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资深交易员彼得·勃兰特(Peter Brandt)强调了一种令人担忧的交易模式,这可能会给比特币带来麻烦。布兰特以其敏锐的洞察力和历史视角而闻名,他的分析表明比特币可能正处于更深层次下跌趋势的边缘。
Veteran trader Peter Brandt has once again highlighted a concerning trading pattern that could spell trouble for Bitcoin.
资深交易员彼得·布兰特再次强调了一种令人担忧的交易模式,这可能会给比特币带来麻烦。
In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), Brandt shared his observation with his 740,000 followers, noting that Bitcoin, currently trading around $61,194, seems to be forming the “Three Blind Mice and a Piece of Cheese” pattern. This pattern is recognized in technical analysis as a “continuation” pattern, indicating that the prevailing trend is likely to continue.
在 X(以前称为 Twitter)上最近发布的一篇文章中,Brandt 与他的 740,000 名粉丝分享了他的观察结果,指出比特币目前的交易价格约为 61,194 美元,似乎正在形成“三只盲鼠和一块奶酪”的模式。这种模式在技术分析中被认为是“持续”模式,表明当前趋势可能会持续下去。
However, in this case, the implication is that the downtrend will continue. The term “three blind mice” has become a whimsical label in the trading community, drawing parallels to the popular nursery rhyme that features the line “see how they run.” While the name may evoke humor, the implications for Bitcoin traders are serious.
然而,在这种情况下,意味着下跌趋势将继续。 “三只瞎老鼠”一词已成为交易界的一个异想天开的标签,与流行的童谣“看看它们如何跑”相似。虽然这个名字可能会引起幽默,但对比特币交易者的影响是严重的。
Brandt previously mentioned the same pattern in December 2022 when Bitcoin was trading around $17,000. At that time, Bitcoin experienced a significant downturn, entering a weeks-long slump before bouncing back sharply in January 2023. Brandt's historical perspective adds weight to his current warnings, as he has been a notable figure in the trading world for decades.
Brandt 此前曾在 2022 年 12 月提到过同样的模式,当时比特币的交易价格约为 17,000 美元。当时,比特币经历了严重的低迷,进入了长达数周的低迷,然后在 2023 年 1 月大幅反弹。布兰特的历史视角增加了他当前的警告的分量,因为他几十年来一直是交易界的知名人物。
As Brandt notes, Bitcoin’s most recent rally has not altered its seven-month streak of lower highs and lower lows. This ongoing downtrend raises questions about the sustainability of any short-term gains. “Only a close above $71,000 confirmed by a new all-time high will indicate that the trend from the November 2022 low remains in force,” he stated, underscoring the need for a substantial shift in market conditions for optimism to prevail.
正如布兰特指出的那样,比特币最近的反弹并没有改变其连续七个月不断降低的高点和更低的低点。这种持续的下降趋势引发了人们对短期收益可持续性的质疑。他表示:“只有收盘价突破 71,000 美元并创下新的历史高点,才表明自 2022 年 11 月低点以来的趋势仍然有效。”他强调,市场状况需要发生重大转变,乐观情绪才会盛行。
The timing of Brandt's warnings is also crucial, as Bitcoin has recently experienced a notable decline. In just three days, the cryptocurrency has fallen by 7.1%, erasing almost two weeks’ worth of gains. This sharp downturn is alarming, particularly given the backdrop of rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and increasing apprehensions about the strength of the U.S. economy and the outcome of upcoming elections.
布兰特发出警告的时机也至关重要,因为比特币最近经历了显着下跌。短短三天内,加密货币就下跌了 7.1%,抹去了近两周的涨幅。这种急剧下滑令人震惊,特别是考虑到中东地缘政治紧张局势加剧以及人们对美国经济实力和即将举行的选举结果日益担忧的背景。
The implications of Brandt's analysis extend beyond Bitcoin alone. His warning serves as a reminder that traders must remain vigilant and responsive to changing market conditions. The cryptocurrency market is notoriously volatile, and factors such as geopolitical unrest and economic uncertainty can have immediate impacts on asset prices.
布兰特分析的影响不仅仅限于比特币。他的警告提醒交易者必须保持警惕并对不断变化的市场状况做出反应。众所周知,加密货币市场波动很大,地缘政治动荡和经济不确定性等因素可能会对资产价格产生直接影响。
Many traders and analysts are now speculating on what the “three blind mice” pattern could mean for Bitcoin’s future. Some interpret it as a more humorous take on the “Three Black Crows” pattern, which typically signals a reversal of an uptrend. Such interpretations highlight the diverse ways traders approach technical analysis, often blending humor with serious financial forecasting.
许多交易员和分析师现在正在猜测“三只盲鼠”模式对比特币的未来意味着什么。一些人将其解读为对“三只黑乌鸦”形态的更幽默的诠释,“三只黑乌鸦”形态通常标志着上升趋势的逆转。这种解释凸显了交易者进行技术分析的多种方式,通常将幽默与严肃的财务预测融为一体。
As Bitcoin continues to grapple with these challenges, investors find themselves in a precarious position. The psychological aspect of trading plays a significant role in decision-making; as fear and uncertainty rise, the tendency to sell can lead to further downward pressure on prices.
随着比特币继续应对这些挑战,投资者发现自己处于不稳定的境地。交易的心理因素在决策中发挥着重要作用;随着恐惧和不确定性的增加,抛售倾向可能导致价格进一步下行压力。
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