比特幣（BTC）價格可能會飆升至100,000美元以上，因為它跟踪全球M2貨幣供應

比特幣價格變動與全球M2貨幣供應的新分析正在引起人們的關注，從而使BTC的下一個重大舉動可能會瞥見。

A new analysis comparing Bitcoin price movements with the global M2 money supply is gaining attention for its predictive insights into BTC's next big move. Using a predictive offset model, the analysis suggests that Bitcoin is closely following global liquidity trends, and if history repeats, its price could be on track to reach above $100,000.

將比特幣價格變動與全球M2貨幣供應進行比較的新分析，因為它對BTC的下一個大型行動的預測性見解引起了人們的關注。分析使用預測偏移模型，表明比特幣緊隨全球流動性趨勢，如果歷史重複，其價格可能會達到100,000美元以上。

One crypto analyst, known on X (formerly Twitter) as ‘Collin Talks Crypto,’ dove into this technical analysis.

一位加密分析師（以前是Twitter）在“ Collin Talk talk Crypto”上聞名的一位加密分析師對此技術分析。

“People keep asking how I come up with these crazy offsets. Well, I noticed that when they print more USD, Bitcoin tends to go up (with a delay). So, I like to experiment with shifting the M2 data forward in time to see if Bitcoin follows after an offset,” the analyst stated.

“人們一直在問我如何提出這些瘋狂的偏移。好吧，我注意到，當他們打印更多美元時，比特幣往往會上升（延遲）。因此，我喜歡嘗試及時將M2數據轉移到偏移後是否跟隨M2數據，以查看是否會在偏移後跟隨，”分析師說。 ”

To test this, the analyst shared two charts showing a 78-day and 108-day offset. He shifted the M2 money supply data forward by these two timelines to see if Bitcoin would follow it after a delay.

為了測試這一點，分析師分享了兩張圖表，顯示了78天和108天的偏移。他將M2貨幣供應數據轉向這兩個時間表，以查看比特幣在延遲後是否會遵循它。

The 78-day chart model suggests a strong correlation between past M2 trends and current Bitcoin price action. This implies that M2 may be the leading indicator to determine BTC’s price moves 78 days later.

78天的圖表模型表明，過去M2趨勢與當前比特幣價格動作之間存在很強的相關性。這意味著M2可能是確定BTC價格轉移78天后的主要指標。

“We can see that as global M2 surged earlier in 2024, Bitcoin is now basked in a similar move, albeit 78 days later. This suggests that BTC may already be in the midst of a breakout as of April 7, 2025, mirroring the earlier surge in global M2 supply.”

“我們可以看到，隨著2024年早些時候全球M2的激增，比特幣現在以類似的舉動（儘管在78天后）持續了。這表明BTC可能已經處於截至2025年4月7日的突破之中，反映了較早的全球M2供應激增。”

The analyst adds that if this alignment holds, the market may be in the early stages of another major bull run, with BTC following the sharp rise previously baked into the M2 data. This projected bull trend is expected to continue through Q2 2025 and into early Q3, around May to July.

分析師補充說，如果這種一致性成立，市場可能處於另一個主要公牛奔跑的早期階段，而BTC遵循先前烘烤到M2數據的急劇上升。預計這種牛趨勢將持續到第2季度2025年第2季度，直到5月至7月左右。

However, the 108-day offset model suggests that Bitcoin is still in a sideways trading phase. Still, it is steadily building momentum, potentially setting the stage for a massive breakout that could begin by May 2025.

但是，108天的偏移模型表明，比特幣仍處於側向交易階段。儘管如此，它仍在穩步建立動力，有可能為可能始於2025年5月開始的大規模突破奠定基礎。

Though it falls behind the 78-day model by about a month, the 108-day model still agrees with the overall projection that Bitcoin is likely heading higher. This reinforces the analyst’s belief that BTC follows the path of the global M2 supply to new highs.

儘管它落後於78天的模型大約一個月，但108天的車型仍然同意比特幣可能較高的總體預測。這加強了分析師的信念，即BTC遵循全球M2供應到新高點的道路。

Both offset chart models highlighted by Collin show a strong correlation between global M2 money supply and BTC over the past 1-2 years. The crypto analyst notes that while short-term movements may vary slightly, the macro trend is unmistakable: when global liquidity rises, Bitcoin’s price tends to follow.

在過去的1 - 2年中，Collin強調的兩種偏移圖表模型都顯示出全球M2貨幣供應與BTC之間的密切相關性。加密分析師指出，儘管短期運動可能略有不同，但宏觀趨勢是明確的：當全球流動性上升時，比特幣的價格往往會隨之而來。

“Both of these charts show a strong correlation between global M2 money supply and Bitcoin, especially when considering the 78-day and 108-day predictive offsets for best results. Of course, in the short term, there are discrepancies, but in the long term, the macro trend is clear. When they print more USD, Bitcoin goes up,” the analyst concludes.

“這兩種圖表都表明全球M2貨幣供應與比特幣之間存在很強的相關性，尤其是在考慮78天和108天預測性偏移量以獲得最佳結果時。當然，在短期內，長期存在差異，但是宏觀趨勢很明顯。當它們打印更多的USD時，Bitcoin上升了，”分析局長。 ”

Whether BTC has already launched according to the 78-day model or is preparing to rally based on the 108-day model, the analyst predicts that Bitcoin will see a massive increase from its current price of $87,435 to $132,000 if it follows the 78-day offset. In contrast, the cryptocurrency is poised for an even higher price target of $140,000 if it mirrors the 108-day offset model.

無論BTC是否已經根據78天的模型推出，還是準備基於108天模型進行集會，分析師預測，如果比特幣的目前價格將大幅增長，即使其目前的價格為87,435美元到132,000美元，如果遵循78天的偏移。相比之下，如果加密貨幣的價格目標為140,000美元，則該加密貨幣的目標是反映了108天的偏移模型。