2020 年美國總統大選：加密貨幣交易者押注 2.8B 美元押注川普取得壓倒性勝利

上面的美國總統預測圖表來自 Polymarkets，這是一個基於 Polygon 網路構建的預測市場平台，允許加密貨幣交易者

Crypto traders have wagered nearly $2.8 billion on the US elections outcome, with Trump leading the ‘crypto polls’ by a staggering 65.3% votes to Harris’ 34.8% as of October 31, signaling a potential landslide victory for the Republican candidate.

截至10 月31 日，加密貨幣交易者已對美國大選結果下注近28 億美元，川普以65.3% 的得票率領先哈里斯(34.8%)，這預示著這位共和黨候選人可能會取得壓倒性勝利。

But amid a last-minute resurgence, Kamala Harris rapidly gained ground on Trump over the week, closing the gap to 57.7% – 42.4% at the time of publication on Nov 4, barely 13 hours from the elections.

但在最後一刻的復甦中，卡馬拉·哈里斯在一周內迅速領先川普，將差距縮小至57.7%——截至11 月4 日發表時，距離選舉僅13 小時，支持率為42.4 %。

Notably, Kamala’s resurgence performance between Oct 31 and Nov 4, has starkly coincided with Bitcoin’s on-going 5-day losing streak. This lends credence to the narrative that the last-minute swings in US elections race contributed to BTC 6.7% weekly timeframe price downturn.

值得注意的是，卡馬拉在 10 月 31 日至 11 月 4 日期間的復甦表現與比特幣持續 5 天的下跌形成鮮明對比。這證實了美國大選最後一刻的波動導致 BTC 每週時間框架價格下跌 6.7% 的說法。

Bitcoin Price Forecast: $65,000 Support at Risk?

比特幣價格預測：65,000 美元的支撐位有風險嗎？

Bitcoin price dipped by 2% within the daily timeframe on Nov 5, as traders grow skittish ahead of the US elections. Technical indicators suggest the bearish momentum could persist until a winner is announced.

11 月 5 日，由於交易者在美國大選前變得焦躁不安，比特幣價格在 11 月 5 日的每日時間內下跌了 2%。技術指標表明，看跌勢頭可能會持續下去，直到獲勝者宣佈為止。

Currently, Bitcoin trades below the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) of $67,991 and remains within the bearish zone of the Keltner Channel (KC) bands, indicating intense downside risk.

目前，比特幣交易價格低於 67,991 美元的成交量加權平均價格 (VWAP)，且仍處於肯特納通道 (KC) 波段的看跌區域內，顯示存在嚴重的下行風險。