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由于对美国 - 中国贸易紧张局势和弱势美元(黄金)的越来越关注,传统的避风港资产,打破了以前的记录
Amid growing concerns over escalating U.S.–China trade tensions and the weakening U.S. dollar, gold – the traditional safe-haven asset, broke its previous record, reaching $3,384 per ounce on April 21.
由于对美国 - 中国贸易紧张局势的升级和美元疲软(黄金)的越来越关注,这是传统的避风港资产,打破了以前的记录,在4月21日达到每盎司3,384美元。
Shortly after, Bitcoin followed a similar trajectory, surging sharply to the $87,000 level – its highest point in nearly a month. This movement echoes mid-2020, when BTC began to be recognized as “digital gold” by institutional investors.
不久之后,比特币遵循类似的轨迹,急剧飙升至87,000美元的水平,这是一个近一个月的最高点。该运动与2020年中期的回应,当时BTC开始被机构投资者承认为“数字黄金”。
Bitcoin’s Performance Silences Doubts
比特币的表现沉默怀疑
Data from TradingView shows that Bitcoin’s dominance (BTC.D) surpassed 64% in mid-April – the highest level since 2021. This surge reflects a return to “safe haven” assets within the crypto market, as capital temporarily exits more volatile altcoins.
TradingView的数据表明,比特币的统治地位(BTC.D)在4月中旬(自2021年以来的最高水平)超过了64%。由于资本暂时退出更多波动性的Altcoins,这种激增反映了加密货币市场中“避风港”资产的回报。
Bitcoin Dominance – Source: TradingView
比特币优势 - 资料来源:TradingView
Market history shows that every major crypto bull cycle begins with Bitcoin leading the way before momentum spills over into other digital assets. Analysts view the rise in BTC dominance as a positive accumulation signal for a new growth phase.
市场历史表明,每个主要的加密牛周期都始于比特币在动量溢出到其他数字资产之前的前进。分析师将BTC优势的上升视为新生长阶段的积极积累信号。
Two structural factors are fueling this renewed optimism: the Bitcoin halving event in April 2024 and renewed inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs.
有两个结构性因素激发了这种新的乐观情绪:2024年4月的比特币减半事件,并将流入重新流入到现货比特币ETF中。
On April 17, total net inflows into U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs reached $106.9 million, the highest in nearly a month, according to Blockchain.News. BlackRock’s IBIT fund accounted for over 75% of the total capital. Institutional investors view this trend as a strong response to the correction from the $74,000 peak in March.
根据BlockChain.news的数据,4月17日,净流入美国上市比特币ETF达到1.69亿美元,是一个近一个月中最高的。贝莱德的IBIT基金占总资本的75%以上。机构投资者认为这一趋势是对3月74,000美元高峰的纠正的强烈反应。
In the long term, the halving reduces daily BTC issuance by half, naturally creating upward price pressure. Historical data shows that in all three previous cycles, BTC prices surged 6 to 12 months after each halving event.
从长远来看,减半将每日BTC发行减少了一半,自然会造成上价压力。历史数据表明,在以前的所有三个周期中,BTC价格在每次减半事件后6至12个月飙升。
Read more: JP Morgan: Investors Prefer Gold Over Bitcoin as a Safe-Haven
阅读更多:JP Morgan:投资者更喜欢黄金而不是比特币
Long-Term Forecast: $1 Million to $1.5 Million – Hope or Just a Hype?
长期预测:100万至150万美元 - 希望还是炒作?
Robert Kiyosaki, author of the best-selling book Rich Dad, Poor Dad, recently reiterated his belief that Bitcoin could reach $1 million by 2035. In a post on X, he warned, “A Great Depression is coming. Credit card debt, student loans, and national debt are exploding. Unemployment is rising, and pensions are going bankrupt. You should stock up on gold, silver, and Bitcoin before it’s too late.”
罗伯特·基亚萨基(Robert Kiyosaki)是最畅销的书《富爸爸》(Rich Dole Dad)的作者,他最近重申了他的信念,即比特币在2035年到2035年可能达到100万美元。在X上的一篇文章中,他警告说:“一场大萧条即将到来。信用卡债务,学生贷款,学生贷款和国家债务正在爆炸。爆炸了。输入又增加了。
Kiyosaki’s argument centers on the looming collapse of the traditional financial system. He believes governments and central banks will be unable to stop the spiraling debt and currency devaluation. To him, Bitcoin is an “escape-from-the-system” asset, much like gold was in the 20th century.
Kiyosaki的论点集中在传统金融体系的迫在眉睫的崩溃上。他认为,政府和中央银行将无法阻止债务和货币贬值。对他来说,比特币是“逃脱的系统”资产,就像黄金在20世纪一样。
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