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由於對美國 - 中國貿易緊張局勢和弱勢美元(黃金)的越來越關注,傳統的避風港資產,打破了以前的記錄
Amid growing concerns over escalating U.S.–China trade tensions and the weakening U.S. dollar, gold — the traditional safe-haven asset — broke its previous record, reaching $3,384 per ounce on April 21.
由於對美國 - 中國貿易緊張局勢的升級和疲軟的美元,黃金(傳統的避風港資產)的擔憂越來越多,因此打破了以前的記錄,在4月21日達到每盎司3,384美元。
Shortly after, Bitcoin followed a similar trajectory, surging sharply to the $87,000 level — its highest point in nearly a month. This movement echoes mid-2020, when BTC began to be recognized as “digital gold” by institutional investors.
不久之後,比特幣遵循類似的軌跡,急劇飆升至87,000美元的水平,這是一個近一個月的最高點。該運動與2020年中期的回應,當時BTC開始被機構投資者承認為“數字黃金”。
Bitcoin’s Performance Silences Doubts
比特幣的表現沉默懷疑
Data from TradingView shows that Bitcoin’s dominance (BTC.D) surpassed 64% in mid-April— the highest level since 2021. This surge reflects a return to “safe haven” assets within the crypto market, as capital temporarily exits more volatile altcoins.
TradingView的數據表明,比特幣的統治地位(BTC.D)在4月中旬(自2021年以來的最高水平)超過64%。由於資本暫時退出更多波動性的Altcoins,這種激增反映了加密貨幣市場中“避風港”資產的回報。
Bitcoin Dominance – Source: TradingView
比特幣優勢 - 資料來源:TradingView
Market history shows that every major crypto bull cycle begins with Bitcoin leading the way before momentum spills over into other digital assets. Analysts view the rise in BTC dominance as a positive accumulation signal for a new growth phase.
市場歷史表明,每個主要的加密牛週期都始於比特幣在動量溢出到其他數字資產之前的前進。分析師將BTC優勢的上升視為新生長階段的積極積累信號。
Two structural factors are fueling this renewed optimism: the Bitcoin halving event in April 2024 and renewed inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs.
有兩個結構性因素激發了這種新的樂觀情緒:2024年4月的比特幣減半事件,並將流入重新流入到現貨比特幣ETF中。
On April 17, total net inflows into U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs reached $106.9 million, the highest in nearly a month, according to Blockchain.News. BlackRock’s IBIT fund accounted for over 75% of the total capital. Institutional investors view this trend as a strong response to the correction from the $74,000 peak in March.
根據BlockChain.news的數據,4月17日,淨流入美國上市比特幣ETF達到1.69億美元,是一個近一個月中最高的。貝萊德的IBIT基金佔總資本的75%以上。機構投資者認為這一趨勢是對3月74,000美元高峰的糾正的強烈反應。
In the long term, the halving reduces daily BTC issuance by half, naturally creating upward price pressure. Historical data shows that in all three previous cycles, BTC prices surged 6 to 12 months after each halving event.
從長遠來看,減半將每日BTC發行減少了一半,自然會造成上價壓力。歷史數據表明,在以前的所有三個週期中,BTC價格在每次減半事件後6至12個月飆升。
Read more: JP Morgan: Investors Prefer Gold Over Bitcoin as a Safe-Haven
閱讀更多:JP Morgan:投資者更喜歡黃金而不是比特幣
Long-Term Forecast: $1 Million to $1.5 Million – Hope or Just a Hype?
長期預測:100萬至150萬美元 - 希望還是炒作?
Robert Kiyosaki, author of the best-selling book Rich Dad, Poor Dad, recently reiterated his belief that Bitcoin could reach $1 million by 2035. In a post on X, he warned, “A Great Depression is coming. Credit card debt, student loans, and national debt are exploding. Unemployment is rising, and pensions are going bankrupt. You should stock up on gold, silver, and Bitcoin before it’s too late.”
