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比特幣(BTC)曾一度觸及 62,400 美元,但迅速逆轉清楚地提醒人們,在地緣政治緊張局勢下,數位資產面臨挑戰。
Bitcoin’s recent attempt to breach the $62,000 mark was short-lived, as the cryptocurrency quickly retreated back below the $61,000 level amid ongoing geopolitical tensions.
比特幣最近試圖突破 62,000 美元大關的嘗試是短暫的,因為在持續的地緣政治緊張局勢中,該加密貨幣迅速回落至 61,000 美元以下。
In the past 24 hours, BTC has dropped by about 3%, while the Coin Desk 20 index has fallen by 3.8%. This recent decline comes as a blow to crypto traders, who were expecting a more bullish October following Bitcoin’s rally from $52,000 to $66,000 last month.
過去24小時內,BTC下跌約3%,Coin Desk 20指數下跌3.8%。最近的下跌對加密貨幣交易者來說是一個打擊,在上個月比特幣從 52,000 美元上漲至 66,000 美元後,他們原本預計 10 月會更加看漲。
As tensions escalate in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Iran, U.S. stock indexes remained largely flat, reflecting investors’ unease. Gold prices saw a slight correction, while oil prices retreated from an intraday high of $72 to around $70, suggesting a possible easing of concerns about further military escalation.
隨著中東緊張局勢升級,特別是以色列和伊朗之間的緊張局勢升級,美國股指基本上持平,反映出投資者的不安。金價小幅回調,而油價則從盤中高點 72 美元回落至 70 美元左右,顯示對軍事進一步升級的擔憂可能有所緩解。
According to analysts at QCP Capital, if the situation in the Middle East worsens, Bitcoin could experience further declines, potentially dropping to as low as $55,000. However, they noted that the $60,000 level has been providing strong support for the cryptocurrency so far.
QCP Capital分析師表示,如果中東局勢惡化,比特幣可能會進一步下跌,有可能跌至55,000美元。然而,他們指出,到目前為止,60,000 美元的水平一直為加密貨幣提供強有力的支撐。
“Middle East geopolitics will steal the limelight for now, but the shallow sell-off suggests that the market remains well bid for risk assets,” QCP analysts stated in a recent update. They added that this minor setback should not deter traders from considering the broader narrative unfolding as we head into 2025, with both the Federal Reserve and the People’s Bank of China beginning to cut interest rates.
QCP 分析師在最近的更新中表示:“中東地緣政治目前將成為眾人矚目的焦點,但拋售幅度較小表明市場對風險資產的競價仍然不錯。”他們補充說,隨著聯準會和中國人民銀行開始降息,這一小小的挫折不應阻止交易員考慮進入 2025 年時發生的更廣泛的情況。
A key technical aspect to watch is Bitcoin’s retest of its “Bull Market Support Band,” which is a trend indicator formed by the asset’s 20-week simple moving average (SMA) and a 21-week exponential moving average (EMA). This support band has historically provided a cushion during price pullbacks and currently ranges between $61,100 and $62,900.
值得關注的一個關鍵技術方面是比特幣對其「牛市支撐帶」的重新測試,該支撐帶是由該資產的20 週簡單移動平均線(SMA) 和21 週指數移動平均線(EMA) 形成的趨勢指標。該支撐帶歷來在價格回調期間提供了緩衝,目前範圍在 61,100 美元至 62,900 美元之間。
If Bitcoin manages to bounce off this support band, it could set the tone for the cryptocurrency’s near-term price trajectory. A recovery from this level might indicate a continuation of the uptrend that began from September’s lows, while a decisive break below could lead to a prolonged period of trading below the $60,000 mark.
如果比特幣成功從該支撐帶反彈,它可能會為加密貨幣的近期價格軌跡定下基調。從該水平恢復可能表明自 9 月低點開始的上升趨勢將持續,而果斷跌破該水平可能導致長期交易低於 60,000 美元大關。
Despite the current market challenges, there are signs of a potential recovery in Bitcoin demand, especially in anticipation of U.S.-listed spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Blockchain analytics firm Crypto Quant has noted that if demand picks up and favorable seasonal trends materialize toward the year’s end, Bitcoin could aim for a price range of $85,000 to $100,000 in the last quarter.
儘管當前市場面臨挑戰,但比特幣需求有潛在復甦的跡象,特別是在美國上市的現貨交易所交易基金(ETF)的預期下。區塊鏈分析公司 Crypto Quant 指出,如果需求回升並且年底前出現有利的季節性趨勢,比特幣上季的價格範圍可能會達到 85,000 美元至 100,000 美元。
“These levels align with the upper range of the on-chain trader realized price bands, where short-term traders often take profits following price rallies,” Crypto Quant analysts explained. This optimistic outlook assumes that the geopolitical situation stabilizes and that investor interest in Bitcoin is rekindled.
Crypto Quant 分析師解釋說:“這些水平與鏈上交易者實現的價格區間的上限一致,短期交易者通常會在價格上漲後獲利了結。”這種樂觀的前景假設地緣政治局勢穩定並且投資者對比特幣的興趣重新燃起。
Elsewhere in the cryptocurrency market, as Bitcoin faced difficulties, other digital assets also faced the brunt of the bearish trend. Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple’s XRP, along with other altcoins like Cardano (ADA) and Chainlink (LINK), experienced notable price drops.
在加密貨幣市場的其他地方,隨著比特幣面臨困難,其他數位資產也面臨看跌趨勢的衝擊。以太幣 (ETH) 和 Ripple 的 XRP,以及 Cardano (ADA) 和 Chainlink (LINK) 等其他山寨幣,價格都顯著下跌。
This bearishness across the altcoin market highlights the correlation between Bitcoin’s performance and that of other cryptocurrencies, as many investors tend to follow Bitcoin's lead. The broader decline in the crypto market is concerning for traders who were hoping for a sustained rally as we move further into October.
山寨幣市場的這種看跌凸顯了比特幣表現與其他加密貨幣表現之間的相關性,因為許多投資者傾向於追隨比特幣的腳步。加密貨幣市場的廣泛下跌令交易者感到擔憂,他們希望隨著進入 10 月的到來,加密貨幣市場將持續上漲。
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