Polygon (MATIC)：吸籌的黃金機會還是下降趨勢的預兆？

在潛在的累積階段，Polygon (MATIC) 投資者可能會發現自己正處於一個關鍵時刻。鏈上指標，例如 MVRV 比率為-14.75%，表示有累積的機會。 MATIC 交投於關鍵支撐位和移動平均線之上，可能會反彈並重新測試 0.92 美元的阻力位。然而，未能維持支撐可能導致跌至 0.81 美元。值得注意的是，那不勒斯的升級以及區塊鏈在 DeFi 領域的持續相關性為 MATIC 的未來成長提供了光明的前景。

Polygon (MATIC): A Golden Opportunity for Accumulation or a Harbinger of Downtrend?

Polygon (MATIC)：吸籌的黃金機會還是下降趨勢的預兆？

Amidst the ongoing market volatility, Polygon's native cryptocurrency, MATIC, has faced significant downward pressure. While this may seem disheartening to investors, on-chain data indicators present a compelling narrative that suggests a potential accumulation phase for MATIC.

在持續的市場波動中，Polygon 的原生加密貨幣 MATIC 面臨著巨大的下行壓力。雖然這可能會讓投資者感到沮喪，但鏈上數據指標提供了令人信服的敘述，表明 MATIC 存在潛在的累積階段。

On-Chain Indicators Point to Accumulation Zone

鏈上指標指向累積區

The Market Value Relative to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio is a key indicator of investor sentiment. When the MVRV ratio falls below 1, it suggests that the asset is undervalued and could be a good buy opportunity. Polygon's 30-day MVRV currently stands at -14.75%, indicating that investors are experiencing losses. Historically, when MATIC's MVRV has fallen within the range of -5% to -15%, it has often preceded rallies.

市場價值相對於實現價值（MVRV）的比率是投資者情緒的關鍵指標。當 MVRV 比率低於 1 時，表示該資產被低估，可能是一個很好的買入機會。 Polygon 的 30 天 MVRV 目前為-14.75%，顯示投資者正在遭受損失。從歷史上看，當 MATIC 的 MVRV 跌至 -5% 至 -15% 範圍內時，通常會先於反彈。

Buying Opportunity for Value-Conscious Investors

為具有價值意識的投資者提供買入機會

Furthermore, the majority of MATIC investors are currently experiencing losses due to the recent price decline. This situation reduces the likelihood of investors selling their holdings below Polygon's current value, presenting an opportunity for accumulation and potential upside movement in Polygon's price.

此外，由於最近的價格下跌，大多數 MATIC 投資者目前正在遭受損失。這種情況降低了投資者以低於 Polygon 當前價值的價格出售所持股份的可能性，從而為 Polygon 的價格提供了積累和潛在上漲的機會。

Positive Technical Outlook

積極的技術前景

From a technical perspective, MATIC is trading above the $0.88 support level, which coincides with the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). This technical configuration suggests potential for a rebound, with the altcoin having the potential to retest the $0.92 resistance level.

從技術面來看，MATIC 的交易價格高於 0.88 美元的支撐位，該支撐位與 100 日指數移動平均線 (EMA) 一致。這種技術配置表明有反彈的潛力，山寨幣有可能重新測試 0.92 美元的阻力位。

Recent Polygon Upgrades and Industry Support

最近的 Polygon 升級和行業支持

Polygon continues to enhance its blockchain, with the upcoming "Napoli upgrade" set to introduce improvements to parallel execution and new operational codes for the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM). Additionally, Polygon remains the preferred choice for leading financial institutions such as BlackRock, which are utilizing the platform to spearhead innovation.

Polygon 繼續增強其區塊鏈，即將推出的「Napoli 升級」將引入並行執行的改進和以太坊虛擬機器 (EVM) 的新操作代碼。此外，Polygon 仍然是 BlackRock 等領先金融機構的首選，這些機構正在利用該平台引領創新。

Potential Risks and Downside Scenarios

潛在風險和不利情況

While the on-chain and technical indicators suggest a positive outlook for MATIC, investors should also be aware of potential risks. If the altcoin falls below the $0.88 support level, there is a possibility of further decline towards the $0.81 and $0.80 marks. Additionally, the total value locked (TVL) on Polygon remains relatively low compared to other DeFi protocols, which could limit its growth potential.

雖然鏈上和技術指標表明 MATIC 前景樂觀，但投資者也應意識到潛在風險。如果山寨幣跌破 0.88 美元的支撐位，則有可能進一步跌向 0.81 美元和 0.80 美元大關。此外，與其他 DeFi 協議相比，Polygon 的總鎖定價值（TVL）仍然相對較低，這可能會限制其成長潛力。

Conclusion

結論

While Polygon (MATIC) has faced headwinds recently, on-chain data indicators and technical analysis suggest that the current market conditions present a potential opportunity for accumulation. With a low MVRV ratio, low investor profitability, and positive technical momentum, investors may consider buying MATIC at these levels with the expectation of a potential uptrend. However, it is crucial to exercise caution and manage risk effectively, as downside scenarios remain a possibility.

儘管Polygon（MATIC）最近面臨阻力，但鏈上數據指標和技術分析表明，當前的市場狀況提供了潛在的吸籌機會。由於 MVRV 比率較低、投資者盈利能力較低且技術勢頭良好，投資者可能會考慮在這些水平上買入 MATIC，並期待潛在的上升趨勢。然而，謹慎行事並有效管理風險至關重要，因為下行情況仍然有可能發生。