对于这个公牛运行的Polkadot（DOT），价格仍然是现实的150美元吗？

Polkadot可能只是当前加密牛市中最被忽视的机会之一。当每个人都忙着追逐下一个闪亮的NFT或AI令牌

Polkadot (DOT) might just be one of the most overlooked opportunities in the current crypto bull market. While everyone’s busy chasing the next shiny NFT or AI token, this interoperability-focused blockchain could deliver serious returns for patient investors. At least that’s the view shared in a recent analysis that’s caught the attention of many crypto enthusiasts.

Polkadot（DOT）可能只是当前加密牛市中最被忽视的机会之一。当每个人都忙于追逐下一个闪亮的NFT或AI代币时，这种以互操作性为重点的区块链可以为患者投资者带来认真的回报。至少这是最近的分析中分享的观点，该观点引起了许多加密爱好者的注意。

In a detailed YouTube video that’s already racked up thousands of views, Lee the Captain makes a case for Polkadot’s potential. With over 49 thousand subscribers following his market insights, he explains why DOT stands apart from other altcoins.

在详细的YouTube视频中，已经浏览了数千次观看次数，船长李为Polkadot的潜力提供了理由。他凭借超过4.9万个订阅者的市场见解，他解释了为什么DOT与其他Altcoins不同。

“I believe that Polkadot could be such a big narrative hypothetically during this bull run,” he explains. The reason isn’t just his ambitious $150 price target – it’s Polkadot’s unique market position.

他解释说：“我相信波尔卡多在这次公牛奔跑期间假设可能是一个巨大的叙事。”原因不仅是他雄心勃勃的150美元目标目标 - 这是Polkadot独特的市场地位。

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Unlike Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH), which battles numerous competitors like Solana (CRYPTO: SOL), Cardano (CRYPTO: ADA), and Avalanche (CRYPTO: AVAX), Polkadot faces almost no serious competition in the interoperability space. Sure, there’s Axelar, but it’s significantly smaller and unlikely to challenge Polkadot’s dominance anytime soon.

与以太坊（Crypto：ETH）不同，它与诸如Solana（Crypto：Sol），Cardano（Crypto：Ada）和Avalanche（Crypto：Avax）等众多竞争对手作斗争，Polkadot在互操作性领域几乎没有任何严重的竞争。当然，有Axelar，但是它很小，很快就会挑战Polkadot的统治地位。

This reminds Lee of Bitcoin’s (CRYPTO: BTC) position in the market. While Ethereum has to constantly defend its territory against “Ethereum killers,” Bitcoin stands alone at the top with no real rivals. Polkadot enjoys a similar advantage in its niche – it’s the undisputed king of interoperability.

这使Lee想起了比特币（Crypto：BTC）在市场上的地位。尽管以太坊必须不断捍卫其领土抵抗“以太坊杀手”，但比特币独自一人站在顶部，没有真正的竞争对手。 Polkadot在其利基市场上也有类似的优势 - 这是无可争议的互操作性之王。

If you’re wondering why anyone should care about interoperability, the answer is simple. Most blockchains can’t talk to each other. Bitcoin and Ethereum – the two biggest cryptocurrencies in the world – exist on completely separate networks that can’t natively share data or value.

如果您想知道为什么有人应该关心互操作性，那么答案很简单。大多数区块链无法互相交谈。比特币和以太坊（世界上两个最大的加密货币）存在于完全独立的网络上，这些网络无法本地共享数据或价值。

This isolation problem grows more serious as the blockchain ecosystem expands. Each new network that launches creates another island in the digital archipelago. Polkadot’s whole purpose is building bridges between these islands.

随着区块链生态系统的扩展，这种隔离问题变得更加严重。每个启动的新网络都会在数字群岛创建另一个岛屿。 Polkadot的全部目的是在这些岛屿之间建造桥梁。

“Keep in mind, why is trying to solve the problem of lacking interoperability such a big deal?” Lee asks. “It’s because many blockchains, by nature, because they are independent of one another, can’t freely send data and value to each other.”

