在關稅戰爭的陰影下，BTC在30天移動平均電阻線上經歷了錯誤的突破

如今，它曾經跌至81k大關以來，自3月18日以來達到了新的低點。整個網絡中總共有78688人被清算

The shadow of the tariff war fell on the crypto market this week, causing BTC to experience a false breakout against the 30-day moving average resistance line in the past week, trying to break through but then softening.

關稅戰爭的陰影本週在加密貨幣市場上落下，導致BTC在過去一周對30天移動平均電阻線的虛假突破中，試圖突破但隨後變軟。

Today, it once dipped below the 81K mark, reaching a new low since March 18. A total of 78,688 people across the network were liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $198 million.

如今，它曾經降至81k大關以來，自3月18日以來達到了新的低點。整個網絡中總共有78,688人清算，總清算額為1.98億美元。

It is worth noting that after the U.S. presidential election in November last year, the daily trading volume of cryptocurrencies surged to a peak of $126 billion, but now the trading volume has decreased by about 70% from the peak to $35 billion, returning to pre-election levels.

值得注意的是，在去年11月的美國總統大選之後，加密貨幣的每日交易量飆升至1,260億美元，但現在的交易量從峰值開始下降了約70％，達到350億美元，回到了選舉前的水平。

The culprit of the crash: three 'nuclear bombs' triggered a chain reaction.

墜機的罪魁禍首：三個“核彈”引發了鏈反應。

1. Trump’s tariff bomb

1。特朗普的關稅炸彈

The threat of auto tariffs originally scheduled for April 2 leaked early; although the actual tax rate may be lower than expected, the market still panicked and sold off risk assets. Even more fatal was the sudden sell-off after the founder of Trump Coin made a high-profile marketing push, triggering a trust crisis for 'political concept coins' and spreading panic throughout the market.

原定於4月2日的自動關稅的威脅提早洩漏；儘管實際的稅率可能低於預期，但市場仍然驚慌失措並出售了風險資產。在特朗普硬幣的創始人進行了備受矚目的營銷推動之後，突然拋售了更為致命的拋售，引發了“政治概念硬幣”的信任危機並在整個市場中散佈恐慌。

2. Huge options expiration

2。巨大的選擇到期

On March 28, the quarterly expiration day saw a total of $9.5 billion in options expiring, with Bitcoin's biggest pain point at $85,000, causing the market makers to frantically sell off to maximize profits. Ethereum's $2,000 call options collectively went to zero, and the dual massacre in the derivatives market triggered a series of on-chain liquidations.

3月28日，季度到期日的期權總計總計95億美元，比特幣的最大痛點為85,000美元，導致做市商瘋狂地出售以最大程度地提高利潤。以太坊的2,000美元呼叫選項共同歸功於零，衍生品市場的雙重大屠殺引發了一系列鏈清算。

3. Technical death cross (structural nuclear explosion)

3。技術死亡十字架（結構性核爆炸）

The daily EMA30 and EMA120 of Bitcoin have formed a death cross, and the weekly MACD divergence signal has been confirmed. After losing the key support level of $84,600, it triggered quantitative trading programs to automatically sell off, forming a 'drop-liquidation-further drop' death spiral.

比特幣的每日EMA30和EMA120已經形成了死亡十字，並且已經確認了每週的MACD發散信號。在失去了84,600美元的關鍵支持水平後，它觸發了定量交易計劃自動出售，形成了“滴劑 - 液體 - 爆發”的死亡螺旋。

Bitcoin is currently under pressure at 83,000, with liquidity exhaustion causing increased volatility. Altcoins may face more severe selling pressure, and currently, it has also fallen below the logarithmic trend line, while the linear trend line stands as support, roughly around 81,600. Looking below, we continue to watch for BTC to form a triple bottom starting with 7.

比特幣目前處於83,000的壓力下，流動性耗盡會增加波動率。 AltCoins可能面臨更嚴重的銷售壓力，目前，它也降至對數趨勢線以下，而線性趨勢線作為支持，約為81,600。從下面看，我們繼續觀察BTC以7的速度形成三重底部。

We are currently in a vague phase before Trump's tariffs on April 2nd. Before this, due to uncertainty over what tariffs Trump will implement, all major capital has been relatively cautious, with some particularly cautious investors getting scared away.

在4月2日特朗普的關稅之前，我們目前處於模糊的階段。在此之前，由於特朗普將要實施的關稅的不確定性，所有主要資本都相對謹慎，一些特別謹慎的投資者嚇壞了。

Here are three possible scenarios from Citibank regarding the April 2 tariff implementation, worth checking out:

以下是花旗銀行關於4月2日的關稅實施的三種可能的情況，值得一看：

In summary, there are only three scenarios for the tariff day on April 2nd: no drop, drop, and significant drop.

總而言之，4月2日的關稅日只有三種情況：沒有掉落，下降和大量下降。

Last night, the puppets MUPPETS missed an entry point around 1M, and then due to time zone reasons, missed the second wave of fermentation. It seems that from time to time BNBCHAINZH can still present opportunities and has not been completely knocked down.

昨晚，木偶木偶在1m左右錯過了一個入口點，然後由於時區的原因，錯過了第二波發酵。看來，Bnbchainzh仍會不時可以展示機會，並且還沒有被完全擊倒。

This morning a friend asked me if I wanted to go ambush a mention by the two saints, or something like Alpha, and I said 'No'.

今天早上，一個朋友問我是否想伏擊兩個聖徒，或者像阿爾法這樣的東西，我說“不”。

I will only stick to the strategies with the highest win rates going forward, which is to bet small and win big. I will hold back if there are no opportunities with more than fivefold potential.

我只會堅持以來的獲勝率最高的策略，即押注小並贏得勝利。如果沒有機會超過五倍的機會，我將退縮。

In less than 12 hours, the logic has been validated, and the puppets MUPPETS have dropped below 5M.If you entered on my internal skirt at 12.5M, your maximum gain would be less than double (60%), but if you are still waiting for a positive signal similar to Alpha, then the loss is (65%).

在不到12個小時的時間內，邏輯已得到驗證，木偶木偶降至5m以下。

A 60% increase and a 60% decrease are vastly different; they do not simply cancel each other out. If an asset drops by 60%, it needs to rise by 150% to return to its original price.In the recent meme market, if I don't see at least a fivefold increase potential, I won't act. It's much better to go out and have fun with family over the weekend than to send it to the front row.

增加60％和60％的減少差異很大；他們不僅會互相取消。如果資產下降了60％，它需要上升150％才能恢復其原始價格。在最近的模因市場，如果我看不到至少增加了五倍的潛力，我就不會採取行動。週末外出和家人玩得開心要好得多，而不是將其發送到前排。

The altcoin market has entered a level where it can hardly drop further, with its market cap ratio only remaining at 35%!

Altcoin市場進入了一個很難進一步下降的水平，其市值僅為35％！

If you are not afraid of a 10% to 35% drop in the exchange rate of the altcoins you hold, then there is no need to cut losses at the current state. Market liquidity will eventually return, and those who have spent too much time and cost have already incurred too high of a sunk cost.

如果您不怕持有的Altcoins的匯率下降10％至35％，那麼就無需在當前狀態下減少損失。市場流動性最終將返回，那些花費太多時間和成本的人已經產生了太高的沉沒成本。

Where

在哪裡