對於這個公牛運行的Polkadot（DOT），價格仍然是現實的150美元嗎？

Polkadot可能只是當前加密牛市中最被忽視的機會之一。當每個人都忙著追逐下一個閃亮的NFT或AI令牌

Polkadot (DOT) might just be one of the most overlooked opportunities in the current crypto bull market. While everyone’s busy chasing the next shiny NFT or AI token, this interoperability-focused blockchain could deliver serious returns for patient investors. At least that’s the view shared in a recent analysis that’s caught the attention of many crypto enthusiasts.

Polkadot（DOT）可能只是當前加密牛市中最被忽視的機會之一。當每個人都忙於追逐下一個閃亮的NFT或AI代幣時，這種以互操作性為重點的區塊鏈可以為患者投資者帶來認真的回報。至少這是最近的分析中分享的觀點，該觀點引起了許多加密愛好者的注意。

In a detailed YouTube video that’s already racked up thousands of views, Lee the Captain makes a case for Polkadot’s potential. With over 49 thousand subscribers following his market insights, he explains why DOT stands apart from other altcoins.

在詳細的YouTube視頻中，已經瀏覽了數千次觀看次數，船長李為Polkadot的潛力提供了理由。他憑藉超過4.9萬個訂閱者的市場見解，他解釋了為什麼DOT與其他Altcoins不同。

“I believe that Polkadot could be such a big narrative hypothetically during this bull run,” he explains. The reason isn’t just his ambitious $150 price target – it’s Polkadot’s unique market position.

他解釋說：“我相信波爾卡多在這次公牛奔跑期間假設可能是一個巨大的敘事。”原因不僅是他雄心勃勃的150美元目標目標 - 這是Polkadot獨特的市場地位。

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Unlike Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH), which battles numerous competitors like Solana (CRYPTO: SOL), Cardano (CRYPTO: ADA), and Avalanche (CRYPTO: AVAX), Polkadot faces almost no serious competition in the interoperability space. Sure, there’s Axelar, but it’s significantly smaller and unlikely to challenge Polkadot’s dominance anytime soon.

與以太坊（Crypto：ETH）不同，它與諸如Solana（Crypto：Sol），Cardano（Crypto：Ada）和Avalanche（Crypto：Avax）等眾多競爭對手作鬥爭，Polkadot在互操作性領域幾乎沒有任何嚴重的競爭。當然，有Axelar，但是它很小，很快就會挑戰Polkadot的統治地位。

This reminds Lee of Bitcoin’s (CRYPTO: BTC) position in the market. While Ethereum has to constantly defend its territory against “Ethereum killers,” Bitcoin stands alone at the top with no real rivals. Polkadot enjoys a similar advantage in its niche – it’s the undisputed king of interoperability.

這使Lee想起了比特幣（Crypto：BTC）在市場上的地位。儘管以太坊必須不斷捍衛其領土抵抗“以太坊殺手”，但比特幣獨自一人站在頂部，沒有真正的競爭對手。 Polkadot在其利基市場上也有類似的優勢 - 這是無可爭議的互操作性之王。

If you’re wondering why anyone should care about interoperability, the answer is simple. Most blockchains can’t talk to each other. Bitcoin and Ethereum – the two biggest cryptocurrencies in the world – exist on completely separate networks that can’t natively share data or value.

如果您想知道為什麼有人應該關心互操作性，那麼答案很簡單。大多數區塊鏈無法互相交談。比特幣和以太坊（世界上兩個最大的加密貨幣）存在於完全獨立的網絡上，這些網絡無法本地共享數據或價值。

This isolation problem grows more serious as the blockchain ecosystem expands. Each new network that launches creates another island in the digital archipelago. Polkadot’s whole purpose is building bridges between these islands.

隨著區塊鏈生態系統的擴展，這種隔離問題變得更加嚴重。每個啟動的新網絡都會在數字群島創建另一個島嶼。 Polkadot的全部目的是在這些島嶼之間建造橋樑。

“Keep in mind, why is trying to solve the problem of lacking interoperability such a big deal?” Lee asks. “It’s because many blockchains, by nature, because they are independent of one another, can’t freely send data and value to each other.”

