Polygon (MATIC)：吸筹的黄金机会还是下降趋势的预兆？

在潜在的积累阶段，Polygon (MATIC) 投资者可能会发现自己正处于一个关键时刻。链上指标，例如 MVRV 比率为-14.75%，表明有积累的机会。 MATIC 交投于关键支撑位和移动平均线之上，可能会反弹并重新测试 0.92 美元的阻力位。然而，未能维持支撑可能导致跌至 0.81 美元。值得注意的是，那不勒斯的升级以及区块链在 DeFi 领域的持续相关性为 MATIC 的未来增长提供了光明的前景。

Polygon (MATIC): A Golden Opportunity for Accumulation or a Harbinger of Downtrend?

Polygon (MATIC)：吸筹的黄金机会还是下降趋势的预兆？

Amidst the ongoing market volatility, Polygon's native cryptocurrency, MATIC, has faced significant downward pressure. While this may seem disheartening to investors, on-chain data indicators present a compelling narrative that suggests a potential accumulation phase for MATIC.

在持续的市场波动中，Polygon 的原生加密货币 MATIC 面临着巨大的下行压力。虽然这可能会让投资者感到沮丧，但链上数据指标提供了令人信服的叙述，表明 MATIC 存在潜在的积累阶段。

On-Chain Indicators Point to Accumulation Zone

链上指标指向累积区

The Market Value Relative to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio is a key indicator of investor sentiment. When the MVRV ratio falls below 1, it suggests that the asset is undervalued and could be a good buy opportunity. Polygon's 30-day MVRV currently stands at -14.75%, indicating that investors are experiencing losses. Historically, when MATIC's MVRV has fallen within the range of -5% to -15%, it has often preceded rallies.

市场价值相对于实现价值（MVRV）的比率是投资者情绪的关键指标。当 MVRV 比率低于 1 时，表明该资产被低估，可能是一个很好的买入机会。 Polygon 的 30 天 MVRV 目前为-14.75%，表明投资者正在遭受损失。从历史上看，当 MATIC 的 MVRV 跌至 -5% 至 -15% 范围内时，通常会先于反弹。

Buying Opportunity for Value-Conscious Investors

为具有价值意识的投资者提供买入机会

Furthermore, the majority of MATIC investors are currently experiencing losses due to the recent price decline. This situation reduces the likelihood of investors selling their holdings below Polygon's current value, presenting an opportunity for accumulation and potential upside movement in Polygon's price.

此外，由于最近的价格下跌，大多数 MATIC 投资者目前正在遭受损失。这种情况降低了投资者以低于 Polygon 当前价值的价格出售所持股份的可能性，从而为 Polygon 的价格提供了积累和潜在上涨的机会。

Positive Technical Outlook

积极的技术前景

From a technical perspective, MATIC is trading above the $0.88 support level, which coincides with the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). This technical configuration suggests potential for a rebound, with the altcoin having the potential to retest the $0.92 resistance level.

从技术角度来看，MATIC 的交易价格高于 0.88 美元的支撑位，该支撑位与 100 日指数移动平均线 (EMA) 一致。这种技术配置表明有反弹的潜力，山寨币有可能重新测试 0.92 美元的阻力位。

Recent Polygon Upgrades and Industry Support

最近的 Polygon 升级和行业支持

Polygon continues to enhance its blockchain, with the upcoming "Napoli upgrade" set to introduce improvements to parallel execution and new operational codes for the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM). Additionally, Polygon remains the preferred choice for leading financial institutions such as BlackRock, which are utilizing the platform to spearhead innovation.

Polygon 继续增强其区块链，即将推出的“Napoli 升级”将引入并行执行的改进和以太坊虚拟机 (EVM) 的新操作代码。此外，Polygon 仍然是 BlackRock 等领先金融机构的首选，这些机构正在利用该平台引领创新。

Potential Risks and Downside Scenarios

潜在风险和不利情况

While the on-chain and technical indicators suggest a positive outlook for MATIC, investors should also be aware of potential risks. If the altcoin falls below the $0.88 support level, there is a possibility of further decline towards the $0.81 and $0.80 marks. Additionally, the total value locked (TVL) on Polygon remains relatively low compared to other DeFi protocols, which could limit its growth potential.

虽然链上和技术指标表明 MATIC 前景乐观，但投资者也应意识到潜在风险。如果山寨币跌破 0.88 美元的支撑位，则有可能进一步跌向 0.81 美元和 0.80 美元大关。此外，与其他 DeFi 协议相比，Polygon 的总锁定价值（TVL）仍然相对较低，这可能会限制其增长潜力。

Conclusion

结论

While Polygon (MATIC) has faced headwinds recently, on-chain data indicators and technical analysis suggest that the current market conditions present a potential opportunity for accumulation. With a low MVRV ratio, low investor profitability, and positive technical momentum, investors may consider buying MATIC at these levels with the expectation of a potential uptrend. However, it is crucial to exercise caution and manage risk effectively, as downside scenarios remain a possibility.

尽管Polygon（MATIC）最近面临阻力，但链上数据指标和技术分析表明，当前的市场状况提供了潜在的吸筹机会。由于 MVRV 比率较低、投资者盈利能力较低且技术势头良好，投资者可能会考虑在这些水平上买入 MATIC，并期待潜在的上升趋势。然而，谨慎行事并有效管理风险至关重要，因为下行情况仍然有可能发生。