2020 年美国总统选举：加密货币交易者押注 2.8B 美元押注特朗普取得压倒性胜利

上面的美国总统预测图表来自 Polymarkets，这是一个基于 Polygon 网络构建的预测市场平台，允许加密货币交易者

Crypto traders have wagered nearly $2.8 billion on the US elections outcome, with Trump leading the ‘crypto polls’ by a staggering 65.3% votes to Harris’ 34.8% as of October 31, signaling a potential landslide victory for the Republican candidate.

截至 10 月 31 日，加密货币交易者已对美国大选结果下注近 28 亿美元，特朗普以 65.3% 的得票率领先哈里斯 (34.8%)，这预示着这位共和党候选人可能会取得压倒性胜利。

But amid a last-minute resurgence, Kamala Harris rapidly gained ground on Trump over the week, closing the gap to 57.7% – 42.4% at the time of publication on Nov 4, barely 13 hours from the elections.

但在最后一刻的复苏中，卡马拉·哈里斯在一周内迅速领先于特朗普，将差距缩小至 57.7%——截至 11 月 4 日发表时，距离选举仅 13 小时，支持率为 42.4%。

Notably, Kamala’s resurgence performance between Oct 31 and Nov 4, has starkly coincided with Bitcoin’s on-going 5-day losing streak. This lends credence to the narrative that the last-minute swings in US elections race contributed to BTC 6.7% weekly timeframe price downturn.

值得注意的是，卡马拉在 10 月 31 日至 11 月 4 日期间的复苏表现与比特币持续 5 天的下跌形成鲜明对比。这证实了美国大选最后一刻的波动导致 BTC 每周时间框架价格下跌 6.7% 的说法。

Bitcoin Price Forecast: $65,000 Support at Risk?

比特币价格预测：65,000 美元的支撑位有风险吗？

Bitcoin price dipped by 2% within the daily timeframe on Nov 5, as traders grow skittish ahead of the US elections. Technical indicators suggest the bearish momentum could persist until a winner is announced.

11 月 5 日，由于交易者在美国大选前变得焦躁不安，比特币价格在 11 月 5 日的每日时间内下跌了 2%。技术指标表明，看跌势头可能会持续下去，直到获胜者宣布为止。

Currently, Bitcoin trades below the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) of $67,991 and remains within the bearish zone of the Keltner Channel (KC) bands, indicating intense downside risk.

目前，比特币交易价格低于 67,991 美元的成交量加权平均价格 (VWAP)，且仍处于肯特纳通道 (KC) 波段的看跌区域内，表明存在严重的下行风险。