE Telegram group.

加入我们的免费 Telegram 群组即可接听我们未来的所有电话。