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資深交易員彼得·布蘭特(Peter Brandt)強調了一種令人擔憂的交易模式,這可能會給比特幣帶來麻煩。布蘭特以其敏銳的洞察力和歷史視角而聞名,他的分析表明比特幣可能處於更深層下跌趨勢的邊緣。
Veteran trader Peter Brandt has once again highlighted a concerning trading pattern that could spell trouble for Bitcoin.
資深交易員彼得·布蘭特(Peter Brandt)再次強調了一種令人擔憂的交易模式,這可能會給比特幣帶來麻煩。
In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), Brandt shared his observation with his 740,000 followers, noting that Bitcoin, currently trading around $61,194, seems to be forming the “Three Blind Mice and a Piece of Cheese” pattern. This pattern is recognized in technical analysis as a “continuation” pattern, indicating that the prevailing trend is likely to continue.
在X(以前稱為Twitter)上最近發布的一篇文章中,Brandt 與他的740,000 名粉絲分享了他的觀察結果,指出比特幣目前的交易價格約為61,194 美元,似乎正在形成「三隻盲鼠和一塊起司」的模式。這種模式在技術分析中被認為是「持續」模式,表明當前趨勢可能會持續下去。
However, in this case, the implication is that the downtrend will continue. The term “three blind mice” has become a whimsical label in the trading community, drawing parallels to the popular nursery rhyme that features the line “see how they run.” While the name may evoke humor, the implications for Bitcoin traders are serious.
然而,在這種情況下,意味著下跌趨勢將持續。 「三隻瞎老鼠」一詞已成為交易界的一個異想天開的標籤,與流行的童謠「看看它們如何跑」相似。雖然這個名字可能會引起幽默,但對比特幣交易者的影響是嚴重的。
Brandt previously mentioned the same pattern in December 2022 when Bitcoin was trading around $17,000. At that time, Bitcoin experienced a significant downturn, entering a weeks-long slump before bouncing back sharply in January 2023. Brandt's historical perspective adds weight to his current warnings, as he has been a notable figure in the trading world for decades.
Brandt 先前曾在 2022 年 12 月提到同樣的模式,當時比特幣的交易價格約為 17,000 美元。當時,比特幣經歷了嚴重的低迷,進入了長達數週的低迷,然後在2023 年1 月大幅反彈。交易界的知名人物。
As Brandt notes, Bitcoin’s most recent rally has not altered its seven-month streak of lower highs and lower lows. This ongoing downtrend raises questions about the sustainability of any short-term gains. “Only a close above $71,000 confirmed by a new all-time high will indicate that the trend from the November 2022 low remains in force,” he stated, underscoring the need for a substantial shift in market conditions for optimism to prevail.
正如布蘭特所指出的那樣,比特幣最近的反彈並沒有改變其連續七個月不斷降低的高點和更低的低點。這種持續的下降趨勢引發了人們對短期收益可持續性的質疑。他表示:「只有收盤價突破 71,000 美元並創下新的歷史高點,才表明自 2022 年 11 月低點以來的趨勢仍然有效。」他強調,市場狀況需要重大轉變,樂觀情緒才會盛行。
The timing of Brandt's warnings is also crucial, as Bitcoin has recently experienced a notable decline. In just three days, the cryptocurrency has fallen by 7.1%, erasing almost two weeks’ worth of gains. This sharp downturn is alarming, particularly given the backdrop of rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and increasing apprehensions about the strength of the U.S. economy and the outcome of upcoming elections.
布蘭特發出警告的時機也至關重要,因為比特幣最近經歷了顯著下跌。短短三天內,加密貨幣下跌了 7.1%,抹去了近兩週的漲幅。這種急劇下滑令人震驚,特別是考慮到中東地緣政治緊張局勢加劇以及人們對美國經濟實力和即將舉行的選舉結果日益擔憂的背景。
The implications of Brandt's analysis extend beyond Bitcoin alone. His warning serves as a reminder that traders must remain vigilant and responsive to changing market conditions. The cryptocurrency market is notoriously volatile, and factors such as geopolitical unrest and economic uncertainty can have immediate impacts on asset prices.
布蘭特分析的影響不僅限於比特幣。他的警告提醒交易者必須保持警惕並對不斷變化的市場狀況做出反應。眾所周知,加密貨幣市場波動很大,地緣政治動盪和經濟不確定性等因素可能會對資產價格產生直接影響。
Many traders and analysts are now speculating on what the “three blind mice” pattern could mean for Bitcoin’s future. Some interpret it as a more humorous take on the “Three Black Crows” pattern, which typically signals a reversal of an uptrend. Such interpretations highlight the diverse ways traders approach technical analysis, often blending humor with serious financial forecasting.
許多交易員和分析師現在正在猜測「三隻盲鼠」模式對比特幣的未來意味著什麼。有些人將其解讀為對「三隻黑烏鴉」形態的更幽默的詮釋,「三隻黑烏鴉」形態通常標誌著上升趨勢的逆轉。這種解釋凸顯了交易者進行技術分析的多種方式,通常將幽默與嚴肅的財務預測融為一體。
As Bitcoin continues to grapple with these challenges, investors find themselves in a precarious position. The psychological aspect of trading plays a significant role in decision-making; as fear and uncertainty rise, the tendency to sell can lead to further downward pressure on prices.
隨著比特幣繼續應對這些挑戰,投資者發現自己處於不穩定的境地。交易的心理因素在決策中扮演重要角色;隨著恐懼和不確定性的增加,拋售傾向可能導致價格進一步下行壓力。
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