在关税战争的阴影下，BTC在30天移动平均电阻线上经历了错误的突破

如今，它曾经跌至81k大关以来，自3月18日以来达到了新的低点。整个网络中总共有78688人被清算

The shadow of the tariff war fell on the crypto market this week, causing BTC to experience a false breakout against the 30-day moving average resistance line in the past week, trying to break through but then softening.

关税战争的阴影本周在加密货币市场上落下，导致BTC在过去一周对30天移动平均电阻线的虚假突破中，试图突破但随后变软。

Today, it once dipped below the 81K mark, reaching a new low since March 18. A total of 78,688 people across the network were liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $198 million.

如今，它曾经降至81k大关以来，自3月18日以来达到了新的低点。整个网络中总共有78,688人清算，总清算额为1.98亿美元。

It is worth noting that after the U.S. presidential election in November last year, the daily trading volume of cryptocurrencies surged to a peak of $126 billion, but now the trading volume has decreased by about 70% from the peak to $35 billion, returning to pre-election levels.

值得注意的是，在去年11月的美国总统大选之后，加密货币的每日交易量飙升至1,260亿美元，但现在的交易量从峰值开始下降了约70％，达到350亿美元，回到了选举前的水平。

The culprit of the crash: three 'nuclear bombs' triggered a chain reaction.

坠机的罪魁祸首：三个“核弹”引发了链反应。

1. Trump’s tariff bomb

1。特朗普的关税炸弹

The threat of auto tariffs originally scheduled for April 2 leaked early; although the actual tax rate may be lower than expected, the market still panicked and sold off risk assets. Even more fatal was the sudden sell-off after the founder of Trump Coin made a high-profile marketing push, triggering a trust crisis for 'political concept coins' and spreading panic throughout the market.

原定于4月2日的自动关税的威胁提早泄漏；尽管实际的税率可能低于预期，但市场仍然惊慌失措并出售了风险资产。在特朗普硬币的创始人进行了备受瞩目的营销推动之后，突然抛售了更为致命的抛售，引发了“政治概念硬币”的信任危机并在整个市场中散布恐慌。

2. Huge options expiration

2。巨大的选择到期

On March 28, the quarterly expiration day saw a total of $9.5 billion in options expiring, with Bitcoin's biggest pain point at $85,000, causing the market makers to frantically sell off to maximize profits. Ethereum's $2,000 call options collectively went to zero, and the dual massacre in the derivatives market triggered a series of on-chain liquidations.

3月28日，季度到期日的期权总计总计95亿美元，比特币的最大痛点为85,000美元，导致做市商疯狂地出售以最大程度地提高利润。以太坊的2,000美元呼叫选项共同归功于零，衍生品市场的双重大屠杀引发了一系列链清算。

3. Technical death cross (structural nuclear explosion)

3。技术死亡十字架（结构性核爆炸）

The daily EMA30 and EMA120 of Bitcoin have formed a death cross, and the weekly MACD divergence signal has been confirmed. After losing the key support level of $84,600, it triggered quantitative trading programs to automatically sell off, forming a 'drop-liquidation-further drop' death spiral.

比特币的每日EMA30和EMA120已经形成了死亡十字，并且已经确认了每周的MACD发散信号。在失去了84,600美元的关键支持水平后，它触发了定量交易计划自动出售，形成了“滴剂 - 液体 - 爆发”的死亡螺旋。

Bitcoin is currently under pressure at 83,000, with liquidity exhaustion causing increased volatility. Altcoins may face more severe selling pressure, and currently, it has also fallen below the logarithmic trend line, while the linear trend line stands as support, roughly around 81,600. Looking below, we continue to watch for BTC to form a triple bottom starting with 7.

比特币目前处于83,000的压力下，流动性耗尽会增加波动率。 AltCoins可能面临更严重的销售压力，目前，它也降至对数趋势线以下，而线性趋势线作为支持，约为81,600。从下面看，我们继续观察BTC以7的速度形成三重底部。

We are currently in a vague phase before Trump's tariffs on April 2nd. Before this, due to uncertainty over what tariffs Trump will implement, all major capital has been relatively cautious, with some particularly cautious investors getting scared away.

在4月2日特朗普的关税之前，我们目前处于模糊的阶段。在此之前，由于特朗普将要实施的关税的不确定性，所有主要资本都相对谨慎，一些特别谨慎的投资者吓坏了。

Here are three possible scenarios from Citibank regarding the April 2 tariff implementation, worth checking out:

以下是花旗银行关于4月2日的关税实施的三种可能的情况，值得一看：

In summary, there are only three scenarios for the tariff day on April 2nd: no drop, drop, and significant drop.

总而言之，4月2日的关税日只有三种情况：没有掉落，下降和大量下降。

Last night, the puppets MUPPETS missed an entry point around 1M, and then due to time zone reasons, missed the second wave of fermentation. It seems that from time to time BNBCHAINZH can still present opportunities and has not been completely knocked down.

昨晚，木偶木偶在1m左右错过了一个入口点，然后由于时区的原因，错过了第二波发酵。看来，Bnbchainzh仍会不时可以展示机会，并且还没有被完全击倒。

This morning a friend asked me if I wanted to go ambush a mention by the two saints, or something like Alpha, and I said 'No'.

今天早上，一个朋友问我是否想伏击两个圣徒，或者像阿尔法这样的东西，我说“不”。

I will only stick to the strategies with the highest win rates going forward, which is to bet small and win big. I will hold back if there are no opportunities with more than fivefold potential.

我只会坚持以来的获胜率最高的策略，即押注小并赢得胜利。如果没有机会超过五倍的机会，我将退缩。

In less than 12 hours, the logic has been validated, and the puppets MUPPETS have dropped below 5M.If you entered on my internal skirt at 12.5M, your maximum gain would be less than double (60%), but if you are still waiting for a positive signal similar to Alpha, then the loss is (65%).

在不到12个小时的时间内，逻辑已得到验证，木偶木偶降至5m以下。

A 60% increase and a 60% decrease are vastly different; they do not simply cancel each other out. If an asset drops by 60%, it needs to rise by 150% to return to its original price.In the recent meme market, if I don't see at least a fivefold increase potential, I won't act. It's much better to go out and have fun with family over the weekend than to send it to the front row.

增加60％和60％的减少差异很大；他们不仅会互相取消。如果资产下降了60％，它需要上升150％才能恢复其原始价格。在最近的模因市场，如果我看不到至少增加了五倍的潜力，我就不会采取行动。周末外出和家人玩得开心要好得多，而不是将其发送到前排。

The altcoin market has entered a level where it can hardly drop further, with its market cap ratio only remaining at 35%!

Altcoin市场进入了一个很难进一步下降的水平，其市值仅为35％！

If you are not afraid of a 10% to 35% drop in the exchange rate of the altcoins you hold, then there is no need to cut losses at the current state. Market liquidity will eventually return, and those who have spent too much time and cost have already incurred too high of a sunk cost.

如果您不怕持有的Altcoins的汇率下降10％至35％，那么就无需在当前状态下减少损失。市场流动性最终将返回，那些花费太多时间和成本的人已经产生了太高的沉没成本。

Where

在哪里