索拉納的集會面臨風險嗎？關鍵 SOL 指標預示著未來可能出現逆轉

Solana 的價格在過去一周上漲了 28.08%。然而，最近的技術指標至少暗示短期修正。

Solana (SOL) has seen a 28.08% surge in its price over the last one week. However, recent technical indicators are hinting at a short-term correction at least.

Solana (SOL) 的價格在過去一周上漲了 28.08%。然而，最近的技術指標至少暗示短期修正。

In the meantime, Solana is down 4.68% in the past day, trading at $209.47 at the time of writing. Evai CEO Matthew Dixon said on Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) that although SOL overall trend is still strong, there are indications that the recent rise might not last.

與此同時，Solana 在過去一天下跌了 4.68%，截至撰寫本文時交易價格為 209.47 美元。 Evai執行長Matthew Dixon在Twitter（NYSE：TWTR）上表示，儘管SOL整體趨勢仍然強勁，但有跡象表明近期的上漲可能不會持續。

Can #SOL continue to push higher? – certainly

#SOL 能否​​繼續走高？ - 當然

Trend is your friend as they say.

正如他們所說，趨勢是你的朋友。

However, there are numerous signals flashing warning signs that $SOL may be due at least a short term reversal.

然而，有許多訊號閃爍著警告訊號，表明 $SOL 可能至少會出現短期逆轉。

Volume is not supporting the current high price and the wave structure still looks…

成交量並不能支撐當前的高價，波浪結構看起來仍然...

pic.twitter.com/ndMJOKcdwG

pic.twitter.com/ndMJOKcdwG

Elliott Wave Analysis Suggests Corrective Pattern

艾略特波浪分析顯示修正模式

Technical analysis of Solana’s price chart reveals an Elliott Wave pattern, a method used by traders to identify potential trend shifts. This wave structure suggests that Solana’s recent price movement may mark the completion of an upward corrective phase rather than the beginning of a prolonged rally.

Solana 價格圖表的技術分析揭示了艾略特波浪模式，這是交易者用來識別潛在趨勢轉變的方法。這種波浪結構表明，Solana 最近的價格走勢可能標誌著向上修正階段的完成，而不是長期上漲的開始。

The chart identifies an earlier peak labeled as Wave 3 in March 2024, with the current peak marked as Wave C, which may indicate the final phase of a larger corrective A-B-C pattern. Such patterns typically signal a potential downturn once they complete.

該圖表確定了 2024 年 3 月標記為波 3 的早期峰值，當前峰值標記為波 C，這可能表明更大的修正 ABC 模式的最後階段。這種模式一旦完成通常預示著潛在的經濟衰退。

Dixon noted,

迪克森指出，

“The wave structure still looks corrective to the upside, meaning downward movement is likely.”

“波浪結構看起來仍然向上修正，這意味著可能會出現下行走勢。”

According to this interpretation, the current bullish formation for SOL might have reached its resistance level hence putting it more likely to reverse before long.

根據這種解釋，SOL 目前的看漲形態可能已達到其阻力位，因此不久之後更有可能逆轉。

RSI Indicator Shows Bearish Divergence

RSI 指標顯示看跌背離

The RSI, a widely used momentum indicator, is displaying signals that could suggest a weakening uptrend. Per now, Solana’s RSI is around 75.72, placing it in the overbought zone, which is generally above 70.

RSI 是一種廣泛使用的動量指標，它所顯示的訊號可能表示上升趨勢正在減弱。目前，Solana 的 RSI 約為 75.72，處於超買區域，通常高於 70。

But notably, there is a bearish divergence between price and RSI: while SOL’s price has been reaching new highs (from Wave 3 to Wave C), the RSI has been making lower highs.

但值得注意的是，價格和 RSI 之間存在看跌背離：雖然 SOL 的價格已達到新高（從第 3 波到第 C 波），但 RSI 一直在創造較低的高點。

This divergence often suggests that buying momentum is weakening even as the price continues to rise, which can be a warning of a potential reversal.

這種差異通常表明，即使價格繼續上漲，購買動力仍在減弱，這可能是潛在逆轉的警告。

Read also: Bitcoin Whales Accumulate as BTC Price Makes History

另請閱讀：隨著 BTC 價格創造歷史，比特幣鯨魚不斷積累

Low Volume Raises Concerns Over Uptrend Strength

成交量低引發對上升趨勢強度的擔憂

The past price rise has not been accompanied by an increased volume of trades; this makes experts question the current upward trend. Volume is the indication of the market backing a price move; normally, larger volumes back an uptrend.

過去的價格上漲並沒有伴隨著交易量的增加；這讓專家們對當前的上升趨勢提出質疑。成交量是市場支持價格變動的指標；通常，較大的交易量支持上升趨勢。

Dixon highlighted that “volume is not supporting the current high price,” indicating that the demand behind SOL’s rally may not be strong enough to hold these levels.

Dixon 強調，“成交量無法支撐當前的高價”，這表明 SOL 反彈背後的需求可能不足以維持這些水平。

Solana’s price is far above its 50-day moving average, which is around $153.48. Moving averages help identify trends and potential support or resistance areas. When the price is significantly higher than a moving average, it can signal that the asset may be overextended and due for a correction back to more stable levels.

Solana 的價格遠高於其 50 日移動平均線（153.48 美元左右）。移動平均線有助於識別趨勢和潛在的支撐或阻力區域。當價格明顯高於移動平均線時，可能表示該資產可能過度擴張，需要回調至更穩定的水平。

This gap indicates that though SOL has exhibited a bullish run in the long term, a short term bearish bounce is imminent due to deviation from the moving averages.

這一缺口表明，儘管 SOL 長期呈現看漲走勢，但由於偏離移動平均線，短期看跌反彈即將到來。

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