比特币（BTC）可能很快就会镜像Gold的价格轨迹，按年底设定了450,000美元的目标

Crypto分析师Master的Crypto表示，尽管Gold继续创造了新的历史高峰（ATH），而交易价格为每盎司3,420美元，但比特币（BTC）可能很快遵循贵金属的价格轨迹。

Crypto analyst Master of Crypto has pointed out that Bitcoin (BTC) may soon follow the yellow metal’s price trajectory as gold continues to set new all-time highs (ATH), currently trading at $3,420 per ounce.

加密分析师Crypto的大师指出，随着黄金继续创造了新的历史最高点（ATH），比特币（BTC）可能很快遵循黄金的价格轨迹，目前的交易价格为每盎司3,420美元。

The analyst noted that BTC has been tracking gold’s ‘power curve’ since 2011. However, this year presents a unique scenario – it’s the first time gold is hitting new ATHs during a Bitcoin bull cycle.

这位分析师指出，BTC自2011年以来一直在跟踪Gold的“ Power Crve”。但是，今年提出了独特的场景 - 这是Gold在比特币牛周期中首次击中新的ATHS。

The analyst added that if gold holds its current price levels and Bitcoin catches up, then a $450,000 BTC by year-end is “still on the table.” To reach this target, the flagship crypto would need to rally by approximately 430%.

这位分析师补充说，如果Gold持有目前的价格水平并赶上比特币，那么按年底划分的450,000美元BTC“仍在餐桌上”。为了达到这个目标，旗舰加密货币将需要大约430％。

This view is also supported by crypto analyst Daan Crypto Trades, who shared in a separate X post that the BTC-to-gold ratio is currently measured at 25.

加密分析师Daan Crypto Trades也支持了这种观点，他在单独的X帖子中分享了BTC与金值的比率目前为25。

This has been a level which has seen decent reactions in the past as it trades around between roughly 16-37 for most of the past 4 years. Gold is taking the spotlight here but we’ve historically seen that whenever gold goes, BTC is usually soon to follow. If gold prices remain stable and the BTC-to-gold ratio climbs toward the upper end of its historical range around 37, Bitcoin could see substantial price appreciation relative to gold.

这是一个过去的水平，过去四年中大部分时间在大约16-37之间进行了交易。黄金在这里引起了人们的关注，但是我们历史上已经看到，每当黄金出现时，BTC通常很快就会随之而来。如果黄金价格保持稳定，而BTC-gold比率升至其历史范围37左右的上端，则比特币相对于黄金而言，比特币可能会看到大量的价格升值。

Furthermore, macroeconomic trends may accelerate BTC’s rise. For example, the global M2 money supply recently hit a new ATH, while BTC remains about 22% below its own ATH of $108,786, which was recorded in January.

此外，宏观经济趋势可能会加速BTC的上升。例如，全球M2货币供应最近遇到了新的ATH，而BTC仍低于其ATH的108,786美元，这是一月份记录的。

Historically, BTC tends to lag behind changes in M2 supply by 70 to 107 days, which suggests a potential new ATH by June or July 2025.

从历史上看，BTC倾向于落后于70至107天的M2供应变化，这表明到2025年6月或7月，这可能是新的ATH。

In the meantime, momentum indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are signaling renewed strength in BTC.

同时，诸如相对强度指数（RSI）之类的动量指标是在BTC中的信号增强强度。

In a recent X post, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto confirmed that BTC has completed a weekly RSI breakout, a development typically viewed by traders as bullish.

在最近的X帖子中，Crypto的加密分析师Titan确认，BTC已完成每周的RSI突破，这是交易者认为看涨的开发项目。

On the other hand, crypto analyst Ali Martinez offered a contrarian perspective, noting that nearly 60% of traders with open positions on Binance are currently betting on further downside for Bitcoin. The long/short ratio now sits at 0.67.

另一方面，加密分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）提出了逆势观点，并指出，近60％的股份公开头寸的交易者目前正在押注比特币的进一步偏低。长/短比现在为0.67。

Despite the bearish sentiment, Bitcoin’s TD Sequential indicator recently flashed a buy signal on the weekly chart, suggesting a possible move toward $95,000 in the near term.

尽管有看跌的情绪，但比特币的TD顺序指标最近在每周图表上闪烁了一个买信号，这表明在短期内可能会朝95,000美元转移。

At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $88,173, with a 4.3% increase in the past 24 hours.

在撰写本文时，BTC的交易价格为88,173美元，在过去24小时内增长了4.3％。