比特幣（BTC）可能很快就會鏡像Gold的價格軌跡，按年底設定了450,000美元的目標

Crypto分析師Master的Crypto表示，儘管Gold繼續創造了新的歷史高峰（ATH），而交易價格為每盎司3,420美元，但比特幣（BTC）可能很快遵循貴金屬的價格軌跡。

Crypto analyst Master of Crypto has pointed out that Bitcoin (BTC) may soon follow the yellow metal’s price trajectory as gold continues to set new all-time highs (ATH), currently trading at $3,420 per ounce.

加密分析師Crypto的大師指出，隨著黃金繼續創造了新的歷史最高點（ATH），比特幣（BTC）可能很快遵循黃金的價格軌跡，目前的交易價格為每盎司3,420美元。

The analyst noted that BTC has been tracking gold’s ‘power curve’ since 2011. However, this year presents a unique scenario – it’s the first time gold is hitting new ATHs during a Bitcoin bull cycle.

這位分析師指出，BTC自2011年以來一直在跟踪Gold的“ Power Crve”。但是，今年提出了獨特的場景 - 這是Gold在比特幣牛週期中首次擊中新的ATHS。

The analyst added that if gold holds its current price levels and Bitcoin catches up, then a $450,000 BTC by year-end is “still on the table.” To reach this target, the flagship crypto would need to rally by approximately 430%.

分析師補充說，如果Gold持有目前的價格水平並趕上比特幣，那麼按年底劃分的450,000美元BTC“仍在餐桌上”。為了達到這個目標，旗艦加密貨幣將需要大約430％。

This view is also supported by crypto analyst Daan Crypto Trades, who shared in a separate X post that the BTC-to-gold ratio is currently measured at 25.

加密分析師Daan Crypto Trades也支持了這種觀點，他在單獨的X帖子中分享了BTC與金值的比率目前為25。

This has been a level which has seen decent reactions in the past as it trades around between roughly 16-37 for most of the past 4 years. Gold is taking the spotlight here but we’ve historically seen that whenever gold goes, BTC is usually soon to follow. If gold prices remain stable and the BTC-to-gold ratio climbs toward the upper end of its historical range around 37, Bitcoin could see substantial price appreciation relative to gold.

這是一個過去的水平，過去四年中大部分時間在大約16-37之間進行了交易。黃金在這裡引起了人們的關注，但是我們歷史上已經看到，每當黃金出現時，BTC通常很快就會隨之而來。如果黃金價格保持穩定，而BTC-gold比率升至其歷史範圍37左右的上端，則比特幣相對於黃金而言，比特幣可能會看到大量的價格升值。

Furthermore, macroeconomic trends may accelerate BTC’s rise. For example, the global M2 money supply recently hit a new ATH, while BTC remains about 22% below its own ATH of $108,786, which was recorded in January.

此外，宏觀經濟趨勢可能會加速BTC的上升。例如，全球M2貨幣供應最近遇到了新的ATH，而BTC仍低於其ATH的108,786美元，這是一月份記錄的。

Historically, BTC tends to lag behind changes in M2 supply by 70 to 107 days, which suggests a potential new ATH by June or July 2025.

從歷史上看，BTC傾向於落後於70至107天的M2供應變化，這表明到2025年6月或7月，這可能是新的ATH。

In the meantime, momentum indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are signaling renewed strength in BTC.

同時，諸如相對強度指數（RSI）之類的動量指標是在BTC中的信號增強強度。

In a recent X post, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto confirmed that BTC has completed a weekly RSI breakout, a development typically viewed by traders as bullish.

在最近的X帖子中，Crypto的加密分析師Titan確認，BTC已完成每週的RSI突破，這是交易者認為看漲的開發項目。

On the other hand, crypto analyst Ali Martinez offered a contrarian perspective, noting that nearly 60% of traders with open positions on Binance are currently betting on further downside for Bitcoin. The long/short ratio now sits at 0.67.

另一方面，加密分析師阿里·馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）提出了逆勢觀點，並指出，近60％的股份公開頭寸的交易者目前正在押注比特幣的進一步偏低。長/短比現在為0.67。

Despite the bearish sentiment, Bitcoin’s TD Sequential indicator recently flashed a buy signal on the weekly chart, suggesting a possible move toward $95,000 in the near term.

儘管有看跌的情緒，但比特幣的TD順序指標最近在每週圖表上閃爍了一個買信號，這表明在短期內可能會朝95,000美元轉移。

At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $88,173, with a 4.3% increase in the past 24 hours.

在撰寫本文時，BTC的交易價格為88,173美元，在過去24小時內增長了4.3％。