羅伯特·基亞薩基(Robert Kiyosaki)是最暢銷的書《富爸爸》(Rich Dole Dad)的作者,他最近重申了他的信念,即比特幣在2035年到2035年可能達到100萬美元。在X上的一篇文章中,他警告說:“一場大蕭條即將到來。信用卡債務,學生貸款,學生貸款和國家債務正在爆炸。爆炸了。輸入又增加了。
Kiyosaki’s argument centers on the looming collapse of the traditional financial system. He believes governments and central banks will be unable to stop the spiraling debt and currency devaluation. To him, Bitcoin is an “escape-from-the-system” asset, much like gold was in the 20th century.
Kiyosaki的論點集中在傳統金融體系的迫在眉睫的崩潰上。他認為,政府和中央銀行將無法阻止債務和貨幣貶值。對他來說,比特幣是“逃脫的系統”資產,就像黃金在20世紀一樣。
Meanwhile, Cathie Wood, CEO of Ark Invest, has set an even more ambitious target. In a recent interview with Bloomberg TV, Wood stated that if institutional investors continue increasing their exposure to digital assets, Bitcoin could hit $1.5 million by 2030.
同時,方舟投資首席執行官Cathie Wood設定了更加雄心勃勃的目標。伍德在最近接受彭博電視台的採訪時說,如果機構投資者繼續增加對數字資產的影響,到2030年,比特幣將達到150萬美元。
She argued that the market is still in the early stages of adoption, and a mere 2–3% shift in global assets toward Bitcoin would be enough to trigger a massive bull cycle.
她認為,市場仍處於採用的早期階段,僅2-3%的全球資產向比特幣轉變就足以觸發大規模的公牛週期。
“Bitcoin is the perfect digital solution to scarcity. Institutions have only dipped one foot into the market. If they step in fully, you won’대로겠지만, 모두가 이러한 최대치를 최대한 활용할 수 있다고 생각하는 것은 아닙니다.
“比特幣是稀缺性的理想數字解決方案。建立一隻腳進一步進入市場。我認為我無法盡可能多地使用它。
veteran analyst Benjamin Cowen is among those who express a more pessimistic view. In his April 20 newsletter, Cowen stated that while BTC's recent performance has been remarkable, it's crucial to consider the possibility of the rally fizzling out quickly.
經驗豐富的分析師本傑明·科恩(Benjamin Cowen)是表達更悲觀的觀點的人之一。 Cowen在4月20日的通訊中表示,儘管BTC最近的表現非常出色,但要考慮集會迅速消失的可能性至關重要。
"Whenever markets bet on astronomical price targets, they tend to disregard the potential for swift reversals," Cowen warned.
考恩警告說:“每當市場上押注天文目標目標時,它們往往會忽略迅速逆轉的潛力。”
As Ben explains, if the Fed keeps interest rates higher than anticipated or if the U.S. government imposes new taxes or regulations on Bitcoin miners, the entire market could witness a dramatic reversal in a matter of days.
正如Ben所解釋的那樣,如果美聯儲的利率要高於預期,或者美國政府對比特幣礦工徵收新稅或法規,則整個市場可能會在幾天之內見證劇烈的逆轉。
Trump & China: The Unseen Force Behind Crypto
特朗普和中國:加密背後的看不見的力量
The recent surges in both gold and Bitcoin prices are not solely driven by the narrative of “safe haven assets.” Global macroeconomic forces, particularly those stemming from China and the U.S., are exerting a new layer of invisible pressure on digital asset markets.
最近的黃金和比特幣價格的飆升不僅是由“避風港資產”的敘述驅動的。全球宏觀經濟力量,尤其是來自中國和美國的力量,正在對數字資產市場施加新的不可見壓力。
The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) has just marked its fifth consecutive month of gold purchases. In March 2025 alone, China added 5 metric tons to its reserves, bringing the official total to a record high of 2,292 tons, representing about 6.5% of the country’s total foreign exchange reserves.
中國人民銀行(PBOC)剛剛連續第五個月進行了購買黃金。僅在2025年3月,中國就在其儲備中增加了5公噸,使官方總數達到了2,292噸的創紀錄,佔該國外匯總額的6.5%。
However, the real figures may be significantly higher. According to a new report from
但是,真實數字可能明顯更高。根據來自
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