Ripple首席执行官的乐观预测：到2024年加密货币市值将达到5万亿美元

Ripple首席执行官布拉德·加林豪斯（Brad Garlinghouse）大胆预测，到2024年，加密货币市值将飙升至5万亿美元。尽管加密货币预测众所周知不准确，加林豪斯还是列举了几个助长他乐观情绪的因素，包括监管担忧的缓解、现货比特币ETF的推出以及即将推出的比特币减半。然而，历史上充斥着不准确的加密货币预测，例如 John McAfee 臭名昭著的 50 万美元和 100 万美元比特币价格预测。

Ripple CEO Predicts Crypto Market Cap to Reach $5 Trillion by 2024 Amidst Bullish Factors

Ripple首席执行官预测，在看涨因素的推动下，加密货币市值到2024年将达到5万亿美元

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has boldly forecasted that the total crypto market capitalization will double to $5 trillion by the end of 2024, citing a confluence of factors that he believes will drive the industry forward.

Ripple 首席执行官布拉德·加林豪斯 (Brad Garlinghouse) 大胆预测，到 2024 年底，加密货币总市值将翻一番，达到 5 万亿美元，他认为多种因素将推动该行业向前发展。

Positive Outlook for Crypto Industry

加密行业前景乐观

Garlinghouse's optimistic outlook stems from several key factors. He anticipates a reduction in regulatory hurdles in the United States, particularly with the anticipated approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). These instruments, he believes, will attract significant institutional investment into the crypto space.

加林豪斯的乐观前景源于几个关键因素。他预计美国的监管障碍将会减少，特别是随着现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）的预期批准。他认为，这些工具将吸引大量机构投资进入加密货币领域。

Additionally, Garlinghouse points to the upcoming Bitcoin halving in 2024, a scheduled event that will reduce the supply of new Bitcoins entering circulation. Combined with growing institutional demand, he predicts that the restricted supply and increased demand will push the price of Bitcoin higher, consequently boosting the broader crypto market.

此外，加林豪斯指出，比特币将于 2024 年减半，这一预定事件将减少进入流通的新比特币的供应。结合不断增长的机构需求，他预测供应受限和需求增加将推高比特币的价格，从而提振更广泛的加密货币市场。

Past Crypto Predictions: A Cautionary Tale

过去的加密货币预测：一个警示故事

While Garlinghouse's prediction is bold, it is important to consider that cryptocurrency forecasts have a history of inaccuracy. Numerous industry experts, analysts, and prominent figures have made bold claims about the future of cryptocurrencies, only to see their predictions fall short of the mark.

尽管加林豪斯的预测很大胆，但重要的是要考虑到加密货币预测有不准确的历史。许多行业专家、分析师和知名人士都对加密货币的未来做出了大胆的断言，结果却发现他们的预测落空了。

One notable example is John McAfee's infamous 2017 prediction that Bitcoin would reach $500,000 by the end of 2020. McAfee's forecast was met with widespread skepticism, and Bitcoin ultimately ended the year at $33,100.

一个著名的例子是 John McAfee 在 2017 年臭名昭著的预测，即比特币到 2020 年底将达到 500,000 美元。McAfee 的预测遭到了广泛的怀疑，比特币最终在 2020 年结束时达到了 33,100 美元。

Another erroneous prediction came from Bitcoin SV supporter Calvin Ayre in 2018. Ayre claimed that Bitcoin would "go to zero" in 2019 due to its alleged lack of utility and resistance to scaling. However, Bitcoin went on to peak at over $13,800 that year, highlighting the unpredictability of crypto predictions.

另一个错误预测来自比特币 SV 支持者卡尔文·艾尔 (Calvin Ayre) 在 2018 年。艾尔声称比特币将在 2019 年“归零”，因为其据称缺乏实用性且难以扩容。然而，比特币当年达到了超过 13,800 美元的峰值，凸显了加密货币预测的不可预测性。

Current Market Conditions and Future Prospects

目前的市场状况和未来的前景

Despite the challenges of accurately predicting the future of cryptocurrencies, Garlinghouse's $5 trillion market cap estimate is considered a conservative target within the industry. If realized, this level would represent a significant milestone for the crypto sector, establishing it as a credible alternative to traditional finance.

尽管准确预测加密货币的未来面临挑战，但加林豪斯 5 万亿美元的市值估计在业内被认为是一个保守的目标。如果实现，这一水平将代表加密行业的一个重要里程碑，使其成为传统金融的可靠替代品。

The current market capitalization of cryptocurrencies is already approaching its previous all-time high of $3 trillion, suggesting that the industry has significant potential for further growth. While unforeseen events could derail even the most optimistic market outlooks, Garlinghouse's prediction reflects the growing confidence and momentum within the crypto space.

目前加密货币的市值已接近之前 3 万亿美元的历史新高，表明该行业具有巨大的进一步增长潜力。尽管不可预见的事件可能会破坏最乐观的市场前景，但加林豪斯的预测反映了加密货币领域不断增长的信心和势头。

Conclusion

结论

Brad Garlinghouse's $5 trillion crypto market cap prediction for 2024 is a bold but plausible forecast. While past cryptocurrency predictions have often missed the mark, the positive factors he cites, including regulatory progress and increased institutional adoption, lend credibility to his outlook. As the crypto industry matures and gains wider acceptance, it remains to be seen whether Garlinghouse's prediction will hold true.

Brad Garlinghouse 对 2024 年加密货币市值将达到 5 万亿美元的预测是一个大胆但合理的预测。尽管过去的加密货币预测经常落空，但他引用的积极因素，包括监管进展和机构采用率的提高，为他的前景增添了可信度。随着加密货币行业的成熟并获得更广泛的接受，加林豪斯的预测是否成立还有待观察。