Ripple執行長的樂觀預測：到2024年加密貨幣市值將達到5兆美元

Ripple執行長布拉德·加林豪斯（Brad Garlinghouse）大膽預測，到2024年，加密貨幣市值將飆升至5萬億美元。儘管加密貨幣預測眾所周知不準確，加林豪斯還是列舉了幾個助長他樂觀情緒的因素，包括監管擔憂的緩解、現貨比特幣ETF的推出以及即將推出的比特幣減半。然而，歷史上充斥著不準確的加密貨幣預測，例如 John McAfee 臭名昭著的 50 萬美元和 100 萬美元比特幣價格預測。

Ripple CEO Predicts Crypto Market Cap to Reach $5 Trillion by 2024 Amidst Bullish Factors

Ripple執行長預測，在看漲因素的推動下，加密貨幣市值到2024年將達到5兆美元

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has boldly forecasted that the total crypto market capitalization will double to $5 trillion by the end of 2024, citing a confluence of factors that he believes will drive the industry forward.

Ripple 執行長 Brad Garlinghouse 大膽預測，到2024 年底，加密貨幣總市值將翻一番，達到5 兆美元，他認為多種因素將推動該行業向前發展。

Positive Outlook for Crypto Industry

加密行業前景樂觀

Garlinghouse's optimistic outlook stems from several key factors. He anticipates a reduction in regulatory hurdles in the United States, particularly with the anticipated approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). These instruments, he believes, will attract significant institutional investment into the crypto space.

加林豪斯的樂觀前景源自於幾個關鍵因素。他預計美國的監管障礙將會減少，特別是隨著現貨比特幣交易所交易基金（ETF）的預期批准。他認為，這些工具將吸引大量機構投資進入加密貨幣領域。

Additionally, Garlinghouse points to the upcoming Bitcoin halving in 2024, a scheduled event that will reduce the supply of new Bitcoins entering circulation. Combined with growing institutional demand, he predicts that the restricted supply and increased demand will push the price of Bitcoin higher, consequently boosting the broader crypto market.

此外，加林豪斯指出，比特幣將於 2024 年減半，這一預定事件將減少進入流通的新比特幣的供應。結合不斷增長的機構需求，他預測供應受限和需求增加將推高比特幣的價格，從而提振更廣泛的加密貨幣市場。

Past Crypto Predictions: A Cautionary Tale

過去的加密貨幣預測：一個警世故事

While Garlinghouse's prediction is bold, it is important to consider that cryptocurrency forecasts have a history of inaccuracy. Numerous industry experts, analysts, and prominent figures have made bold claims about the future of cryptocurrencies, only to see their predictions fall short of the mark.

儘管加林豪斯的預測很大膽，但重要的是要考慮到加密貨幣預測有不準確的歷史。許多行業專家、分析師和知名人士都對加密貨幣的未來做出了大膽的斷言，結果卻發現他們的預測落空了。

One notable example is John McAfee's infamous 2017 prediction that Bitcoin would reach $500,000 by the end of 2020. McAfee's forecast was met with widespread skepticism, and Bitcoin ultimately ended the year at $33,100.

一個著名的例子是 John McAfee 在 2017 年臭名昭著的預測，即比特幣到 2020 年底將達到 500,000 美元。McAfee 的預測遭到了廣泛的懷疑，比特幣最終在 2020 年結束時達到了 33,100 美元。

Another erroneous prediction came from Bitcoin SV supporter Calvin Ayre in 2018. Ayre claimed that Bitcoin would "go to zero" in 2019 due to its alleged lack of utility and resistance to scaling. However, Bitcoin went on to peak at over $13,800 that year, highlighting the unpredictability of crypto predictions.

另一個錯誤預測來自比特幣 SV 支持者卡爾文·艾爾 (Calvin Ayre) 在 2018 年。艾爾聲稱比特幣將在 2019 年“歸零”，因為其據稱缺乏實用性且難以擴容。然而，比特幣當年達到了超過 13,800 美元的峰值，凸顯了加密貨幣預測的不可預測性。

Current Market Conditions and Future Prospects

目前的市場狀況和未來的前景

Despite the challenges of accurately predicting the future of cryptocurrencies, Garlinghouse's $5 trillion market cap estimate is considered a conservative target within the industry. If realized, this level would represent a significant milestone for the crypto sector, establishing it as a credible alternative to traditional finance.

儘管準確預測加密貨幣的未來面臨挑戰，但加林豪斯 5 兆美元的市值估計在業界被認為是保守的目標。如果實現，這一水平將代表加密產業的一個重要里程碑，使其成為傳統金融的可靠替代品。

The current market capitalization of cryptocurrencies is already approaching its previous all-time high of $3 trillion, suggesting that the industry has significant potential for further growth. While unforeseen events could derail even the most optimistic market outlooks, Garlinghouse's prediction reflects the growing confidence and momentum within the crypto space.

目前加密貨幣的市值已接近先前 3 兆美元的歷史新高，顯示該產業具有巨大的進一步成長潛力。儘管不可預見的事件可能會破壞最樂觀的市場前景，但加林豪斯的預測反映了加密貨幣領域不斷增長的信心和動力。

Conclusion

結論

Brad Garlinghouse's $5 trillion crypto market cap prediction for 2024 is a bold but plausible forecast. While past cryptocurrency predictions have often missed the mark, the positive factors he cites, including regulatory progress and increased institutional adoption, lend credibility to his outlook. As the crypto industry matures and gains wider acceptance, it remains to be seen whether Garlinghouse's prediction will hold true.

Brad Garlinghouse 對 2024 年加密貨幣市值將達到 5 兆美元的預測是一個大膽但合理的預測。儘管過去的加密貨幣預測經常落空，但他引用的積極因素，包括監管進展和機構採用率的提高，為他的前景增添了可信度。隨著加密貨幣產業的成熟並獲得更廣泛的接受，加林豪斯的預測是否成立還有待觀察。