比特币（BTC）价格可能会飙升至100,000美元以上，因为它跟踪全球M2货币供应

比特币价格变动与全球M2货币供应的新分析正在引起人们的关注，从而使BTC的下一个重大举动可能会瞥见。

A new analysis comparing Bitcoin price movements with the global M2 money supply is gaining attention for its predictive insights into BTC's next big move. Using a predictive offset model, the analysis suggests that Bitcoin is closely following global liquidity trends, and if history repeats, its price could be on track to reach above $100,000.

将比特币价格变动与全球M2货币供应进行比较的新分析，因为它对BTC的下一个大型行动的预测性见解引起了人们的关注。分析使用预测偏移模型，表明比特币紧随全球流动性趋势，如果历史重复，其价格可能会达到100,000美元以上。

One crypto analyst, known on X (formerly Twitter) as ‘Collin Talks Crypto,’ dove into this technical analysis.

一位加密分析师（以前是Twitter）在“ Collin Talk talk Crypto”上闻名的一位加密分析师对此技术分析。

“People keep asking how I come up with these crazy offsets. Well, I noticed that when they print more USD, Bitcoin tends to go up (with a delay). So, I like to experiment with shifting the M2 data forward in time to see if Bitcoin follows after an offset,” the analyst stated.

“人们一直在问我如何提出这些疯狂的偏移。好吧，我注意到，当他们打印更多美元时，比特币往往会上升（延迟）。因此，我喜欢尝试及时将M2数据转移到偏移后是否跟随M2数据，以查看是否会在偏移后跟随，”分析师说。”

To test this, the analyst shared two charts showing a 78-day and 108-day offset. He shifted the M2 money supply data forward by these two timelines to see if Bitcoin would follow it after a delay.

为了测试这一点，分析师分享了两张图表，显示了78天和108天的偏移。他将M2货币供应数据转向这两个时间表，以查看比特币在延迟后是否会遵循它。

The 78-day chart model suggests a strong correlation between past M2 trends and current Bitcoin price action. This implies that M2 may be the leading indicator to determine BTC’s price moves 78 days later.

78天的图表模型表明，过去M2趋势与当前比特币价格动作之间存在很强的相关性。这意味着M2可能是确定BTC价格转移78天后的主要指标。

“We can see that as global M2 surged earlier in 2024, Bitcoin is now basked in a similar move, albeit 78 days later. This suggests that BTC may already be in the midst of a breakout as of April 7, 2025, mirroring the earlier surge in global M2 supply.”

“我们可以看到，随着2024年早些时候全球M2的激增，比特币现在以类似的举动（尽管在78天后）持续了。这表明BTC可能已经处于截至2025年4月7日的突破之中，反映了较早的全球M2供应激增。”

The analyst adds that if this alignment holds, the market may be in the early stages of another major bull run, with BTC following the sharp rise previously baked into the M2 data. This projected bull trend is expected to continue through Q2 2025 and into early Q3, around May to July.

分析师补充说，如果这种一致性成立，市场可能处于另一个主要公牛奔跑的早期阶段，而BTC遵循先前烘烤到M2数据的急剧上升。预计这种牛趋势将持续到第2季度2025年第2季度，直到5月至7月左右。

However, the 108-day offset model suggests that Bitcoin is still in a sideways trading phase. Still, it is steadily building momentum, potentially setting the stage for a massive breakout that could begin by May 2025.

但是，108天的偏移模型表明，比特币仍处于侧向交易阶段。尽管如此，它仍在稳步建立动力，有可能为可能始于2025年5月开始的大规模突破奠定基础。

Though it falls behind the 78-day model by about a month, the 108-day model still agrees with the overall projection that Bitcoin is likely heading higher. This reinforces the analyst’s belief that BTC follows the path of the global M2 supply to new highs.

尽管它落后于78天的模型大约一个月，但108天的车型仍然同意比特币可能较高的总体预测。这加强了分析师的信念，即BTC遵循全球M2供应到新高点的道路。

Both offset chart models highlighted by Collin show a strong correlation between global M2 money supply and BTC over the past 1-2 years. The crypto analyst notes that while short-term movements may vary slightly, the macro trend is unmistakable: when global liquidity rises, Bitcoin’s price tends to follow.

在过去的1 - 2年中，Collin强调的两种偏移图表模型都显示出全球M2货币供应与BTC之间的密切相关性。加密分析师指出，尽管短期运动可能略有不同，但宏观趋势是明确的：当全球流动性上升时，比特币的价格往往会随之而来。

“Both of these charts show a strong correlation between global M2 money supply and Bitcoin, especially when considering the 78-day and 108-day predictive offsets for best results. Of course, in the short term, there are discrepancies, but in the long term, the macro trend is clear. When they print more USD, Bitcoin goes up,” the analyst concludes.

“这两种图表都表明全球M2货币供应与比特币之间存在很强的相关性，尤其是在考虑78天和108天预测性偏移量以获得最佳结果时。当然，在短期内，长期存在差异，但是宏观趋势很明显。当它们打印更多的USD时，Bitcoin上升了，”分析局长。”

Whether BTC has already launched according to the 78-day model or is preparing to rally based on the 108-day model, the analyst predicts that Bitcoin will see a massive increase from its current price of $87,435 to $132,000 if it follows the 78-day offset. In contrast, the cryptocurrency is poised for an even higher price target of $140,000 if it mirrors the 108-day offset model.

无论BTC是否已经根据78天的模型推出，还是准备基于108天模型进行集会，分析师预测，如果比特币的目前价格将大幅增长，即使其目前的价格为87,435美元到132,000美元，如果遵循78天的偏移。相比之下，如果加密货币的价格目标为140,000美元，则该加密货币的目标是反映了108天的偏移模型。