“请记住，为什么要解决缺乏互操作性这么大的问题？”李问。 “这是因为许多区块链本质上，因为它们彼此独立，无法彼此自由地发送数据和价值。”

While this might not sound as exciting as the latest AI project or gaming token, it addresses a fundamental infrastructure need. As more blockchains emerge, the demand for interoperability will only increase – regardless of market cycles or investor hype.

尽管这听起来不如最新的AI项目或游戏令牌那么令人兴奋，但它解决了基本基础设施的需求。随着越来越多的区块链的出现，对互操作性的需求只会增加 - 无论市场周期或投资者炒作如何。

One of Polkadot’s smartest features is its relationship with Kusama – what Lee calls its “support system.” Kusama functions as a “canary network” where projects can launch and test their ideas under real economic conditions before potentially moving to Polkadot.

Polkadot最聪明的功能之一就是它与Kusama的关系 - Lee所说的“支持系统”。 Kusama充当“金丝雀网络”，项目可以在实际经济条件下启动和测试他们的想法，然后再搬到Polkadot。

This creates a clever pipeline effect. Developers can start on Kusama, where costs are lower, and then graduate to Polkadot once they’ve proven their concept works. It’s like having a farm system that constantly feeds new talent into the major leagues.

这会产生巧妙的管道效果。开发人员可以从Kusama开始，那里的成本较低，然后一旦证明自己的概念工作，他们就可以毕业于Polkadot。这就像拥有一个不断将新人才喂入大联盟的农场系统一样。

“It’s kind of like a funneling system for projects to flow into Polkadot – but then in a much more streamlined and potentially more cost-effective way,” Lee points out. This thoughtful ecosystem design shows the foresight of Polkadot’s development team and creates additional value that many investors might be overlooking.

李指出：“这就像一个漏斗系统，可以使项目流入Polkadot，但以更加精简且可能更具成本效益的方式流入了Polkadot。”这种周到的生态系统设计展示了Polkadot开发团队的远见，并创造了许多投资者可能会忽略的其他价值。

So could DOT really hit $150 this bull run? Lee thinks so, and his reasoning is worth considering.

那么，Dot真的可以打入这次公牛跑150美元吗？李这样认为，他的推理值得考虑。

At that price, Polkadot would have a market cap around $235 billion based on current circulating supply. That’s roughly a 30x increase from its current valuation, which sounds huge until you realize it would still be over $300 billion less than Ethereum’s 2021 all-time high market cap.

以这个价格，根据当前循环供应，Polkadot的市值约为2350亿美元。这比目前的估值大约增加了30倍，这听起来很巨大，直到您意识到它仍然比以太坊的2021年历史上的高市上限要少于3000亿美元。

The crypto market has also grown substantially since the last bull run. According to research from Crypto.com, the number of crypto owners has doubled from about 300 million to over 600 million. With more participants and greater institutional involvement through Bitcoin ETFs and enterprise adoption, the ceiling for this cycle could be much higher.

自上次公牛奔跑以来，加密货币市场也已大大发展。根据Crypto.com的研究，加密货币所有者的数量已从约3亿增加到6亿。随着更多的参与者和通过比特币ETF和企业采用的更多机构参与，该周期的上限可能会更高。

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There’s also the potential catalyst of a Polkadot ETF. Lee mentions that “21Shares advances with the project of an ETF on Polkadot, updated the request to the SEC.” While Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs get all the attention, a Polkadot ETF approval would drive significant new interest.

还有polkadot ETF的潜在催化剂。 Lee提到“ 21shares在Polkadot的ETF项目中进步，将请求更新为SEC。”尽管比特币和以太坊ETF引起了所有注意，但Polkadot ETF的批准将引起重大的新兴趣。

Looking at historical patterns, Lee notes that altcoins typically peak around 18 months after a Bitcoin halving event. Since the last halving happened in April of last year, this timeline would point to a potential peak around October of this year. While each cycle has its own characteristics, this historical pattern provides a rough timeframe to watch.

李看历史模式，指出，山寨币通常在比特币减半的18个月后达到顶峰。自从去年4月发生最后一半以来，该时间表将在今年10月左右达到潜在的高峰。尽管每个周期都有自己的特征，但这种历史模式提供了一个艰难的时间表。