“請記住，為什麼要解決缺乏互操作性這麼大的問題？”李問。 “這是因為許多區塊鏈本質上，因為它們彼此獨立，無法彼此自由地發送數據和價值。”

While this might not sound as exciting as the latest AI project or gaming token, it addresses a fundamental infrastructure need. As more blockchains emerge, the demand for interoperability will only increase – regardless of market cycles or investor hype.

儘管這聽起來不如最新的AI項目或遊戲令牌那麼令人興奮，但它解決了基本基礎設施的需求。隨著越來越多的區塊鏈的出現，對互操作性的需求只會增加 - 無論市場週期或投資者炒作如何。

One of Polkadot’s smartest features is its relationship with Kusama – what Lee calls its “support system.” Kusama functions as a “canary network” where projects can launch and test their ideas under real economic conditions before potentially moving to Polkadot.

Polkadot最聰明的功能之一就是它與Kusama的關係 - Lee所說的“支持系統”。 Kusama充當“金絲雀網絡”，項目可以在實際經濟條件下啟動和測試他們的想法，然後再搬到Polkadot。

This creates a clever pipeline effect. Developers can start on Kusama, where costs are lower, and then graduate to Polkadot once they’ve proven their concept works. It’s like having a farm system that constantly feeds new talent into the major leagues.

這會產生巧妙的管道效果。開發人員可以從Kusama開始，那裡的成本較低，然後一旦證明自己的概念工作，他們就可以畢業於Polkadot。這就像擁有一個不斷將新人才餵入大聯盟的農場系統一樣。

“It’s kind of like a funneling system for projects to flow into Polkadot – but then in a much more streamlined and potentially more cost-effective way,” Lee points out. This thoughtful ecosystem design shows the foresight of Polkadot’s development team and creates additional value that many investors might be overlooking.

李指出：“這就像一個漏斗系統，可以使項目流入Polkadot，但以更加精簡且可能更具成本效益的方式流入了Polkadot。”這種周到的生態系統設計展示了Polkadot開發團隊的遠見，並創造了許多投資者可能會忽略的其他價值。

So could DOT really hit $150 this bull run? Lee thinks so, and his reasoning is worth considering.

那麼，Dot真的可以打入這次公牛跑150美元嗎？李這樣認為，他的推理值得考慮。

At that price, Polkadot would have a market cap around $235 billion based on current circulating supply. That’s roughly a 30x increase from its current valuation, which sounds huge until you realize it would still be over $300 billion less than Ethereum’s 2021 all-time high market cap.

以這個價格，根據當前循環供應，Polkadot的市值約為2350億美元。這比目前的估值大約增加了30倍，這聽起來很巨大，直到您意識到它仍然比以太坊的2021年曆史上的高市上限要少於3000億美元。

The crypto market has also grown substantially since the last bull run. According to research from Crypto.com, the number of crypto owners has doubled from about 300 million to over 600 million. With more participants and greater institutional involvement through Bitcoin ETFs and enterprise adoption, the ceiling for this cycle could be much higher.

自上次公牛奔跑以來，加密貨幣市場也已大大發展。根據Crypto.com的研究，加密貨幣所有者的數量已從約3億增加到6億。隨著更多的參與者和通過比特幣ETF和企業採用的更多機構參與，該週期的上限可能會更高。

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There’s also the potential catalyst of a Polkadot ETF. Lee mentions that “21Shares advances with the project of an ETF on Polkadot, updated the request to the SEC.” While Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs get all the attention, a Polkadot ETF approval would drive significant new interest.

還有polkadot ETF的潛在催化劑。 Lee提到“ 21shares在Polkadot的ETF項目中進步，將請求更新為SEC。”儘管比特幣和以太坊ETF引起了所有註意，但Polkadot ETF的批准將引起重大的新興趣。

Looking at historical patterns, Lee notes that altcoins typically peak around 18 months after a Bitcoin halving event. Since the last halving happened in April of last year, this timeline would point to a potential peak around October of this year. While each cycle has its own characteristics, this historical pattern provides a rough timeframe to watch.

李看歷史模式，指出，山寨幣通常在比特幣減半的18個月後達到頂峰。自從去年4月發生最後一半以來，該時間表將在今年10月左右達到潛在的高峰。儘管每個週期都有自己的特徵，但這種歷史模式提供了一個艱難的時間表。